01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Reims or draw (X2)69%
- Under 3.5 goals74%
Ligue 2Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer13°2,5 mm28 km/h
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BoulognePossession controlvs
ReimsLow block & directThe model's lean: 2 · Reims (41%)Best value by the model: Over 2,5 @ 2.19 (+5 %)
Boulogne vs Reims · Ligue 2
1 · Boulogne 29%X 30%41% Reims · 2
29%
30%
41%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Boulogne vs Reims (Ligue 2, Monday, 26 October 2026): Boulogne win 29%, draw 30%, Reims win 41%. Expected goals (xG): Boulogne 1.19, Reims 1.41. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 53%. Double chance: Boulogne or draw 59%, Reims or draw 71%. Prediction updated Thursday, 15 October 2026.
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Analysis: Boulogne – Reims
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
TEXT: Reims are riding high on a remarkable streak, unbeaten in their last 16 league matches. With a 41% probability of winning against Boulogne, the visitors hold a clear edge. Despite Boulogne's aim for possession control, their expected goals sit at just 1.19 compared to Reims’ more robust 1.41, underlining the visitors' superior attacking potential. The head-to-head record offers little insight with only two games played since 2023, leaving form and expected goals as the decisive factors.
The most likely outcome, according to the model, is a 1-1 draw at 13%, followed closely by a 0-1 victory for Reims at 10%. Both teams show a moderate probability of finding the net, with the chances of both teams scoring pegged at 53%. Although Boulogne’s defensive numbers are slightly better, conceding fewer expected goals per match (1.1), the possession control strategy may falter against Reims' direct approach.
With the over 2.5 goals market rated at 48%, there’s a small value opportunity here. Odds of 2.1 available at Betsafe, LeoVegas, and Nordicbet present a thin edge, albeit just 1%. The analysis leans towards Reims securing a narrow victory, perhaps 0-1 or 1-2, with the over 2.5 goals line offering a calculated, albeit slim, value punt.
BoulogneForm DDLDW
League ranking xG #16xGA #6xT #16xP/match #10Points #14
Key players
- Abdel HbouchFxG 0.31 · xT 0.11
- Julien BoyerLWBxG 0.04 · xT 0.17
- Theo BruscoCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.08
ReimsForm DWDDW
League ranking xG #10xGA #9xT #11xP/match #5Points #4
Key players
- Yaya FofanaCAMxG 0.38 · xT 0.12
- Ange Martial TiaRWxG 0.21 · xT 0.16
- Samuel Junior KottoCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.06
Match prediction: Boulogne – Reims
Predicted score matrix
Reims →
Boulogne →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–07.8%
0–110.1%
0–27.4%
0–33.5%
0–4+1.7%
1
1–08.5%
1–112.8%
1–28.8%
1–34.1%
1–4+2.0%
2
2–05.3%
2–17.4%
2–25.2%
2–32.4%
2–4+1.2%
3
3–02.1%
3–12.9%
3–22.1%
3–31.0%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–00.8%
4+–11.1%
4+–20.8%
4+–30.4%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.0-110%
- 3.1-29%
- 4.1-08%
- 5.0-08%
Expected goals
1,19–1,41
Both teams to score
53%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,608%
119%
225%
322%
414%
5+12%
Under 2,552%
@1.71
Over 2,548%
@2.19EV+5%
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Reims or draw (X2)69%
- Under 2.5 goals52%
- Sambou Soumano to score22%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score53%
- Over 2.5 goals48%
- Sambou Soumano to score22%
- Nolan Binet to be booked26%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Over 2.548% probability@2.19PinnacleEV+5%reference odds
- 1 · Boulogne29% probability@3.56PinnacleEV+4%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Boulogne | X | 2 · Reims |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 3.40 | 3.15 | 2.08 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.08 |
| Nordicbet | 3.40 | 3.15 | 2.08 |
| Pinnacle | EV+ 4% 3.56 | 3.16 | 2.24 |
Odds updated 26 Oct, 12:35
Odds movement
1+11 %
31 %26 %
3.22 → 3.56
X0 %
33 %28 %
3.16 → 3.16
2-3 %
44 %39 %
2.32 → 2.24
Over 2,50 %
46 %41 %
2.18 → 2.19
Pinnacle · 8 recorded price levels · 21/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesBoulogne 0Draw 1Reims 1
Goals: 2–6 (⌀ 4)
Head-to-head based on Ligue 2 data since 2023.
Key facts
- Reims are unbeaten in their last 16 league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Boulogne
Reims
Boulogne (6–6)
Reims (19–11)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Boulogne
Reims
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Boulogne
Reims
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Boulogne | Reims |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 9 | 17 |
| xPoints | 11.9 | 13.4 |
| xG per match | 0.91 | 1.4 |
| xGA per match | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.19 | 0.2 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.07 | 0.34 |
| Playing style | Boulogne | Reims |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| Field tilt | 0.53 | 0.38 |
| xT per match | 0.75 | 1 |
| xTA per match | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 28 | 21 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.2 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| Entries into the box per match | 9 | 9 |
| Entries into the box against | 9 | 12 |
| Pass completion % | 0.7 | 0.76 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| Passes per match | 301 | 349 |
| Passes against per match | 401 | 429 |
| Switches of play per match | 10.6 | 27.4 |
| Long balls per match | 21 | 32 |
| Set pieces | Boulogne | Reims |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| Corners per match | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| Corners against per match | 5 | 5.2 |
| xG per corner | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.7 | 0.31 |
| Other | Boulogne | Reims |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.77 | 0.72 |
| The goalkeepers | Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu (Boulogne) | Tom Hulsmann (Reims) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 25 | 29 |
| Save % | 81% | 73% |
| xG prevented | 62% | 57% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Boulogne vs Reims according to our model?
The model gives Reims a 41% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Boulogne 29%, draw 30%, Reims 41%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 48% and under at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Boulogne vs Reims?
The model expects 1.19 goals (xG) for Boulogne and 1.41 for Reims, 2.60 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Boulogne or draw (1X) 59%, Reims or draw (X2) 71% and no draw (12) 70%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.