01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Monterrey or draw (X2)69%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
Liga MXEstadio Jalisco, Guadalajara22°6,2 mm18 km/h
Läs på svenska
Atlas0–2
MonterreyThe model's lean: 2 · Monterrey (36%)Best value by the model: Over 2,5 @ 2.06 (+10 %)
Atlas vs Monterrey · Liga MX
1 · Atlas 34%X 31%36% Monterrey · 2
34%
31%
36%
Final score
0 – 2
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Atlas 34% · Draw 31% · Monterrey 36%
Match prediction: Atlas – Monterrey
Predicted score matrix
Monterrey →
Atlas →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.3%
0–18.9%
0–27.2%
0–33.7%
0–4+2.1%
1
1–07.2%
1–112.0%
1–29.1%
1–34.7%
1–4+2.6%
2
2–04.8%
2–17.4%
2–25.8%
2–33.0%
2–4+1.7%
3
3–02.0%
3–13.1%
3–22.4%
3–31.3%
3–4+0.7%
4+
4+–00.8%
4+–11.3%
4+–21.0%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.2-17%
- 5.0-27%
Expected goals
1,27–1,56
Both teams to score
57%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,80
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,546%
@1.83
Over 2,554%
@2.06EV+10%
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Monterrey or draw (X2)69%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score57%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Over 2.554% probability@2.06PinnacleEV+10%reference odds
- X · Draw31% probability@3.36PinnacleEV+3%reference odds
- 2 · Monterrey36% probability@2.79PinnacleEV+0%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Atlas | X | 2 · Monterrey |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.63 | EV+ 3% 3.36 | EV+ 0% 2.79 |
Odds updated 2 Aug, 00:09
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards under 2.5 goals since 27 July — the odds have shortened from 2.01 to 1.83 (−9%).
1-7 %
40 %30 %
2.83 → 2.63
X-2 %
34 %24 %
3.44 → 3.36
2+13 %
41 %31 %
2.47 → 2.79
Over 2,5+12 %
53 %43 %
1.83 → 2.06
Pinnacle · 13 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 02/08/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Atlas vs Monterrey according to our model?
The model gives Monterrey a 36% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Atlas 34%, draw 31%, Monterrey 36%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.