01 · 2 legs
Safe
- FC Trollhättan to win56%
- Over 1.5 goals83%
Swedish Ettan7°13 km/h
Läs på svenska
Kristianstad FCCounter-attacks & crosses3–1
FC TrollhättanPossession controlThe model's lean: 2 · FC Trollhättan (56%)
Kristianstad FC vs FC Trollhättan · Swedish Ettan
1 · Kristianstad FC 22%X 22%56% FC Trollhättan · 2
22%
22%
56%
Prediction summary
Final score 3–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Kristianstad FC vs FC Trollhättan (Swedish Ettan, Sunday, 18 October 2026): Kristianstad FC win 22%, draw 22%, FC Trollhättan win 56%. Expected goals (xG): Kristianstad FC 1.22, FC Trollhättan 1.94. Most likely score: 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 61%. Double chance: Kristianstad FC or draw 44%, FC Trollhättan or draw 78%. Prediction updated Saturday, 10 October 2026.
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Analysis: Kristianstad FC – FC Trollhättan
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
One glance at the head-to-head record reveals a solitary encounter between Kristianstad and Trollhättan, ending in a draw. Given the small sample size, this record offers little to sway expectations for their upcoming clash. Instead, form and underlying metrics take center stage. The visitors boast a consistent scoring streak, netting in 10 straight league matches. Their ability to control possession is a stark contrast to the hosts' counter-attacking approach, hinting at a tactical battle on the pitch.
Trollhättan's league form is underscored by a superior points tally of 38 compared to Kristianstad's 27. However, the expected points tell a different story, where Kristianstad edges slightly ahead at 32.5, just nudging out Trollhättan's 32.4. The expected goals data paints a clearer picture: the visitors lead with 1.4 xG per match against the hosts' 0.93. Both teams, though, share a similar defensive record with 1.3 xGA per match, suggesting that the defenses might just about cancel each other out.
With an over 2.5 goals probability of 61% and both teams to score at the same percentage, the model anticipates a lively affair. Despite Kristianstad's home advantage, Trollhättan is favored with a 56% probability of victory, supported by a 28% edge in the betting odds at 2.3 with Betsafe and Nordicbet. The model's favored scorelines of 1-1 and 1-2 illustrate the visitors' attacking edge.
Taking it all in, a 1-2 win for Trollhättan seems the most likely outcome, with a nod towards the over 2.5 goals market. But it's the odds on an away win that stand out: a 28% edge at 2.3 with Betsafe and Nordicbet signals value for those keen to back the visitors in this encounter.
Kristianstad FCForm LWWLL
League ranking xG #32xGA #13xT #29xP/match #25Points #26
Key players
- Linus SvenssonCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.07
- Omar DamphaFxG 0.26 · xT 0.03
- Kasper AlsénCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.14
FC TrollhättanForm WWWDL
League ranking xG #11xGA #15xT #5xP/match #24Points #14
Key players
- Melwin BergRWxG 0.25 · xT 0.29
- Filip SternerLBxG 0.05 · xT 0.14
- Nils SvenssonCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.09
Final score
3 – 1
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Kristianstad FC 22% · Draw 22% · FC Trollhättan 56%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - FC TrollhattanBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 5,37fair 5,28+2 %
MissMatchresultat - Kristianstad FCBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 7,44fair 13,31-44 %
HitMatch prediction: Kristianstad FC – FC Trollhättan
Predicted score matrix
FC Trollhättan →
Kristianstad FC →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.5%
0–17.9%
0–28.0%
0–35.1%
0–4+3.9%
1
1–04.9%
1–110.3%
1–29.7%
1–36.3%
1–4+4.7%
2
2–03.2%
2–16.1%
2–25.9%
2–33.8%
2–4+2.9%
3
3–01.3%
3–12.5%
3–22.4%
3–31.6%
3–4+1.2%
4+
4+–00.5%
4+–11.0%
4+–21.0%
4+–30.6%
4+–4+0.5%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-110%
- 2.1-210%
- 3.0-28%
- 4.0-18%
- 5.1-36%
Expected goals
1,22–1,94
Both teams to score
61%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,20
113%
221%
322%
418%
5+21%
Under 2,539%
@2.28
Over 2,561%
@1.55
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- FC Trollhättan to win56%
- Over 2.5 goals61%
- Natanael Lundén to score32%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score61%
- Over 2.5 goals61%
- Natanael Lundén to score32%
- André Kamp to be booked20%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · FC Trollhättan56% probability@2.12BetsafeEV+18%reference odds
- 2 · FC Trollhättan56% probability@2.12NordicbetEV+18%reference odds
- 2 · FC Trollhättan56% probability@2.08LeoVegasEV+16%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Kristianstad FC | X | 2 · FC Trollhättan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.85 | 3.55 | EV+ 18% 2.12 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85 | 3.55 | EV+ 16% 2.08 |
| Nordicbet | 2.85 | 3.55 | EV+ 18% 2.12 |
Odds updated 18 Oct, 14:36
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards an FC Trollhättan win since 13 October — the odds have shortened from 2.40 to 2.12 (−12%).
