Turkish 1. Lig29°0,7 mm17 km/h

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    BA
    Batman PetrolsporPossession control
    2–1
    SivassporSivassporBalanced & physical
    The model's lean: 2 · Sivasspor (37%)

    Batman Petrolspor – Sivasspor · Turkish 1. Lig

    1 · Batman Petrolspor 34%X 29%37% Sivasspor · 2

    Analysis: Batman Petrolspor – Sivasspor

    Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

    The head-to-head record between Batman Petrolspor and Sivasspor doesn't provide much insight, as our sample is too small to draw firm conclusions. Instead, it's the hosts' current form that commands attention. With 7 points compared to Sivasspor's 2, Petrolspor holds a clear edge, and their xPoints of 5.5 further confirm it. However, the model favors Sivasspor with a slight 37% win probability, indicating a tight contest.

    Batman Petrolspor's style, which emphasizes possession control, should clash interestingly with the visitors' balanced and physical approach. The expected goals figure doesn’t suggest a vast difference, with Batman Petrolspor at 1.48 and Sivasspor at 1.31. The most probable scoreline, a 1-1 draw, aligns with the model's closely matched odds and both teams' expected goals metrics.

    In terms of over/under bets, there’s a 53% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals. However, with both teams having a decent rate of scoring and conceding, the 1-1 prediction seems a safe bet. The likelihood of both teams finding the net sits at 57%, which supports leaning towards both scoring rather than a high-scoring affair.

    For bettors looking for value, the away win at odds of 3.01 with Betsafe, Betsson, and Nordicbet presents a compelling opportunity. The model rates Sivasspor's chances higher than the market, suggesting a 10% value edge. While Batman Petrolspor's form and slight edges in expected points might deter some, betting on the visitors could be where smart money lies.

    Batman Petrolspor
    Form DWW
    League ranking xG #4xGA #14xT #17xP/match #3Points #3
    Key players
    • Polat YaldırRWxG 0.09 · xT 0.17
    • Mickaël Christophe BironLWxG 0.23 · xT 0.14
    • Sergio Duvan Córdova LezamaFxG 0.73 · xT 0.12
    SivassporSivasspor
    Form WLDLD
    League ranking xG #6xGA #16xT #16xP/match #11Points #17
    Key players
    • Valon EthemiLWxG 0.18 · xT 0.05
    • Uğur ÇiftçiLWBxG 0.00 · xT 0.26
    • Rey ManajFxG 0.72 · xT -0.08
    Final score
    2 – 1
    The model missed the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Batman Petrolspor 34% · Draw 29% · Sivasspor 37%

    How the bookmaker bet builders went

    The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

    Matchresultat - SivassporBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
    odds 10,73fair 10,96-2 %
    Miss
    Matchresultat - Batman PetrolsporBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
    odds 7,62fair 8,69-12 %
    Miss

    Match prediction: Batman Petrolspor – Sivasspor

    Predicted score matrix

    Sivasspor →
    Batman Petrolspor →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–06.5%
    0–17.7%
    0–25.3%
    0–32.3%
    0–4+1.0%
    1
    1–08.7%
    1–112.3%
    1–27.8%
    1–33.4%
    1–4+1.5%
    2
    2–06.7%
    2–18.8%
    2–25.8%
    2–32.5%
    2–4+1.1%
    3
    3–03.3%
    3–14.3%
    3–22.9%
    3–31.2%
    3–4+0.5%
    4+
    4+–01.7%
    4+–12.2%
    4+–21.5%
    4+–30.6%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-112%
    2. 2.2-19%
    3. 3.1-09%
    4. 4.1-28%
    5. 5.0-18%
    Expected goals
    1,48–1,31
    Both teams to score
    57%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,8
    Under 2,547%
    @1.79
    Over 2,553%
    @1.89

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Sivasspor or draw (X2)59%
    • Over 1.5 goals77%

    Combined probability

    45%

    Fair odds

    2.22

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Sivasspor or draw (X2)59%
    • Over 2.5 goals53%
    • Daniel Avramovski to score21%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score57%
    • Over 2.5 goals53%
    • Sergio Duvan Córdova Lezama to score27%
    • Jin-Ho Jo to be booked21%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · Sivasspor37% probability@3.01BetsafeEV+10%reference odds
    • 2 · Sivasspor37% probability@3.01BetssonEV+10%reference odds
    • 2 · Sivasspor37% probability@3.01NordicbetEV+10%reference odds
    Bookmaker1 · Batman PetrolsporX2 · Sivasspor
    Betsafe2.193.29
    EV+ 10%
    3.01
    Betsson2.193.29
    EV+ 10%
    3.01
    Nordicbet2.193.29
    EV+ 10%
    3.01

