01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Club América to win80%
- Over 1.5 goals79%
Liga MXEstadio Azteca, Mexico City18°2,6 mm16 km/h
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Club América3–0
Santos LagunaThe model's lean: 1 · Club América (80%)
Club América vs Santos Laguna · Liga MX
1 · Club América 80%X 13%8% Santos Laguna · 2
80%
13%
Final score
3 – 0
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Club América 80% · Draw 13% · Santos Laguna 8%
Match prediction: Club América – Santos Laguna
Predicted score matrix
Santos Laguna →
Club América →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.5%
0–13.5%
0–21.4%
0–30.3%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–011.5%
1–18.6%
1–23.0%
1–30.7%
1–4+0.2%
2
2–013.0%
2–19.4%
2–23.4%
2–30.8%
2–4+0.2%
3
3–09.7%
3–17.0%
3–22.5%
3–30.6%
3–4+0.1%
4+
4+–09.1%
4+–16.5%
4+–22.3%
4+–30.6%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-013%
- 2.1-011%
- 3.3-010%
- 4.2-19%
- 5.1-19%
Expected goals
2,23–0,72
Both teams to score
46%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
115%
223%
322%
416%
5+18%
Under 2,544%
@2.26
Over 2,556%
@1.66
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Club América to win80%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score46%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Club América80% probability@1.43PinnacleEV+14%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Club América | X | 2 · Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | EV+ 14% 1.43 | 4.81 | 6.95 |
Odds updated 2 Aug, 10:09
Odds movement
10 %
69 %64 %
1.44 → 1.43
X+1 %
22 %17 %
4.74 → 4.81
2+5 %
16 %11 %
6.60 → 6.95
Pinnacle · 10 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 02/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Club América vs Santos Laguna according to our model?
The model gives Club América a 80% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Club América 80%, draw 13%, Santos Laguna 8%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and under at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 46% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.