3. Liga: Predictions, Odds & Tips

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    Model-based predictions for 3. Liga — every fixture in the German 3. Liga is analysed by the same match model that powers PlaymakerAI. Ahead of each round the model computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals and over/under lines.

    The predictions are held against live odds, with positive expected value (EV+) flagged where the model's probability beats the implied odds. Played matches are graded openly — hit or miss.

    Upcoming matches

    SaarbrückenSaarbrücken
    vs
    Grossaspach
    GR
    1 52%X 24%2 24%
    Odds on the move
    TSG 1899 Hoffenheim IITSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
    vs
    SV MeppenSV Meppen
    1 47%X 23%2 30%
    VfB Stuttgart IIVfB Stuttgart II
    vs
    Jahn RegensburgJahn Regensburg
    1 42%X 23%2 35%
    Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
    vs
    IngolstadtIngolstadt
    1 46%X 26%2 28%
    Odds on the move
    Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen
    vs
    Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf
    1 49%X 26%2 25%
    Soft draw
    SV HavelseSV Havelse
    vs
    SC Fortuna KolnSC Fortuna Koln
    1 37%X 26%2 37%
    Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim
    vs
    Preussen MünsterPreussen Münster
    1 48%X 26%2 26%
    Wehen WiesbadenWehen Wiesbaden
    vs
    DuisburgDuisburg
    1 28%X 24%2 48%
    Rot-Weiss EssenRot-Weiss Essen
    vs
    Hansa RostockHansa Rostock
    1 40%X 25%2 35%

    League table2026/27

    PosTeamPSW–D–LGF–GAxPxGxGAxGDFTStyle
    1Rot-Weiss Essen1675–1–113–812,514,68,1+6,553 %Possession control
    2Duisburg1565–0–115–612,711,95,1+6,850 %Low block & direct
    3Viktoria Köln1264–0–216–97,810,17,6+2,552 %Possession control
    4Preussen Münster1163–2–112–117,27,49,9−2,541 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    5Hansa Rostock1163–2–114–1410,311,27,6+3,648 %Possession control
    6Saarbrücken1063–1–217–1110,613,58,6+4,958 %Possession control
    7Fortuna Düsseldorf1063–1–26–66,47,07,9−0,956 %Possession control
    8VfB Stuttgart II973–0–412–144,97,212,7−5,565 %Possession & high press
    9Alemannia Aachen862–2–210–89,49,16,7+2,462 %Possession control
    10Ingolstadt862–2–27–88,77,69,2−1,631 %Possession control
    11Grossaspach862–2–25–79,411,29,5+1,768 %Possession & high press
    12Waldhof Mannheim762–1–39–108,88,87,5+1,350 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    13Wurzburger Kickers762–1–310–138,98,810,7−1,942 %Possession control
    14Verl762–1–38–125,57,310,6−3,358 %Possession control
    15TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II642–0–29–55,37,06,3+0,753 %Possession control
    16SV Meppen662–0–48–1410,010,09,5+0,540 %Low block & direct
    17SC Fortuna Koln541–2–13–34,94,46,5−2,132 %Low block & direct
    18SV Havelse461–1–49–127,45,910,9−5,027 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    19Jahn Regensburg461–1–410–146,26,411,0−4,651 %Low block & direct
    20Hoffenheim II311–0–02–11,42,01,2+0,858 %Possession control
    21Wehen Wiesbaden250–2–32–95,46,88,0−1,261 %Possession & high press
    22Havelse020–0–22–42,21,74,5−2,834 %Counter-attacks & crosses

    Latest articles

    All articles
    Hildegard controls, Verl shuts out Kickers

    2026-09-17 · 2 min

    Hildegard controls, Verl shuts out Kickers

    Verl are expected to take home the win against Wurzburger Kickers thanks to clearly better xG numbers (2.3 vs 1.0) and a stronger defense, which provides added value on the odds of 2.02 for the 1X2 distribution of 64/21/16 percent. A key player will be Verl's forward Tim Heike with a 41 percent chance of scoring, while the away team's Tarsis Bonga, with his high PlaymakerRank, poses the biggest threat to the home team's advantage.

