Sochaux vs Annecy: Prediction & Odds (23 Oct 2026)

Ligue 223 October 2026Stade Auguste Bonal, Montbéliard9°0,9 mm25 km/h

Läs på svenska

SochauxPossession control

1–3

AnnecyPossession control

The model's lean: 2 · Annecy (47%)

1 · Sochaux 24%X 29%47% Annecy · 2

24%

29%

47%

Prediction summary

Final score 1–3. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Sochaux vs Annecy (Ligue 2, Friday, 23 October 2026): Sochaux win 24%, draw 29%, Annecy win 47%. Expected goals (xG): Sochaux 1.03, Annecy 1.34. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 48%. Double chance: Sochaux or draw 53%, Annecy or draw 76%. Prediction updated Thursday, 15 October 2026.

Bet on this match

NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet

BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe

LeoVegas100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningenClaim the bonus at LeoVegas

18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links

Analysis: Sochaux – Annecy

Oscar Nilsson · 22 October 2026 · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

TEXT: Annecy come into this match with a clear statistical edge over Sochaux. The model sees the visitors as 47% likely to take the win, outstripping the home side's 24% probability. With Sochaux struggling to find the net consistently and Annecy scoring in 13 consecutive league matches, the latter's attacking consistency seems set to tilt the balance their way. Moreover, Annecy's slight advantages in xPoints and xG per match underscore their potential to capitalize on chances.

A low-scoring affair is anticipated, with the 1-1 and 0-1 scorelines leading expectations at 13% and 12%, respectively. The expected goals suggest a cagey match, with Annecy projected at 1.34 and Sochaux at 1.03. Rain could dampen the pace further, contributing to an over 2.5 goals expectation at 42%. Both teams lean on possession control, but Annecy's more efficient use of the ball and superior xG stats give them the upper hand.

For those seeking value, Annecy's away win odds of 3.15 with LeoVegas stand out, offering a significant 47% edge according to the model. Similar opportunities are available at 3.1 with Betsafe and Nordicbet, providing potential for those willing to back Annecy's favorable form.

Sochaux

Form DWDDL

League ranking xG #15xGA #14xT #17xP/match #9Points #10

Key players

Jonathan MexiqueCMxG 0.01 · xT 0.06
Kapitbafan DjocoFxG 0.22 · xT 0.03
Mathieu PeybernesCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.07

Annecy

Form WLLWL

League ranking xG #13xGA #11xT #15xP/match #8Points #8

Key players

Axel DrouhinCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.05
Ahmed KashiCDMxG 0.03 · xT 0.09
Clément BillemazLWxG 0.12 · xT 0.10

Final score

1 – 3

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Sochaux 24% · Draw 29% · Annecy 47%

How the bookmaker bet builders went

The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

Matchresultat - FC AnnecyBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 11,06fair 11,46-3 %

Hit

Matchresultat - SochauxBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 9,16fair 19,20-52 %

Miss

Match prediction: Sochaux – Annecy

Predicted score matrix

Annecy →

Sochaux →

0–09.8%

0–112.2%

0–28.4%

0–33.7%

0–4+1.7%

1–09.3%

1–113.3%

1–28.6%

1–33.8%

1–4+1.7%

2–05.0%

2–16.6%

2–24.4%

2–32.0%

2–4+0.9%

3–01.7%

3–12.3%

3–21.5%

3–30.7%

3–4+0.3%

4+–00.5%

4+–10.7%

4+–20.5%

4+–30.2%

4+–4+0.1%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-113%
2.0-112%
3.0-010%
4.1-09%
5.1-29%

Expected goals

1,03–1,34

Both teams to score

48%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,4

010%

121%

227%

321%

412%

5+9%

Under 2,558%

@1.72

Over 2,542%

@2.16

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Annecy to win47%
Under 3.5 goals79%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Annecy to win47%
Under 2.5 goals58%
Clément Billemaz to score16%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score48%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Clément Billemaz to score16%
Mattéo Veillon to be booked22%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Annecy47% probability@3.06PinnacleEV+43%reference odds
2 · Annecy47% probability@2.90BetsafeEV+36%reference odds
2 · Annecy47% probability@2.90NordicbetEV+36%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Sochaux	X	2 · Annecy
Betsafe	2.35	3.10	EV+ 36% 2.90
LeoVegas	2.40	3.15	EV+ 34% 2.88
Nordicbet	2.35	3.10	EV+ 36% 2.90
Pinnacle	2.46	3.23	EV+ 43% 3.06

Odds updated 23 Oct, 13:36

Odds movement

1+10 %

43 %38 %

2.23 → 2.46

X-1 %

32 %27 %

3.25 → 3.23

2-7 %

33 %28 %

3.29 → 3.06

Over 2,5+1 %

47 %42 %

2.13 → 2.16

Pinnacle · 6 recorded price levels · 21/10/2026 → 23/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Key facts

FC Annecy have scored in 13 consecutive league matches.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Sochaux

Annecy

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Sochaux (7–9)

Annecy (11–11)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Sochaux

Annecy

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Sochaux

Annecy

The teams in numbers

Performance	Sochaux	Annecy
Points	11	13
xPoints	12	12.6
xG per match	1	1.2
xGA per match	1.6	1.5
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.18	0.27
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.28	0.15

Playing style	Sochaux	Annecy
Build-up efficiency	0.32	0.28
Field tilt	0.38	0.4
xT per match	0.65	0.85
xTA per match	1.4	1.3
Won balls, offensive half	19	27
Pressing intensity	0.21	0.21
Pressing efficiency	0.25	0.3
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.16	0.25
Entries into the box per match	7	9
Entries into the box against	16	12
Pass completion %	0.73	0.7
Pass completion % under pressure	0.7	0.66
Passes per match	301	301
Passes against per match	437	408
Switches of play per match	25.7	15.4
Long balls per match	33	25

Set pieces	Sochaux	Annecy
xG from free kicks	0.02	0.02
Corners per match	3.6	5.7
Corners against per match	6.5	5.2
xG per corner	0.01	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.01	0.03
First touch, offensive corners %	0.31	0.47
First touch, defensive corners %	0.64	0.83

Other	Sochaux	Annecy
Throw-in control	0.66	0.75

The goalkeepers	Mehdi Jeannin (Sochaux)	Florian Escales (Annecy)
Saves	35	24
Save %	85%	73%
xG prevented	70%	37%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Sochaux

Fixtures, form & tips

Annecy

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Sochaux vs Annecy according to our model?

The model gives Annecy a 47% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sochaux 24%, draw 29%, Annecy 47%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 42% and under at 58%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 48% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Sochaux vs Annecy?

The model expects 1.03 goals (xG) for Sochaux and 1.34 for Annecy, 2.36 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Sochaux or draw (1X) 53%, Annecy or draw (X2) 76% and no draw (12) 71%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.