Manisa FK vs Batman Petrolspor Prediction: Home win 43% (31 Oct 2026)

Turkish 1. Lig31 October 202616°1,2 mm3 km/h

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Manisa FKPossession control

Batman PetrolsporPossession control

The model's lean: 1 · Manisa FK (43%)

1 · Manisa FK 43%X 26%32% Batman Petrolspor · 2

43%

26%

32%

Prediction summary

BetBuilders AI model prediction for Manisa FK vs Batman Petrolspor (Turkish 1. Lig, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Manisa FK win 43%, draw 26%, Batman Petrolspor win 32%. Expected goals (xG): Manisa FK 1.72, Batman Petrolspor 1.43. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%. Double chance: Manisa FK or draw 68%, Batman Petrolspor or draw 57%. Prediction updated Saturday, 24 October 2026.

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Analysis: Manisa FK – Batman Petrolspor

Anna Karlsson · 24 October 2026 · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work

TEXT:

The clash between Manisa FK and Batman Petrolspor features form and expected goal metrics that suggest a much closer contest than their points difference would imply. Batman Petrolspor might boast double the points in the standings, but the xPoints tell a different tale, with Manisa FK trailing by merely 1.8. This suggests that Lady Luck has smiled more on the visitors so far.

Looking at goal expectations, the numbers whisper a narrative of parity and potential; Manisa FK generates 1.4 expected goals per match, while Batman Petrolspor edges ahead slightly with 1.7. Both teams display a similar style of possession control, hinting at a battle of tactical wills rather than explosive counter-attacks. The expected goals against (xGA) also reveal subtleties: Manisa FK's superior defensive metrics, conceding fewer expected goals per match, could neutralize Batman's attacking ambitions.

The model reflects this delicate equilibrium, favoring Manisa FK with a 43% win probability, but not dismissing Batman Petrolspor at 32%. The most likely scoreline at 1-1, given an 11% probability, is no shock in a tussle of evenly matched control teams. Over 2.5 goals seem likely at 61%, but the real intrigue lies in both teams finding the net, with a solid 63% chance. This suggests an open game despite both sides’ possession-heavy reputations.

Manisa FK

Form DLLDL

League ranking xG #6xGA #16xT #8xP/match #11Points #16

Key players

Atakan CankayaCBxG 0.11 · xT 0.10
Yusuf TalumLWxG 0.14 · xT 0.08
Ada IbikCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.08

Batman Petrolspor

Form LLLWD

League ranking xG #3xGA #17xT #7xP/match #5Points #5

Key players

Bernardo Martins de SousaRWxG 0.10 · xT 0.21
Polat YaldırRWxG 0.11 · xT 0.07
Bugra CagiranLWxG 0.24 · xT 0.25

Match prediction: Manisa FK – Batman Petrolspor

Predicted score matrix

Batman Petrolspor →

Manisa FK →

0–04.6%

0–15.8%

0–24.4%

0–32.1%

0–4+1.0%

1–07.1%

1–110.8%

1–27.5%

1–33.6%

1–4+1.8%

2–06.3%

2–19.1%

2–26.5%

2–33.1%

2–4+1.5%

3–03.6%

3–15.2%

3–23.7%

3–31.8%

3–4+0.9%

4+–02.3%

4+–13.3%

4+–22.4%

4+–31.1%

4+–4+0.5%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.2-19%
3.1-28%
4.1-07%
5.2-26%

Expected goals

1,72–1,43

Both teams to score

63%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,2

113%

222%

322%

418%

5+21%

Under 2,539%

@2.34

Over 2,561%

@1.52

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Manisa FK or draw (1X)68%
Over 1.5 goals83%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Double chance Manisa FK or draw (1X)68%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Yusuf Talum to score19%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score63%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Yusuf Talum to score19%
Mamadou Cissokho to be booked23%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Manisa FK43% probability@2.80BetsafeEV+20%reference odds
1 · Manisa FK43% probability@2.80NordicbetEV+20%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Manisa FK	X	2 · Batman Petrolspor
Betsafe	EV+ 20% 2.80	3.47	2.23
Nordicbet	EV+ 20% 2.80	3.47	2.23

Odds updated 26 Oct, 19:36

Odds movement

1+7 %

36 %31 %

2.61 → 2.80

X+3 %

29 %24 %

3.37 → 3.47

2-8 %

42 %37 %

2.42 → 2.23

Over 2,5-3 %

62 %57 %

1.56 → 1.52

Nordicbet · 2 recorded price levels · 26/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Manisa FK

Batman Petrolspor

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Manisa FK (18–20)

Batman Petrolspor (22–19)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Manisa FK

Batman Petrolspor

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Manisa FK

Batman Petrolspor

The teams in numbers

Performance	Manisa FK	Batman Petrolspor
Points	10	20
xPoints	14.8	16.6
xG per match	1.4	1.7
xGA per match	1.4	1.6
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.26	0.31
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.19	0.33

Playing style	Manisa FK	Batman Petrolspor
Build-up efficiency	0.31	0.29
Field tilt	0.47	0.4
xT per match	0.99	1
xTA per match	0.88	1.1
Won balls, offensive half	23	22
Pressing intensity	0.23	0.21
Pressing efficiency	0.3	0.27
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.26	0.24
Entries into the box per match	11	12
Entries into the box against	12	11
Pass completion %	0.78	0.75
Pass completion % under pressure	0.73	0.69
Passes per match	365	286
Passes against per match	331	332
Switches of play per match	27.7	25.2
Long balls per match	39	40

Set pieces	Manisa FK	Batman Petrolspor
xG from free kicks	0.07	0.07
Corners per match	4.1	4.7
Corners against per match	4.9	4.2
xG per corner	0.03	0.04
xGA per corner against	0.03	0.04
First touch, offensive corners %	0.46	0.38
First touch, defensive corners %	0.62	0.62

Other	Manisa FK	Batman Petrolspor
Throw-in control	0.69	0.66

The goalkeepers	Vedat Karakuş (Manisa FK)	Caglar Akbaba (Batman Petrolspor)
Saves	25	28
Save %	57%	65%
xG prevented	40%	37%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Manisa FK

Fixtures, form & tips

Batman Petrolspor

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Manisa FK vs Batman Petrolspor according to our model?

The model gives Manisa FK a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Manisa FK 43%, draw 26%, Batman Petrolspor 32%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and under at 39%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 63% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Manisa FK vs Batman Petrolspor?

The model expects 1.72 goals (xG) for Manisa FK and 1.43 for Batman Petrolspor, 3.15 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Manisa FK or draw (1X) 68%, Batman Petrolspor or draw (X2) 57% and no draw (12) 74%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.