    Scouting report: Davide-Danilo Sekulovic (Ingolstadt)

    2026-09-14 · 1 min

    Scouting report: Davide-Danilo Sekulovic (Ingolstadt)

    Davide-Danilo Sekulovic, 22-year-old winger at Ingolstadt, impresses in German 3. Liga with high goal production and strong statistical values such as PlaymakerRank and xT90, making him a promising transfer candidate with a TransferIndex of 0.87. His profile is particularly well suited to an offensive 4-3-3 system built on wing play and quick transitions.

    Rolf bets on a surprise – pick of the week 27/8

    2026-08-27 · 3 min

    Rolf bets on a surprise – pick of the week 27/8

    The article presents three football tips based on analysis of underlying statistics rather than the odds alone: Fortuna Dusseldorf vs VfB Stuttgart II (odds 4.75), Levadiakos vs Panathinaikos Athens (odds 5.00), and Austria Lustenau vs WSG Tirol (odds 3.10). Throughout, factors such as expected goals and corner statistics are highlighted to show that the market has underestimated certain teams' chances, which should provide value in the suggested odds.

    Played matches

    Prediction track record
    VerlVerl
    2–1
    Wurzburger KickersWurzburger Kickers
    1 64%X 21%2 16%
    The model called the outcome
    SC Fortuna KolnSC Fortuna Koln
    0–2
    Wehen WiesbadenWehen Wiesbaden
    1 32%X 28%2 40%
    The model called the outcome
    Hansa RostockHansa Rostock
    3–2
    VfB Stuttgart IIVfB Stuttgart II
    1 60%X 21%2 19%
    The model called the outcome
    Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim
    1–2
    Rot-Weiss EssenRot-Weiss Essen
    1 34%X 27%2 39%
    The model called the outcome
    IngolstadtIngolstadt
    1–2
    TSG 1899 Hoffenheim IITSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
    1 52%X 24%2 24%
    The model missed the outcome
    Preussen MünsterPreussen Münster
    3–3
    SaarbrückenSaarbrücken
    1 36%X 29%2 35%
    The model missed the outcome
    DuisburgDuisburg
    2–1
    SV HavelseSV Havelse
    1 74%X 16%2 10%
    The model called the outcome
    Wurzburger KickersWurzburger Kickers
    1–0
    Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen
    1 23%X 25%2 52%
    The model missed the outcome
    SV MeppenSV Meppen
    1–3
    Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
    1 34%X 29%2 37%
    The model called the outcome
    GR
    Grossaspach
    1–1
    VerlVerl
    1 31%X 24%2 45%
    The model missed the outcome
    Jahn RegensburgJahn Regensburg
    1–2
    Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf
    1 43%X 27%2 31%
    The model missed the outcome
    VfB Stuttgart IIVfB Stuttgart II
    1–2
    Preussen MünsterPreussen Münster
    1 51%X 24%2 25%
    The model missed the outcome

    How the predictions work

    Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.

    For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.

    Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.

    3. Liga FAQ

    Where do I find 3. Liga predictions?

    Right here: every match in the German 3. Liga has its own analysis with 1X2 probabilities, most likely scoreline, over/under and value against current odds. Pick a match from the upcoming list — predictions are refreshed before every round and graded openly afterwards.

    How are the 3. Liga predictions made?

    Each match is replayed thousands of times in the model using hundreds of metrics per team — expected goals, pressing, expected threat, field tilt, form and squad. The output is a probability for every scoreline, which is then compared with bookmaker odds to find value.

    What is the xP table?

    xP means expected points: how many points each team should have taken given the quality of chances created and conceded. The gap between xP and the real table shows which the German 3. Liga teams are over- and underrated right now.

    Which teams play in 3. Liga 2026/27?

    3. Liga 2026/27 has 22 teams: Rot-Weiss Essen, Duisburg, Viktoria Köln, Preussen Münster, Hansa Rostock, Saarbrücken, Fortuna Düsseldorf, VfB Stuttgart II, Alemannia Aachen, Ingolstadt, Grossaspach, Waldhof Mannheim, Wurzburger Kickers, Verl, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II, SV Meppen, SC Fortuna Koln, SV Havelse, Jahn Regensburg, Hoffenheim II, Wehen Wiesbaden, Havelse.

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.