3. Liga

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    Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim IIPossession control
    vs
    Viktoria KölnViktoria KölnPossession control
    The model's lean: 1 · Hoffenheim II (40%)Soft draw

    Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln · 3. Liga

    1 · Hoffenheim II 40%X 22%39% Viktoria Köln · 2

    Prediction summary

    BetBuilders AI model prediction for Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln (3. Liga, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Hoffenheim II win 40%, draw 22%, Viktoria Köln win 39%. Expected goals (xG): Hoffenheim II 1.60, Viktoria Köln 1.62. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 64%. Double chance: Hoffenheim II or draw 61%, Viktoria Köln or draw 60%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.

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    Analysis: Hoffenheim II – Viktoria Köln

    Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work

    TEXT: Hoffenheim II's slim 40% win probability stands out as the match's focal point, slightly nudging ahead in a razor-thin contest with Viktoria Köln, who sit at 39%. This balance is mirrored in most likely scorelines, all indicating a tight affair, with shared possession control tactics potentially neutralizing each other. Yet, Viktoria's unbeaten six-match streak suggests resilience that the model doesn't completely capture, adding another layer of intrigue.

    Despite Viktoria's historical edge in their two previous encounters with Hoffenheim II, the sample size is too small to heavily sway predictions. Hoffenheim's marginal advantage in expected goals against (xGA) offers them a slight defensive edge, which could be crucial in a match where both teams are expected to score. However, Viktoria's higher xG per match and their ability to generate opportunities swiftly after regaining possession may prove decisive.

    With the over 2.5 goals probability at 62%, this match leans towards a goal-rich affair, contrary to traditional expectations for possession battles. The smart money might find value in backing Hoffenheim II given their slight model lean and defensive robustness. Expect a narrow victory: 2-1 to Hoffenheim II seems a reasonable call in this finely poised battle.

    Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II
    Form WWLLW
    League ranking xG #4xGA #5xT #6xP/match #4Points #5
    Key players
    • Valentin LassigCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.13
    • Natnael AbrahaRWBxG 0.03 · xT 0.16
    • Klaus GjasulaCDMxG 0.17 · xT 0.15
    Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
    Form WWWDD
    League ranking xG #2xGA #8xT #15xP/match #5Points #2
    Key players
    • Tobias EisenhuthCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.12
    • Niklas CastelleLWxG 0.32 · xT 0.06
    • Niklas SwiderCMxG 0.04 · xT 0.07

    Match prediction: Hoffenheim II – Viktoria Köln

    Predicted score matrix

    Viktoria Köln →
    Hoffenheim II →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.3%
    0–16.2%
    0–25.3%
    0–32.8%
    0–4+1.7%
    1
    1–06.1%
    1–110.7%
    1–28.4%
    1–34.5%
    1–4+2.6%
    2
    2–05.1%
    2–18.3%
    2–26.7%
    2–33.6%
    2–4+2.1%
    3
    3–02.7%
    3–14.4%
    3–23.6%
    3–31.9%
    3–4+1.1%
    4+
    4+–01.6%
    4+–12.5%
    4+–22.0%
    4+–31.1%
    4+–4+0.6%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.1-28%
    3. 3.2-18%
    4. 4.2-27%
    5. 5.0-16%
    Expected goals
    1,60–1,62
    Both teams to score
    64%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,2
    Under 2,538%
    –
    Over 2,562%
    –

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Hoffenheim II or draw (1X)62%
    • Over 1.5 goals83%

    Combined probability

    51%

    Fair odds

    1.95

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Hoffenheim II or draw (1X)62%
    • Over 2.5 goals62%
    • Yasin Zor to score24%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score64%
    • Over 2.5 goals62%
    • Yasin Zor to score24%
    • Meiko Sponsel to be booked22%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    2 matches
    Hoffenheim II 0Draw 0Viktoria Köln 2
    Goals: 2–5 (⌀ 3,5)

    Head-to-head based on 3. Liga data since 2024.

