01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Trelleborgs FF to win57%
- Over 1.5 goals81%
Swedish Ettan10°12,7 mm62 km/h
Läs på svenska
Trelleborgs FFPossession & high press3–1
ÅtvidabergPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 1 · Trelleborgs FF (57%)
Trelleborgs FF vs Åtvidaberg · Swedish Ettan
1 · Trelleborgs FF 57%X 22%21% Åtvidaberg · 2
57%
22%
21%
Prediction summary
Final score 3–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Trelleborgs FF vs Åtvidaberg (Swedish Ettan, Sunday, 25 October 2026): Trelleborgs FF win 57%, draw 22%, Åtvidaberg win 21%. Expected goals (xG): Trelleborgs FF 1.92, Åtvidaberg 1.09. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 57%. Double chance: Trelleborgs FF or draw 79%, Åtvidaberg or draw 43%. Prediction updated Saturday, 17 October 2026.
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Analysis: Trelleborgs FF – Åtvidaberg
Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work
The betting angle sharpens with Bet365 offering value on Trelleborgs at odds of 1.80. Their winning streak, combined with a superior xG and xGA profile, makes this an attractive proposition. Expect Trelleborgs to edge it 2-1, as their potency in attack seems poised to continue against an Åtvidaberg side struggling to match their recent excellence.
Corrected text:
Seven straight wins tell the story of Trelleborgs’ current form—dominant and relentless. Scoring in 13 consecutive league matches, their attack is a consistent threat. The model gives them a 57% probability of winning, highlighting their edge over Åtvidaberg, who lag with a 21% chance. The expected goals of 1.92 to 1.09 further underline Trelleborgs' offensive superiority. While both teams favor a possession-based, high-press game, Trelleborgs’ recent performance suggests they are likely to impose their style more effectively.
The most likely scorelines—1-1, 2-1, and 1-0—reflect a close contest, but Trelleborgs’ momentum could tilt the balance. Despite the high press from both sides, the absence of wind means the expected rain won't significantly alter the dynamics. With a 58% chance for over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring at 57%, goals are anticipated, though the weather might slightly suppress this.
Trelleborgs' winning streak, combined with a superior xG and xGA profile, makes them an attractive proposition in this matchup. Expect Trelleborgs to edge it 2-1, as their potency in attack seems poised to continue against an Åtvidaberg side struggling to match their recent excellence.
Trelleborgs FFForm WWWWW
League ranking xG #3xGA #6xT #5xP/match #5Points #2
Key players
- Jesper ModigCBxG 0.08 · xT 0.15
- Ammar AsaniCDMxG 0.05 · xT 0.14
- Kofi Fosuhene AsareFxG 0.36 · xT 0.08
ÅtvidabergForm WWDDL
League ranking xG #10xGA #9xT #10xP/match #11Points #8
Key players
- Carl ThulinCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.11
- Albin BergströmRWxG 0.05 · xT 0.37
- Erik GrandeliusRWxG 0.24 · xT 0.31
Final score
3 – 1
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Trelleborgs FF 57% · Draw 22% · Åtvidaberg 21%
Match prediction: Trelleborgs FF – Åtvidaberg
Predicted score matrix
Åtvidaberg →
Trelleborgs FF →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.2%
0–15.1%
0–22.9%
0–31.1%
0–4+0.4%
1
1–09.1%
1–110.6%
1–25.6%
1–32.0%
1–4+0.7%
2
2–09.1%
2–19.9%
2–25.4%
2–32.0%
2–4+0.7%
3
3–05.8%
3–16.3%
3–23.5%
3–31.3%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–04.3%
4+–14.7%
4+–22.6%
4+–30.9%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.2-110%
- 3.1-09%
- 4.2-09%
- 5.3-16%
Expected goals
1,92–1,09
Both teams to score
57%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
114%
223%
322%
417%
5+19%
Under 2,542%
@2.18
Over 2,558%
@1.58
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Trelleborgs FF to win57%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Oskar Ruuska to score23%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score57%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Oskar Ruuska to score23%
- Tufve Östlund to be booked18%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Trelleborgs FF57% probability@1.80LeoVegasEV+2%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Trelleborgs FF | X | 2 · Åtvidaberg |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | EV+ 2% 1.80 | 3.75 | 3.65 |
Odds updated 25 Oct, 12:36
Odds movement
1-4 %
51 %46 %
1.88 → 1.80
X+4 %
28 %23 %
3.60 → 3.75
2+7 %
29 %24 %
3.40 → 3.65
Over 2,5-2 %
60 %55 %
1.61 → 1.58
LeoVegas · 6 recorded price levels · 24/10/2026 → 25/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
1 matchesTrelleborgs FF 1Draw 0Åtvidaberg 0
Goals: 2–1 (⌀ 3)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Key facts
- Trelleborgs FF come into this round on 7 straight wins.
- Trelleborgs FF have scored in 13 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Trelleborgs FF
Åtvidaberg
Trelleborgs FF (61–30)
Åtvidaberg (51–38)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Trelleborgs FF
Åtvidaberg
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Trelleborgs FF
Åtvidaberg
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Trelleborgs FF | Åtvidaberg |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 60 | 47 |
| xPoints | 43.2 | 39.1 |
| xG per match | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| xGA per match | 1 | 1.2 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| Playing style | Trelleborgs FF | Åtvidaberg |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| Field tilt | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| xT per match | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| xTA per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 36 | 29 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.57 | 0.56 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| Entries into the box per match | 15 | 14 |
| Entries into the box against | 11 | 10 |
| Pass completion % | 0.76 | 0.81 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| Passes per match | 349 | 432 |
| Passes against per match | 298 | 344 |
| Switches of play per match | 16.8 | 13.8 |
| Long balls per match | 31 | 29 |
| Set pieces | Trelleborgs FF | Åtvidaberg |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| Corners per match | 5.9 | 5.8 |
| Corners against per match | 4 | 5.4 |
| xG per corner | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| Other | Trelleborgs FF | Åtvidaberg |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.49 | 0.6 |
| The goalkeepers | Malte Påhlsson (Trelleborgs FF) | Hugo Claesson (Åtvidaberg) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 73 | 71 |
| Save % | 72% | 65% |
| xG prevented | 39% | 41% |
| Claims | 172 (92%) | 123 (93%) |
Teams & more matches this round
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- Järfälla – Hammarby TFF23 October 2026 19:30 CEST
- AFC Malmö – Ängelholm24 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Eskilsminne – Lunds BK24 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Rosengård – Kristianstad FC24 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Laholm – Olympic24 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Gefle – FBK Karlstad24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Hässleholms IF – Skövde AIK24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- FC Trollhättan – Jönköpings Södra24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Trelleborgs FF vs Åtvidaberg according to our model?
The model gives Trelleborgs FF a 57% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Trelleborgs FF 57%, draw 22%, Åtvidaberg 21%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Trelleborgs FF vs Åtvidaberg?
The model expects 1.92 goals (xG) for Trelleborgs FF and 1.09 for Åtvidaberg, 3.01 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Trelleborgs FF or draw (1X) 79%, Åtvidaberg or draw (X2) 43% and no draw (12) 78%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.