1+13 %
38 %28 %
2.52 → 2.85
X+4 %
31 %21 %
3.40 → 3.55
2-12 %
46 %36 %
2.40 → 2.12
Nordicbet · 10 recorded price levels · 13/10/2026 → 18/10/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
1 matchesKristianstad FC 0Draw 1FC Trollhättan 0
Goals: 1–1 (⌀ 2)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Key facts
- FC Trollhättan have scored in 10 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Kristianstad FC
FC Trollhättan
Kristianstad FC (29–39)
FC Trollhättan (45–41)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Kristianstad FC
FC Trollhättan
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Kristianstad FC
FC Trollhättan
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Kristianstad FC | FC Trollhättan |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 27 | 38 |
| xPoints | 32.5 | 32.4 |
| xG per match | 0.93 | 1.4 |
| xGA per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| Playing style | Kristianstad FC | FC Trollhättan |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| Field tilt | 0.36 | 0.6 |
| xT per match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| xTA per match | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 28 | 33 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.24 | 0.3 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| Entries into the box per match | 10 | 16 |
| Entries into the box against | 16 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.77 | 0.82 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| Passes per match | 333 | 510 |
| Passes against per match | 422 | 310 |
| Switches of play per match | 20.8 | 13.5 |
| Long balls per match | 39 | 24 |
| Set pieces | Kristianstad FC | FC Trollhättan |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Corners per match | 4.3 | 5.5 |
| Corners against per match | 5.3 | 4 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| Other | Kristianstad FC | FC Trollhättan |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.54 | 0.57 |
| The goalkeepers | Otto Larsson Wågert (Kristianstad FC) | Jimmy Henriksson (FC Trollhättan) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 94 | 60 |
| Save % | 71% | 76% |
| xG prevented | 50% | 58% |
| Claims | 181 (95%) | 105 (92%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Lunds BK – Trelleborgs FF16 October 2026 19:00 CEST
- IFK Stocksund – Enköpings SK16 October 2026 19:30 CEST
- Ängelholm – Laholm17 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Tvååker – Rosengård17 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Arlanda – Järfälla17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- FBK Karlstad – Karlberg17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Jönköpings Södra – AFC Malmö17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Skövde AIK – Eskilsminne17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Åtvidaberg – Hässleholms IF17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Kristianstad FC vs FC Trollhättan according to our model?
The model gives FC Trollhättan a 56% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Kristianstad FC 22%, draw 22%, FC Trollhättan 56%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and under at 39%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Kristianstad FC vs FC Trollhättan?
The model expects 1.22 goals (xG) for Kristianstad FC and 1.94 for FC Trollhättan, 3.16 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Kristianstad FC or draw (1X) 44%, FC Trollhättan or draw (X2) 78% and no draw (12) 78%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.