01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Dijon or draw (X2)71%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
Ligue 2Stade des Alpes, Grenoble12°7 km/h
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GrenobleCounter-attacks & crossesvs
DijonPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 2 · Dijon (40%)Best value by the model: 1 · Grenoble @ 3.25 (+6 %)
Grenoble vs Dijon · Ligue 2
1 · Grenoble 33%X 28%40% Dijon · 2
33%
28%
40%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Grenoble vs Dijon (Ligue 2, Friday, 30 October 2026): Grenoble win 33%, draw 28%, Dijon win 40%. Expected goals (xG): Grenoble 1.25, Dijon 1.62. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 57%. Double chance: Grenoble or draw 60%, Dijon or draw 67%. Prediction updated Thursday, 22 October 2026.
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Analysis: Grenoble – Dijon
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
Grenoble's slide continues with three straight losses, and against a Dijon side that has found the net in eight consecutive league matches, the hosts appear vulnerable. Despite their home advantage, the numbers tilt towards the visitors: Dijon has a 40% probability of winning according to the model, while Grenoble lags at 33%. The expected goals further underline this gap, with Dijon predicted at 1.62 to Grenoble's 1.25. Dijon’s high press may disrupt Grenoble’s counter-attacking style, potentially allowing the visitors to create more scoring opportunities.
The most likely scorelines suggest a tight contest, with a 12% probability for a 1-1 draw and 9% for both a 1-2 and a 0-1 outcome in favor of Dijon. These projections align with both teams' playing styles and recent performances. Grenoble has struggled to generate offense, averaging just 0.73 xG per match compared to Dijon's 1.4. However, the home side shows slightly better defensive metrics with an xGA of 1.5 against Dijon's 1.6.
The standout betting angle points to goals. The over 2.5 market offers value at odds of 1.98 with both Betsafe and Nordicbet, reflecting an 8% edge on the model's 55% probability. Additionally, for those anticipating a more open match, the over 3.5 at 3.35 with Betsafe also carries a similar value edge.
GrenobleForm WDLLL
League ranking xG #18xGA #12xT #18xP/match #16Points #16
Key players
- Matthéo XantippeLBxG 0.02 · xT 0.13
- Lucas BernadouCAMxG 0.07 · xT 0.09
- Maël Vincent Lawrence CorbozCAMxG 0.07 · xT 0.02
DijonForm WWWLL
League ranking xG #8xGA #15xT #1xP/match #15Points #10
Key players
- Samy Olivier ChouchaneCMxG 0.44 · xT 0.18
- Ismaïl BouleghchaRBxG 0.00 · xT 0.20
- Júlio Carolino TavaresRWxG 0.58 · xT 0.23
Match prediction: Grenoble – Dijon
Predicted score matrix
Dijon →
Grenoble →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.0%
0–18.9%
0–27.4%
0–34.0%
0–4+2.3%
1
1–06.8%
1–111.8%
1–29.3%
1–35.0%
1–4+2.9%
2
2–04.4%
2–17.2%
2–25.8%
2–33.1%
2–4+1.8%
3
3–01.8%
3–13.0%
3–22.4%
3–31.3%
3–4+0.8%
4+
4+–00.8%
4+–11.2%
4+–21.0%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.0-27%
- 5.2-17%
Expected goals
1,25–1,62
Both teams to score
57%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,545%
@1.85
Over 2,555%
@1.85EV+1%
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Dijon or draw (X2)71%
- Over 2.5 goals55%
- Samy Olivier Chouchane to score28%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score57%
- Over 2.5 goals55%
- Samy Olivier Chouchane to score28%
- Brandon Nsimba Nsimba Ndezi to be booked23%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Grenoble33% probability@3.25BetsafeEV+6%reference odds
- 1 · Grenoble33% probability@3.25NordicbetEV+6%reference odds
- 1 · Grenoble33% probability@3.20LeoVegasEV+5%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Grenoble | X | 2 · Dijon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | EV+ 6% 3.25 | 3.15 | 2.15 |
| LeoVegas | EV+ 5% 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 6% 3.25 | 3.15 | 2.15 |
Odds updated 26 Oct, 13:36
Odds movement
1+5 %
32 %27 %
3.05 → 3.20
X+2 %
31 %26 %
3.15 → 3.20
2-4 %
44 %39 %
2.25 → 2.15
Over 2,5-5 %
51 %46 %
1.95 → 1.85
LeoVegas · 4 recorded price levels · 24/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Key facts
- Grenoble have lost 3 in a row.
- Dijon have scored in 8 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Grenoble
Dijon
Grenoble (9–17)
Dijon (17–18)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Grenoble
Dijon
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Grenoble
Dijon
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Grenoble | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 8 | 12 |
| xPoints | 11.4 | 11.8 |
| xG per match | 0.73 | 1.4 |
| xGA per match | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.33 | 0.3 |
| Playing style | Grenoble | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.28 | 0.56 |
| xT per match | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| xTA per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 17 | 35 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.24 | 0.3 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| Entries into the box per match | 7 | 13 |
| Entries into the box against | 14 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.74 | 0.78 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.7 | 0.73 |
| Passes per match | 295 | 437 |
| Passes against per match | 466 | 340 |
| Switches of play per match | 22.4 | 30.7 |
| Long balls per match | 29 | 44 |
| Set pieces | Grenoble | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.01 | 0.06 |
| Corners per match | 2.9 | 4.2 |
| Corners against per match | 6.6 | 4.2 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.34 | 0.45 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| Other | Grenoble | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| The goalkeepers | Alexandre Olliero (Grenoble) | Paul Delecroix (Dijon) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 37 | 29 |
| Save % | 69% | 63% |
| xG prevented | 37% | 45% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Grenoble vs Dijon according to our model?
The model gives Dijon a 40% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Grenoble 33%, draw 28%, Dijon 40%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and under at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Grenoble vs Dijon?
The model expects 1.25 goals (xG) for Grenoble and 1.62 for Dijon, 2.87 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Grenoble or draw (1X) 60%, Dijon or draw (X2) 67% and no draw (12) 72%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.