01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Reims to win59%
- Over 1.5 goals79%
Ligue 2Stade Auguste-Delaune, Reims8°9 km/h
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ReimsLow block & directvs
SochauxPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Reims (59%)
Reims vs Sochaux · Ligue 2
1 · Reims 59%X 23%18% Sochaux · 2
59%
23%
18%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Reims vs Sochaux (Ligue 2, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Reims win 59%, draw 23%, Sochaux win 18%. Expected goals (xG): Reims 1.99, Sochaux 0.91. Most likely score: 2-0 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 52%. Double chance: Reims or draw 82%, Sochaux or draw 41%. Prediction updated Thursday, 22 October 2026.
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Analysis: Reims – Sochaux
Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work
TEXT: Reims enter this matchup with a formidable unbeaten run, having not tasted defeat in their last 16 league games. This impressive streak underscores their tactical effectiveness, rooted in a low defensive line that transitions swiftly into direct attacking play. Their opponents, Sochaux, lean heavily on possession control, a style that hasn't quite translated into consistent results this season. Reims' ability to disrupt Sochaux's rhythm could tilt the balance in their favor.
The numbers suggest a clear edge for Reims. Reims not only lead in points but also marginally in expected points and goals per match, indicating a more efficient conversion of chances. With an expected goals figure of 1.99 for Reims against Sochaux's 0.91, Reims' attacking potential is apparent. Yet, it's Reims' defensive solidity, mirrored in a balanced xGA of 1.4, which offers them a distinct advantage over Sochaux's 1.6. These metrics suggest a tighter game than the raw scoreline probabilities might imply, with the potential for Reims to nullify Sochaux's possession-based approach.
While the small head-to-head sample tempers its influence, the form guide and model probabilities give a compelling case for a Reims victory. Both 2-0 and 1-0 scorelines share an 11% likelihood, highlighting a scenario where Reims might edge this encounter without conceding. That said, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals, the model leans slightly towards a more open game, potentially seeing Sochaux nick a goal.
When considering the betting landscape, spotting value is crucial. Bet365 offers odds of 3.75 on a 2-0 victory for Reims, which aligns with the model's most likely outcome. While this isn't a guarantee, it presents a worthwhile opportunity for those looking to leverage the current data into potential returns.
ReimsForm DWDDW
League ranking xG #10xGA #9xT #11xP/match #5Points #4
Key players
- Yaya FofanaCAMxG 0.38 · xT 0.12
- Ange Martial TiaRWxG 0.21 · xT 0.16
- Samuel Junior KottoCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.06
SochauxForm WDDLL
League ranking xG #15xGA #14xT #17xP/match #9Points #12
Key players
- Kapitbafan DjocoFxG 0.21 · xT 0.03
- Benjamin GomelLWxG 0.24 · xT 0.15
- Mathieu PeybernesCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.06
Match prediction: Reims – Sochaux
Predicted score matrix
Sochaux →
Reims →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.7%
0–14.7%
0–22.3%
0–30.7%
0–4+0.2%
1
1–010.6%
1–110.2%
1–24.5%
1–31.4%
1–4+0.4%
2
2–010.9%
2–19.9%
2–24.5%
2–31.4%
2–4+0.4%
3
3–07.2%
3–16.6%
3–23.0%
3–30.9%
3–4+0.3%
4+
4+–05.7%
4+–15.2%
4+–22.4%
4+–30.7%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-011%
- 2.1-011%
- 3.1-110%
- 4.2-110%
- 5.3-07%
Expected goals
1,99–0,91
Both teams to score
52%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
115%
223%
322%
416%
5+17%
Under 2,544%
@2.02
Over 2,556%
@1.72
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Reims to win59%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
- Sambou Soumano to score28%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score52%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
- Sambou Soumano to score28%
- Julien Masson to be booked24%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · Reims | X | 2 · Sochaux |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.55 | 3.85 | 5.30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57 | 3.95 | 5.00 |
| Nordicbet | 1.55 | 3.85 | 5.30 |
Odds updated 26 Oct, 14:36
Odds movement
1+1 %
61 %56 %
1.55 → 1.57
X-1 %
26 %21 %
4.00 → 3.95
20 %
21 %16 %
5.00 → 5.00
Over 2,50 %
57 %52 %
1.70 → 1.70
LeoVegas · 2 recorded price levels · 26/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Key facts
- Reims are unbeaten in their last 16 league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Reims
Sochaux
Reims (19–11)
Sochaux (8–12)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Reims
Sochaux
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Reims
Sochaux
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Reims | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 17 | 11 |
| xPoints | 13.4 | 13.3 |
| xG per match | 1.4 | 1 |
| xGA per match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.2 | 0.18 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| Playing style | Reims | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.38 | 0.4 |
| xT per match | 1 | 0.68 |
| xTA per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 21 | 18 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| Entries into the box per match | 9 | 8 |
| Entries into the box against | 12 | 16 |
| Pass completion % | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| Passes per match | 349 | 307 |
| Passes against per match | 429 | 417 |
| Switches of play per match | 27.4 | 26.4 |
| Long balls per match | 32 | 34 |
| Set pieces | Reims | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.07 | 0.01 |
| Corners per match | 2.7 | 4.4 |
| Corners against per match | 5.2 | 6.4 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.43 | 0.3 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.31 | 0.59 |
| Other | Reims | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.72 | 0.68 |
| The goalkeepers | Tom Hulsmann (Reims) | Mehdi Jeannin (Sochaux) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 29 | 39 |
| Save % | 73% | 81% |
| xG prevented | 57% | 62% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Reims vs Sochaux according to our model?
The model gives Reims a 59% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Reims 59%, draw 23%, Sochaux 18%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and under at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 52% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Reims vs Sochaux?
The model expects 1.99 goals (xG) for Reims and 0.91 for Sochaux, 2.91 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Reims or draw (1X) 82%, Sochaux or draw (X2) 41% and no draw (12) 77%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.