01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Gençlerbirliği or draw (1X)62%
- Over 1.5 goals77%
Süper Lig
Läs på svenska
GençlerbirliğiPossession controlvs
AlanyasporLow block & directThe model's lean: 1 · Gençlerbirliği (39%)
Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor · Süper Lig
1 · Gençlerbirliği 39%X 28%33% Alanyaspor · 2
39%
28%
33%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor (Süper Lig, Sunday, 1 November 2026): Gençlerbirliği win 39%, draw 28%, Alanyaspor win 33%. Expected goals (xG): Gençlerbirliği 1.35, Alanyaspor 1.41. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%. Double chance: Gençlerbirliği or draw 67%, Alanyaspor or draw 61%. Prediction updated Saturday, 24 October 2026.
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Analysis: Gençlerbirliği – Alanyaspor
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
The numbers point to a tight contest when Gençlerbirliği face Alanyaspor, with the hosts holding a slight edge according to the model's probabilities. Gençlerbirliği's ability to control possession could be a decisive factor against Alanyaspor's low-block defense. However, the expected goals tell a tale of two evenly matched teams, with Gençlerbirliği at 1.35 and Alanyaspor at 1.41.
The small head-to-head sample of just two draws since 2023 weighs less in the analysis compared to their current form and underlying metrics. Alanyaspor, despite having a four-point lead in the standings, only slightly edges Gençlerbirliği in xPoints (9.0 to 8.5), suggesting that the hosts may not be as outmatched as the table indicates.
While both teams' xG figures are close, Gençlerbirliği have a marginal edge in attacking metrics, generating more expected goals per match than their visitors. However, defensively, Alanyaspor holds a slight advantage with a lower xGA per match. The tension between Gençlerbirliği's possession approach and Alanyaspor's defensive resilience adds layers to this contest.
Goals could be on the cards, with a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. Yet, the most likely scorelines suggest a more conservative outcome, with 1-1 topping the list at 12%. Value hunters might explore odds on a draw, especially with Bet365 offering a draw at 3.40, reflecting the 28% model probability.
Expect a close encounter where a narrow victory for either side is possible, but a 1-1 draw seems likeliest. The slight lean towards over 2.5 goals captures the potential volatility, but the safest angle remains the draw.
GençlerbirliğiForm LLLDL
League ranking xG #14xGA #18xT #17xP/match #14Points #15
Key players
- Pedro Miguel Almeida Lopes PereiraRBxG 0.00 · xT 0.07
- Thalisson Kelven da SilvaCBxG 0.08 · xT 0.04
- Adama Malouda TraoréRWxG 0.07 · xT 0.01
AlanyasporForm DWDLL
League ranking xG #16xGA #16xT #12xP/match #16Points #9
Key players
- Florent HadergjonajRWxG 0.00 · xT 0.30
- Gaius MakoutaCMxG 0.14 · xT 0.05
- Nuno LimaCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.07
Match prediction: Gençlerbirliği – Alanyaspor
Predicted score matrix
Alanyaspor →
Gençlerbirliği →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.7%
0–18.6%
0–26.3%
0–32.9%
0–4+1.4%
1
1–08.2%
1–112.4%
1–28.5%
1–34.0%
1–4+1.9%
2
2–05.8%
2–18.1%
2–25.7%
2–32.7%
2–4+1.3%
3
3–02.6%
3–13.7%
3–22.6%
3–31.2%
3–4+0.6%
4+
4+–01.2%
4+–11.7%
4+–21.2%
4+–30.6%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.0-19%
- 3.1-28%
- 4.1-08%
- 5.2-18%
Expected goals
1,35–1,41
Both teams to score
56%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,80
117%
224%
322%
415%
5+15%
Under 2,548%
–
Over 2,552%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Gençlerbirliği or draw (1X)62%
- Over 2.5 goals52%
- Moussa Kyabou to score16%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score56%
- Over 2.5 goals52%
- Gaïus Abraham Jered Makouta to score19%
- Ousmane Diabate to be booked25%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesGençlerbirliği 0Draw 2Alanyaspor 0
Goals: 2–2 (⌀ 2)
Head-to-head based on Süper Lig data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Gençlerbirliği
Alanyaspor
Gençlerbirliği (7–16)
Alanyaspor (9–11)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Gençlerbirliği
Alanyaspor
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Gençlerbirliği
Alanyaspor
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Gençlerbirliği | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 8 | 12 |
| xPoints | 8.5 | 9 |
| xG per match | 1 | 0.9 |
| xGA per match | 2 | 1.8 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.2 | 0.12 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| Playing style | Gençlerbirliği | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.29 | 0.3 |
| Field tilt | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| xT per match | 0.63 | 0.86 |
| xTA per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 20 | 20 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| Entries into the box per match | 9 | 10 |
| Entries into the box against | 16 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.7 | 0.73 |
| Passes per match | 279 | 303 |
| Passes against per match | 397 | 421 |
| Switches of play per match | 31.8 | 22.8 |
| Long balls per match | 36 | 36 |
| Set pieces | Gençlerbirliği | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.05 | 0.02 |
| Corners per match | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| Corners against per match | 6.8 | 4 |
| xG per corner | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.55 | 0.28 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.57 | 0.5 |
| Other | Gençlerbirliği | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| The goalkeepers | Irfan Can Egribayat (Gençlerbirliği) | Paulo Victor de Mileo Vidotti (Alanyaspor) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 42 | 36 |
| Save % | 74% | 77% |
| xG prevented | 50% | 58% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor according to our model?
The model gives Gençlerbirliği a 39% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Gençlerbirliği 39%, draw 28%, Alanyaspor 33%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and under at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor?
The model expects 1.35 goals (xG) for Gençlerbirliği and 1.41 for Alanyaspor, 2.76 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Gençlerbirliği or draw (1X) 67%, Alanyaspor or draw (X2) 61% and no draw (12) 72%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.