Boluspor vs Antalyaspor Prediction: Away win 58% (10 Oct 2026)

Turkish 1. Lig10 October 202615°7 km/h

Läs på svenska

BolusporLow block & direct

AntalyasporPossession & high press

The model's lean: 2 · Antalyaspor (58%)

1 · Boluspor 20%X 22%58% Antalyaspor · 2

20%

22%

58%

Bet on this match

NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet

BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe

LeoVegas100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningenClaim the bonus at LeoVegas

18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links

Analysis: Boluspor – Antalyaspor

Anna Karlsson · 3 October 2026 · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work

TEXT (corrected):

Antalyaspor's robust 58% probability of winning looms large over their clash with Boluspor. The visiting side's dominance is clear, with crucial edges in both points and expected metrics. While the hosts have garnered just one point thus far, Antalyaspor stands strong with twelve, highlighting a chasm in form. This gulf is mirrored in the expected goals, where the visitors lead 1.84 to Boluspor's 0.98, suggesting a likely triumph on the road.

Boluspor's defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 1.9 expected goals per match. This vulnerability is ripe for exploitation by Antalyaspor, who thrive on possession and high pressing. Despite Boluspor's direct style, the visitors’ ability to control and dictate play should see them nullify the hosts' sporadic threats. The most probable outcomes, 1-1 and 0-1, reflect a slight chance of Boluspor resistance, while 0-2 follows closely behind, underscoring Antalyaspor's superiority.

For those looking at totals, with a 53% probability for over 2.5 goals, the numbers tilt slightly towards a higher-scoring game, yet the visitors' control might keep things tighter.

Boluspor

Form LLLDL

League ranking xG #20xGA #21xT #20xP/match #21Points #21

Key players

Rodrigo Rivas GonzálezFxG 0.20 · xT 0.01
Mustafa Alptekin Cayl?RWxG 0.10 · xT 0.04
Abdulsamet KırımLBxG 0.05 · xT 0.18

Antalyaspor

Form LWLWW

League ranking xG #14xGA #12xT #8xP/match #15Points #9

Key players

Bunyamin BalciRWBxG 0.03 · xT 0.12
Ramzi SafuriCMxG 0.08 · xT 0.09
Sander Van De StreekLWxG 0.23 · xT 0.06

Match prediction: Boluspor – Antalyaspor

Predicted score matrix

Antalyaspor →

Boluspor →

0–06.3%

0–110.7%

0–210.1%

0–36.2%

0–4+4.3%

1–05.5%

1–111.1%

1–29.9%

1–36.0%

1–4+4.2%

2–02.9%

2–15.3%

2–24.9%

2–33.0%

2–4+2.1%

3–00.9%

3–11.7%

3–21.6%

3–31.0%

3–4+0.7%

4+–00.3%

4+–10.5%

4+–20.5%

4+–30.3%

4+–4+0.2%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.0-111%
3.0-210%
4.1-210%
5.0-06%

Expected goals

0,98–1,84

Both teams to score

53%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,8

116%

224%

322%

416%

5+16%

Under 2,547%

@2.04

Over 2,553%

@1.68

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Antalyaspor to win58%
Over 1.5 goals78%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Antalyaspor to win58%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Ahmet Sağat to score31%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score53%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Ahmet Sağat to score31%
Can Arda Yılmaz to be booked21%

Odds & value

Bookmaker	1 · Boluspor	X	2 · Antalyaspor
Betsafe	4.82	3.87	1.59
Nordicbet	4.82	3.87	1.59

Odds updated 3 Oct, 20:36

Odds movement

1-8 %

21 %16 %

5.24 → 4.82

X+1 %

27 %22 %

3.84 → 3.87

2+2 %

61 %56 %

1.56 → 1.59

Over 2,50 %

57 %52 %

1.68 → 1.68

Nordicbet · 4 recorded price levels · 03/10/2026 → 03/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Boluspor

Antalyaspor

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Boluspor (3–20)

Antalyaspor (14–13)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Boluspor

Antalyaspor

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Boluspor

Antalyaspor

The teams in numbers

Performance	Boluspor	Antalyaspor
Points	1	12
xPoints	7	9.9
xG per match	0.67	1.1
xGA per match	1.9	1.2
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.17	0.17
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.29	0.41

Playing style	Boluspor	Antalyaspor
Build-up efficiency	0.31	0.28
Field tilt	0.29	0.6
xT per match	0.61	1.1
xTA per match	1.3	0.86
Won balls, offensive half	19	20
Pressing intensity	0.22	0.22
Pressing efficiency	0.25	0.25
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.18	0.2
Entries into the box per match	7	14
Entries into the box against	13	11
Pass completion %	0.71	0.8
Pass completion % under pressure	0.68	0.76
Passes per match	252	413
Passes against per match	456	302
Switches of play per match	21	33.8
Long balls per match	30	44

Set pieces	Boluspor	Antalyaspor
xG from free kicks	0.07	0.04
Corners per match	2	4.7
Corners against per match	5.9	3.2
xG per corner	0.02	0.03
xGA per corner against	0.02	0.01
First touch, offensive corners %	0.31	0.41
First touch, defensive corners %	0.74	0.58

Other	Boluspor	Antalyaspor
Throw-in control	0.73	0.7

The goalkeepers	Angelo Tafas (Boluspor)	Abdullah Yigiter (Antalyaspor)
Saves	23	10
Save %	57%	56%
xG prevented	25%	29%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Boluspor

Fixtures, form & tips

Antalyaspor

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Boluspor vs Antalyaspor according to our model?

The model gives Antalyaspor a 58% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Boluspor 20%, draw 22%, Antalyaspor 58%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and under at 47%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.