    Odds updated 28 Aug, 10:45

    Odds movement

    10 %
    44 %39 %

    2.19 → 2.19

    X0 %
    30 %25 %

    3.29 → 3.29

    20 %
    33 %28 %

    3.01 → 3.01

    Over 2,50 %
    51 %46 %

    1.89 → 1.89

    Betsson · 3 recorded price levels · 26/08/2026 → 28/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Statistics

    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Batman Petrolspor
    Sivasspor
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Batman Petrolspor (6–3)
    Sivasspor (2–4)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Batman Petrolspor
    Matheus Dória Macedo: 105 passningar, xT 0.08MacedoOmar Imeri: 99 passningar, xT 0.12ImeriKarahan Yasir Subasi: 83 passningar, xT 0.38SubasiCaglar Akbaba: 83 passningar, xT 0.15AkbabaMetehan Mert: 75 passningar, xT 0.06MertJin-Ho Jo: 73 passningar, xT 0.2JoOguz Gurbulak: 52 passningar, xT 0.22GurbulakMickaël Christophe Biron: 49 passningar, xT 0.07BironMamadou Cissokho: 37 passningar, xT -0.01CissokhoDevran Bozardıç: 35 passningar, xT 0.03BozardıçBernardo Martins de Sousa: 29 passningar, xT 0.23Sousa
    Sivasspor
    Okan Erdogan: 154 passningar, xT 0.23ErdoganAaron Appindangoye: 138 passningar, xT 0.26AppindangoyeKamil Fidan: 135 passningar, xT 0.23FidanUğur Çiftçi: 127 passningar, xT 0.74ÇiftçiCihat Celik: 70 passningar, xT 0.22CelikCharilaos Charisis: 69 passningar, xT 0.1CharisisMehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş: 52 passningar, xT 0BakırbaşBurak Kapacak: 47 passningar, xT 0.06KapacakValon Ethemi: 44 passningar, xT 0.13EthemiMert Çelik: 39 passningar, xT 0.37ÇelikAmilton Minervino da Silva: 34 passningar, xT 0.41Silva
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Batman Petrolspor
    Matheus Dória Macedo: 105 passningar, xT 0.08MacedoOmar Imeri: 99 passningar, xT 0.12ImeriKarahan Yasir Subasi: 83 passningar, xT 0.38SubasiCaglar Akbaba: 83 passningar, xT 0.15AkbabaMetehan Mert: 75 passningar, xT 0.06MertJin-Ho Jo: 73 passningar, xT 0.2JoOguz Gurbulak: 52 passningar, xT 0.22GurbulakMickaël Christophe Biron: 49 passningar, xT 0.07BironMamadou Cissokho: 37 passningar, xT -0.01CissokhoDevran Bozardıç: 35 passningar, xT 0.03BozardıçBernardo Martins de Sousa: 29 passningar, xT 0.23Sousa
    Sivasspor
    Okan Erdogan: 154 passningar, xT 0.23ErdoganAaron Appindangoye: 138 passningar, xT 0.26AppindangoyeKamil Fidan: 135 passningar, xT 0.23FidanUğur Çiftçi: 127 passningar, xT 0.74ÇiftçiCihat Celik: 70 passningar, xT 0.22CelikCharilaos Charisis: 69 passningar, xT 0.1CharisisMehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş: 52 passningar, xT 0BakırbaşBurak Kapacak: 47 passningar, xT 0.06KapacakValon Ethemi: 44 passningar, xT 0.13EthemiMert Çelik: 39 passningar, xT 0.37ÇelikAmilton Minervino da Silva: 34 passningar, xT 0.41Silva

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceBatman PetrolsporSivasspor
    Points72
    xPoints5.54.3
    xG per match1.71.6
    xGA per match1.41.5
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.150.1
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.210.24
    Playing styleBatman PetrolsporSivasspor
    Build-up efficiency0.270.32
    Field tilt0.360.52
    xT per match0.860.86
    xTA per match1.50.97
    Won balls, offensive half1920
    Pressing intensity0.220.21
    Pressing efficiency0.260.23
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.240.22
    Entries into the box per match914
    Entries into the box against1511
    Pass completion %0.750.76
    Pass completion % under pressure0.680.68
    Passes per match276333
    Passes against per match340337
    Switches of play per match2142.2
    Long balls per match4044
    Set piecesBatman PetrolsporSivasspor
    xG from free kicks0.020.22
    Corners per match4.37
    Corners against per match3.93.4
    xG per corner0.010.04
    xGA per corner against0.010.06
    First touch, offensive corners %0.150.52
    First touch, defensive corners %0.580.6
    OtherBatman PetrolsporSivasspor
    Throw-in control0.670.68
    The goalkeepersCaglar Akbaba (Batman Petrolspor)Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş (Sivasspor)
    Saves163
    Save %84%43%
    xG prevented76%25%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Batman Petrolspor
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Sivasspor
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Batman Petrolspor vs Sivasspor according to our model?

    The model gives Sivasspor a 37% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Batman Petrolspor 34%, draw 29%, Sivasspor 37%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and under at 47%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.