01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Cruz Azul to win79%
- Over 1.5 goals89%
Liga MX18°1,6 mm11 km/h
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Cruz Azul2–3
AtlanteThe model's lean: 1 · Cruz Azul (79%)
Cruz Azul vs Atlante · Liga MX
1 · Cruz Azul 79%X 12%10% Atlante · 2
79%
Final score
2 – 3
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Cruz Azul 79% · Draw 12% · Atlante 10%
Match prediction: Cruz Azul – Atlante
Predicted score matrix
Atlante →
Cruz Azul →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–02.6%
0–11.9%
0–20.8%
0–30.2%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–06.8%
1–16.0%
1–22.5%
1–30.7%
1–4+0.2%
2
2–010.0%
2–18.4%
2–23.5%
2–31.0%
2–4+0.3%
3
3–09.6%
3–18.1%
3–23.4%
3–31.0%
3–4+0.2%
4+
4+–014.1%
4+–111.9%
4+–25.0%
4+–31.4%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-010%
- 2.3-010%
- 3.2-18%
- 4.3-18%
- 5.4-07%
Expected goals
2,89–0,84
Both teams to score
54%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,70
19%
217%
321%
419%
5+32%
Under 2,528%
–
Over 2,572%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Cruz Azul to win79%
- Over 2.5 goals72%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score54%
- Over 2.5 goals72%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Cruz Azul79% probability@1.32PinnacleEV+4%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Cruz Azul | X | 2 · Atlante |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | EV+ 4% 1.32 | 5.36 | 10.16 |
Odds updated 2 Aug, 02:09
Odds movement
1-1 %
74 %69 %
1.34 → 1.32
X+8 %
21 %16 %
4.95 → 5.36
2+11 %
12 %7 %
9.12 → 10.16
Pinnacle · 13 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 02/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Cruz Azul vs Atlante according to our model?
The model gives Cruz Azul a 79% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Cruz Azul 79%, draw 12%, Atlante 10%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 72% and under at 28%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 54% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.