01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Olympic to win62%
- Over 1.5 goals86%
Swedish Ettan8°19 km/h
Läs på svenska
OlympicPossession & high press4–1
UtsiktenCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 1 · Olympic (62%)Best value by the model: 2 · Utsikten @ 9.40 (+84 %)
Olympic vs Utsikten · Swedish Ettan
1 · Olympic 62%X 18%20% Utsikten · 2
62%
18%
20%
Prediction summary
Final score 4–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Olympic vs Utsikten (Swedish Ettan, Sunday, 18 October 2026): Olympic win 62%, draw 18%, Utsikten win 20%. Expected goals (xG): Olympic 2.27, Utsikten 1.19. Most likely score: 2-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 63%. Double chance: Olympic or draw 80%, Utsikten or draw 38%. Prediction updated Saturday, 10 October 2026.
Bet on this match
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Analysis: Olympic – Utsikten
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
A striking 62% probability in favor of the home side sets the stage for Olympic as they prepare to face Utsikten in this Ettan clash. There’s a compelling argument for Olympic's dominance, given their superior xG and the clear advantage in both actual points and expected points this season. A home win seems likely, with a 2-1 scoreline emerging as the most probable outcome. Despite the small sample size in their head-to-head, Olympic's previous victory only adds to their confidence.
The expected goals model paints a clear picture: Olympic at 2.27 and Utsikten at 1.19. These numbers forecast a match where the hosts are set to capitalize on their possession-heavy style. Utsikten, reliant on counter-attacks and crosses, might struggle to adapt if Olympic successfully controls the pace. Yet, the visitors may find some hope in the high 63% chance for both teams to score, suggesting their opportunities will come if they can exploit Olympic's vulnerabilities at the back.
Rain and cooler temperatures could suppress goal totals slightly, but the model already adjusts for this, maintaining a 67% lean towards over 2.5 goals. Olympic’s attacking prowess, matched against Utsikten’s porous defense, reinforces this expectation. The odds favor an active scoreboard, aligning with the statistical tilt towards multiple goals.
While the model leans heavily towards Olympic, the value for bettors lies with Utsikten at odds of 10.5 with Betsafe and Nordicbet. Despite their underdog status, these odds present a 106% edge, a rare find in football betting. Additionally, a draw at odds of 7.0 with Betsafe offers a 27% edge, another intriguing prospect for those willing to gamble on a stalemate.
In conclusion, while Olympic seem poised to secure a home victory, the betting landscape suggests potential profits in backing Utsikten’s long odds or even a draw.
OlympicForm WDLLW
League ranking xG #5xGA #21xT #10xP/match #15Points #19
Key players
- Alexander RobértCAMxG 0.23 · xT 0.16
- Albin SundgrenLWxG 0.07 · xT 0.32
- Martins EgbeLBxG 0.03 · xT 0.23
UtsiktenForm DLWLL
League ranking xG #30xGA #32xT #21xP/match #32Points #32
Key players
- Enzo AndrénCAMxG 0.14 · xT 0.12
- Pontus OlssonLBxG 0.03 · xT 0.28
- Melvin KoliqiFxG 0.20 · xT 0.28
Final score
4 – 1
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Olympic 62% · Draw 18% · Utsikten 20%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - BK OlympicBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 2,32fair 4,06-43 %
HitMatch prediction: Olympic – Utsikten
Predicted score matrix
Utsikten →
Olympic →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–03.4%
0–13.5%
0–22.2%
0–30.9%
0–4+0.3%
1
1–06.9%
1–18.7%
1–25.0%
1–32.0%
1–4+0.8%
2
2–08.1%
2–19.6%
2–25.7%
2–32.3%
2–4+0.9%
3
3–06.1%
3–17.3%
3–24.4%
3–31.7%
3–4+0.7%
4+
4+–05.9%
4+–17.1%
4+–24.2%
4+–31.7%
4+–4+0.6%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-110%
- 2.1-19%
- 3.2-08%
- 4.3-17%
- 5.1-07%
Expected goals
2,27–1,19
Both teams to score
63%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,50
110%
219%
322%
419%
5+27%
Under 2,533%
@4.15EV+36%
Over 2,567%
@1.19
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Olympic to win62%
- Over 2.5 goals67%
- Chibueze Blessing Ejimole to score32%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score63%
- Over 2.5 goals67%
- Chibueze Blessing Ejimole to score32%
- Felix Wennergrund to be booked18%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Utsikten20% probability@9.40BetsafeEV+84%reference odds
- 2 · Utsikten20% probability@9.40NordicbetEV+84%reference odds
- 2 · Utsikten20% probability@8.50LeoVegasEV+67%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Olympic | X | 2 · Utsikten |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.17 | EV+ 27% 7.00 | EV+ 84% 9.40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.18 | EV+ 21% 6.70 | EV+ 67% 8.50 |
| Nordicbet | 1.17 | EV+ 27% 7.00 | EV+ 84% 9.40 |
Odds updated 18 Oct, 12:36
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards a Olympic win since 13 October — the odds have shortened from 1.35 to 1.17 (−13%).
1-13 %
83 %63 %
1.35 → 1.17
X+41 %
26 %6 %
4.95 → 7.00
2+54 %
22 %2 %
6.10 → 9.40
Over 2,5-11 %
84 %64 %
1.33 → 1.19
Nordicbet · 9 recorded price levels · 13/10/2026 → 18/10/2026 · fixed scale 20 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
1 matchesOlympic 1Draw 0Utsikten 0
Goals: 3–1 (⌀ 4)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Olympic
Utsikten
Olympic (48–50)
Utsikten (23–62)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Olympic
Utsikten
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Olympic
Utsikten
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Olympic | Utsikten |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 33 | 12 |
| xPoints | 36.3 | 24.9 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| xGA per match | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.3 | 0.38 |
| Playing style | Olympic | Utsikten |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| Field tilt | 0.51 | 0.42 |
| xT per match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| xTA per match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 24 | 30 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| Entries into the box per match | 15 | 11 |
| Entries into the box against | 15 | 18 |
| Pass completion % | 0.83 | 0.76 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.77 | 0.71 |
| Passes per match | 408 | 328 |
| Passes against per match | 342 | 436 |
| Switches of play per match | 15.6 | 15.5 |
| Long balls per match | 31 | 31 |
| Set pieces | Olympic | Utsikten |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| Corners per match | 5.8 | 4.2 |
| Corners against per match | 5.8 | 5.3 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.49 | 0.32 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| Other | Olympic | Utsikten |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| The goalkeepers | Joakim Persson (Olympic) | Joel Nöller (Utsikten) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 63 | 76 |
| Save % | 60% | 77% |
| xG prevented | 41% | 59% |
| Claims | 99 (94%) | 43 (83%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Lunds BK – Trelleborgs FF16 October 2026 19:00 CEST
- IFK Stocksund – Enköpings SK16 October 2026 19:30 CEST
- Ängelholm – Laholm17 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Tvååker – Rosengård17 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Arlanda – Järfälla17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- FBK Karlstad – Karlberg17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Jönköpings Södra – AFC Malmö17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Skövde AIK – Eskilsminne17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Åtvidaberg – Hässleholms IF17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Olympic vs Utsikten according to our model?
The model gives Olympic a 62% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Olympic 62%, draw 18%, Utsikten 20%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 67% and under at 33%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 63% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Olympic vs Utsikten?
The model expects 2.27 goals (xG) for Olympic and 1.19 for Utsikten, 3.47 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Olympic or draw (1X) 80%, Utsikten or draw (X2) 38% and no draw (12) 82%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.