01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Ängelholm or draw (X2)69%
- Over 1.5 goals81%
Swedish Ettan11°3,3 mm28 km/h
Läs på svenska
UtsiktenCounter-attacks & crossesvs
ÄngelholmLow block & directThe model's lean: 2 · Ängelholm (41%)
Utsikten vs Ängelholm · Swedish Ettan
1 · Utsikten 33%X 26%41% Ängelholm · 2
33%
26%
41%
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Utsikten – Ängelholm
Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work
The sharpest betting angle emerges on the moneyline, where Ängelholm's win probability at 41% suggests a competitive edge for the visitors.
Everything else in the text matches the facts, except for the unsupported claim about Bet365 odds of 2.50, which is not supported by the given data. Here is the corrected text:
A razor-thin edge favors Ängelholm against Utsikten, yet the balance of styles and numbers whispers intrigue into this Ettan matchup. With both teams sitting in contrasting positions, Ängelholm holds a calculated advantage not just in the standings but across the statistical board. The visitors' model probability stands at a commanding 41% compared to the hosts' 33%. Yet, this is not a runaway; it's a calculated chess match fought over inches rather than yards.
Utsikten will likely lean on their counter-attacking prowess and aerial assaults, but the numbers suggest they may find themselves outgunned. With expected goals sitting at 1.38 for the hosts and 1.68 for the visitors, Ängelholm's low-block defense and direct play could carve avenues through Utsikten’s more vulnerable backline—their xGA per match of 2.1 is telling. Despite their defensive frailties, Utsikten might find solace in their home turf, aiming to disrupt Ängelholm's rhythm.
The most likely scorelines—1-1, 1-2, and 0-1—mirror a tension layered with tactical nuance and defensive gaps. Historical head-to-head data offers limited insight with just one encounter, an Ängelholm win. Thus, current form and expected goals remain pivotal, pointing towards a narrow Ängelholm edge.
Set against the backdrop of these patterns, the over 2.5 goals market stands at a notable 59%, indicating a moderate expectation for goals despite Ängelholm’s more defensive posture. Both teams to score is pegged at 61%, reflecting vulnerabilities on both sides.
The sharpest betting angle emerges on the moneyline, where Ängelholm's win probability at 41% suggests a competitive edge for the visitors.
UtsiktenForm DLDLW
League ranking xG #30xGA #32xT #21xP/match #32Points #32
Key players
- Melvin KoliqiFxG 0.18 · xT 0.30
- Oliver BallFxG 0.40 · xT 0.02
- Enzo AndrénCAMxG 0.15 · xT 0.12
ÄngelholmForm LLLDL
League ranking xG #27xGA #22xT #20xP/match #19Points #29
Key players
- Vilgot CarlssonFxG 0.29 · xT 0.10
- Oliver Stojanovic FredinFxG 0.15 · xT 0.53
- Anton NilssonLWxG 0.22 · xT 0.10
Match prediction: Utsikten – Ängelholm
Predicted score matrix
Ängelholm →
Utsikten →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.0%
0–17.6%
0–26.6%
0–33.7%
0–4+2.3%
1
1–06.2%
1–111.2%
1–29.1%
1–35.1%
1–4+3.1%
2
2–04.5%
2–17.5%
2–26.3%
2–33.5%
2–4+2.2%
3
3–02.1%
3–13.5%
3–22.9%
3–31.6%
3–4+1.0%
4+
4+–01.0%
4+–11.6%
4+–21.4%
4+–30.8%
4+–4+0.5%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.0-18%
- 4.2-18%
- 5.0-27%
Expected goals
1,38–1,68
Both teams to score
61%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,10
114%
222%
322%
417%
5+19%
Under 2,541%
–
Over 2,559%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Ängelholm or draw (X2)69%
- Over 2.5 goals59%
- Adam Touray to score28%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score61%
- Over 2.5 goals59%
- Adam Touray to score28%
- Felix Wennergrund to be booked18%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
1 matchesUtsikten 0Draw 0Ängelholm 1
Goals: 2–4 (⌀ 6)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Utsikten
Ängelholm
Utsikten (21–57)
Ängelholm (28–47)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Utsikten
Ängelholm
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Utsikten
Ängelholm
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Utsikten | Ängelholm |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 12 | 18 |
| xPoints | 23.6 | 31.1 |
| xG per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| xGA per match | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| Playing style | Utsikten | Ängelholm |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| Field tilt | 0.42 | 0.47 |
| xT per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| xTA per match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 30 | 29 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| Entries into the box per match | 11 | 11 |
| Entries into the box against | 18 | 15 |
| Pass completion % | 0.76 | 0.75 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.7 | 0.71 |
| Passes per match | 320 | 320 |
| Passes against per match | 449 | 388 |
| Switches of play per match | 15.7 | 17.7 |
| Long balls per match | 30 | 30 |
| Set pieces | Utsikten | Ängelholm |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.1 | 0.14 |
| Corners per match | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Corners against per match | 5.1 | 4.4 |
| xG per corner | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.52 | 0.58 |
| Other | Utsikten | Ängelholm |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.58 | 0.51 |
| The goalkeepers | Joel Nöller (Utsikten) | Robin Streifert (Ängelholm) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 67 | 70 |
| Save % | 79% | 63% |
| xG prevented | 65% | 36% |
| Claims | 37 (84%) | 169 (97%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Sollentuna – IFK Stocksund9 October 2026 19:00 CEST
- Karlberg – Vasalund10 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Eskilsminne – Olympic10 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Hässleholms IF – Jönköpings Södra10 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Trelleborgs FF – Kristianstad FC10 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- AFC Eskilstuna – Stockholm Internazionale10 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Lunds BK – FC Trollhättan10 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Rosengård – Åtvidaberg10 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- AFC Malmö – Skövde AIK10 October 2026 16:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Utsikten vs Ängelholm according to our model?
The model gives Ängelholm a 41% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Utsikten 33%, draw 26%, Ängelholm 41%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.