01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Tijuana or draw (X2)63%
- Under 3.5 goals75%
Liga MXEstadio Alfonso Lastras, San Luis Potosí22°19 km/h
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Atlético San Luis0–0
TijuanaThe model's lean: 2 · Tijuana (36%)
Atlético San Luis vs Tijuana · Liga MX
1 · Atlético San Luis 36%X 28%36% Tijuana · 2
36%
28%
36%
Final score
0 – 0
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Atlético San Luis 36% · Draw 28% · Tijuana 36%
Match prediction: Atlético San Luis – Tijuana
Predicted score matrix
Tijuana →
Atlético San Luis →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–08.1%
0–19.5%
0–26.2%
0–32.6%
0–4+1.1%
1
1–09.7%
1–113.0%
1–28.0%
1–33.4%
1–4+1.4%
2
2–06.5%
2–18.2%
2–25.2%
2–32.2%
2–4+0.9%
3
3–02.8%
3–13.5%
3–22.2%
3–30.9%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–01.2%
4+–11.5%
4+–20.9%
4+–30.4%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.1-010%
- 3.0-110%
- 4.2-18%
- 5.0-08%
Expected goals
1,29–1,26
Both teams to score
52%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,608%
119%
226%
322%
414%
5+12%
Under 2,553%
@1.96EV+4%
Over 2,547%
@1.91
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Tijuana or draw (X2)63%
- Under 2.5 goals53%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score52%
- Over 2.5 goals47%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Tijuana36% probability@3.15PinnacleEV+14%reference odds
- Under 2.553% probability@1.96PinnacleEV+4%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Atlético San Luis | X | 2 · Tijuana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 3.50 | EV+ 14% 3.15 |
Odds updated 1 Aug, 04:09
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards under 2.5 goals since 27 July — the odds have shortened from 2.13 to 1.96 (−8%).
1-4 %
46 %36 %
2.40 → 2.31
X+9 %
33 %23 %
3.22 → 3.50
2+2 %
36 %26 %
3.10 → 3.15
Over 2,5+10 %
58 %48 %
1.73 → 1.91
Pinnacle · 19 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 01/08/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Atlético San Luis vs Tijuana according to our model?
The model gives Tijuana a 36% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Atlético San Luis 36%, draw 28%, Tijuana 36%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 47% and under at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 52% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.