01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Hoffenheim II or draw (1X)62%
- Over 1.5 goals83%
3. Liga
Läs på svenskaBetBuilders AI model prediction for Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln (3. Liga, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Hoffenheim II win 40%, draw 22%, Viktoria Köln win 39%. Expected goals (xG): Hoffenheim II 1.60, Viktoria Köln 1.62. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 64%. Double chance: Hoffenheim II or draw 61%, Viktoria Köln or draw 60%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
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Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
TEXT: Hoffenheim II's slim 40% win probability stands out as the match's focal point, slightly nudging ahead in a razor-thin contest with Viktoria Köln, who sit at 39%. This balance is mirrored in most likely scorelines, all indicating a tight affair, with shared possession control tactics potentially neutralizing each other. Yet, Viktoria's unbeaten six-match streak suggests resilience that the model doesn't completely capture, adding another layer of intrigue.
Despite Viktoria's historical edge in their two previous encounters with Hoffenheim II, the sample size is too small to heavily sway predictions. Hoffenheim's marginal advantage in expected goals against (xGA) offers them a slight defensive edge, which could be crucial in a match where both teams are expected to score. However, Viktoria's higher xG per match and their ability to generate opportunities swiftly after regaining possession may prove decisive.
With the over 2.5 goals probability at 62%, this match leans towards a goal-rich affair, contrary to traditional expectations for possession battles. The smart money might find value in backing Hoffenheim II given their slight model lean and defensive robustness. Expect a narrow victory: 2-1 to Hoffenheim II seems a reasonable call in this finely poised battle.
01 · 2 legs
02 · 3 legs
03 · 4 legs
No odds available yet.
Head-to-head based on 3. Liga data since 2024.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
| Performance | Hoffenheim II | Viktoria Köln |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16 | 20 |
| xPoints | 15.4 | 15.4 |
| xG per match | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| xGA per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.29 | 0.4 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| Playing style | Hoffenheim II | Viktoria Köln |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| Field tilt | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| xT per match | 1.3 | 0.97 |
| xTA per match | 1.1 | 0.89 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 25 | 23 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Entries into the box per match | 17 | 11 |
| Entries into the box against | 11 | 10 |
| Pass completion % | 0.75 | 0.82 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.71 | 0.79 |
| Passes per match | 369 | 486 |
| Passes against per match | 277 | 295 |
| Switches of play per match | 22.1 | 17 |
| Long balls per match | 41 | 28 |
| Set pieces | Hoffenheim II | Viktoria Köln |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Corners per match | 4.8 | 5.1 |
| Corners against per match | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.56 | 0.43 |
| Other | Hoffenheim II | Viktoria Köln |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.77 | 0.81 |
| The goalkeepers | Lúkas Jóhannes Blöndal Petersson (Hoffenheim II) | Arne Schulz (Viktoria Köln) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 25 | 24 |
| Save % | 69% | 63% |
| xG prevented | 55% | 41% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
The model gives Hoffenheim II a 40% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Hoffenheim II 40%, draw 22%, Viktoria Köln 39%.
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 62% and under at 38%.
The probability of both teams scoring is 64% according to the model.
The model expects 1.60 goals (xG) for Hoffenheim II and 1.62 for Viktoria Köln, 3.22 in total.
Hoffenheim II or draw (1X) 61%, Viktoria Köln or draw (X2) 60% and no draw (12) 78%.
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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