    Key facts

    • Viktoria Koln are unbeaten in their last 6 league matches.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Hoffenheim II
    Viktoria Köln
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Hoffenheim II (20–15)
    Viktoria Köln (27–14)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Hoffenheim II
    Sean Dulic: 283 passningar, xT 0.32DulicValentin Lassig: 252 passningar, xT 0.56LassigNatnael Abraha: 160 passningar, xT 0.36AbrahaTristan Spranger: 143 passningar, xT 0.77SprangerLuis Engelns: 138 passningar, xT 0.25EngelnsJuan Tiago Esteban Poller: 128 passningar, xT 0.57PollerLúkas Jóhannes Blöndal Petersson: 103 passningar, xT 0.2PeterssonKlaus Gjasula: 100 passningar, xT 0.18GjasulaNico Biedermann: 69 passningar, xT 0.08BiedermannDiren Dagdeviren: 59 passningar, xT 0.08DagdevirenMatthew Moore: 59 passningar, xT 0.01Moore
    Viktoria Köln
    Tim Kloss: 403 passningar, xT 0.78KlossTobias Eisenhuth: 373 passningar, xT 0.53EisenhuthNiklas Swider: 253 passningar, xT 0.22SwiderArne Schulz: 248 passningar, xT 0.22SchulzMeiko Sponsel: 221 passningar, xT 0.44SponselTaylan Duman: 190 passningar, xT 0.12DumanLucas Wolf: 141 passningar, xT 0.23WolfPascal Fallmann: 100 passningar, xT 1.29FallmannNiklas Castelle: 95 passningar, xT 0.32CastelleDavid Otto: 69 passningar, xT -0.09OttoVerthomy Schilo Boboy: 59 passningar, xT 0.04Boboy
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Hoffenheim II
    Sean Dulic: 283 passningar, xT 0.32DulicValentin Lassig: 252 passningar, xT 0.56LassigNatnael Abraha: 160 passningar, xT 0.36AbrahaTristan Spranger: 143 passningar, xT 0.77SprangerLuis Engelns: 138 passningar, xT 0.25EngelnsJuan Tiago Esteban Poller: 128 passningar, xT 0.57PollerLúkas Jóhannes Blöndal Petersson: 103 passningar, xT 0.2PeterssonKlaus Gjasula: 100 passningar, xT 0.18GjasulaNico Biedermann: 69 passningar, xT 0.08BiedermannDiren Dagdeviren: 59 passningar, xT 0.08DagdevirenMatthew Moore: 59 passningar, xT 0.01Moore
    Viktoria Köln
    Tim Kloss: 403 passningar, xT 0.78KlossTobias Eisenhuth: 373 passningar, xT 0.53EisenhuthNiklas Swider: 253 passningar, xT 0.22SwiderArne Schulz: 248 passningar, xT 0.22SchulzMeiko Sponsel: 221 passningar, xT 0.44SponselTaylan Duman: 190 passningar, xT 0.12DumanLucas Wolf: 141 passningar, xT 0.23WolfPascal Fallmann: 100 passningar, xT 1.29FallmannNiklas Castelle: 95 passningar, xT 0.32CastelleDavid Otto: 69 passningar, xT -0.09OttoVerthomy Schilo Boboy: 59 passningar, xT 0.04Boboy

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceHoffenheim IIViktoria Köln
    Points1620
    xPoints15.415.4
    xG per match1.92.1
    xGA per match1.31.4
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.290.4
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.270.21
    Playing styleHoffenheim IIViktoria Köln
    Build-up efficiency0.340.29
    Field tilt0.580.54
    xT per match1.30.97
    xTA per match1.10.89
    Won balls, offensive half2523
    Pressing intensity0.210.21
    Pressing efficiency0.340.33
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.30.3
    Entries into the box per match1711
    Entries into the box against1110
    Pass completion %0.750.82
    Pass completion % under pressure0.710.79
    Passes per match369486
    Passes against per match277295
    Switches of play per match22.117
    Long balls per match4128
    Set piecesHoffenheim IIViktoria Köln
    xG from free kicks0.070.03
    Corners per match4.85.1
    Corners against per match4.34.7
    xG per corner0.030.04
    xGA per corner against0.030.03
    First touch, offensive corners %0.330.41
    First touch, defensive corners %0.560.43
    OtherHoffenheim IIViktoria Köln
    Throw-in control0.770.81
    The goalkeepersLúkas Jóhannes Blöndal Petersson (Hoffenheim II)Arne Schulz (Viktoria Köln)
    Saves2524
    Save %69%63%
    xG prevented55%41%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln according to our model?

    The model gives Hoffenheim II a 40% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Hoffenheim II 40%, draw 22%, Viktoria Köln 39%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 62% and under at 38%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 64% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln?

    The model expects 1.60 goals (xG) for Hoffenheim II and 1.62 for Viktoria Köln, 3.22 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    Hoffenheim II or draw (1X) 61%, Viktoria Köln or draw (X2) 60% and no draw (12) 78%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.