Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Prediction: Away win 65% (30 Oct 2026)

Süper Lig30 October 202612°0,9 mm12 km/h

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KonyasporPossession control

GalatasarayPossession & high press

The model's lean: 2 · Galatasaray (65%)

1 · Konyaspor 15%X 20%65% Galatasaray · 2

15%

20%

65%

Prediction summary

BetBuilders AI model prediction for Konyaspor vs Galatasaray (Süper Lig, Friday, 30 October 2026): Konyaspor win 15%, draw 20%, Galatasaray win 65%. Expected goals (xG): Konyaspor 1.08, Galatasaray 2.06. Most likely score: 1-2 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 58%. Double chance: Konyaspor or draw 35%, Galatasaray or draw 85%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.

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Analysis: Konyaspor – Galatasaray

Marcus Johansson · 23 October 2026 · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work

TEXT: Galatasaray's dominance in recent encounters, reflected in their 3 wins out of 4 matches against Konyaspor since 2023, sets the stage for another formidable showing. The visitors come into this clash with a significant edge in expected goals (2.06 vs. 1.08) and points (19 vs. 5), underlining their superior form. While the head-to-head sample remains relatively small, the consistent pattern of Galatasaray's attacking prowess and Konyaspor's defensive vulnerabilities cannot be ignored.

Konyaspor's strategy relies on controlling possession, but they often struggle to convert this control into goal-scoring opportunities, as shown by their modest 0.92 xG per match. This contrasts sharply with Galatasaray's approach, which combines possession with a high press to create a constant threat, evidenced by their impressive 2.4 xG per match. This tactical mismatch suggests that the hosts may find it challenging to contain their opponents' attacking firepower.

The model's probabilities heavily favor Galatasaray with a 65% chance of victory, and the most likely scorelines also tilt towards the visitors, with both 1-2 and 0-2 outcomes in their favor. These probabilities align with the overall expected goals and recent form. Although weather isn't a factor, the model's numbers already account for the usual variables that could affect scoring, with a strong 61% likelihood for over 2.5 goals.

Given the weight of these numbers and Galatasaray's current form, a 1-2 victory for the visitors seems a plausible outcome, though Konyaspor's possession-based style may help them find the net at least once. The over 2.5 goals market shows value at 61%.

Konyaspor

Form LWDDL

League ranking xG #16xGA #5xT #9xP/match #13Points #16

Key players

Chidozie Collins AwaziemCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.06
Yhoan Many AndzouanaRWBxG 0.01 · xT 0.24
Deniz TurucRWxG 0.12 · xT 0.26

Galatasaray

Form WWLWW

League ranking xG #2xGA #4xT #1xP/match #3Points #1

Key players

Gabriel SaraCAMxG 0.20 · xT 0.16
Roland SallaiRBxG 0.15 · xT 0.22
Mario LeminaCDMxG 0.08 · xT 0.05

Match prediction: Konyaspor – Galatasaray

Predicted score matrix

Galatasaray →

Konyaspor →

0–04.6%

0–18.7%

0–29.2%

0–36.3%

0–4+5.2%

1–04.4%

1–19.9%

1–29.9%

1–36.8%

1–4+5.6%

2–02.5%

2–15.2%

2–25.3%

2–33.7%

2–4+3.0%

3–00.9%

3–11.9%

3–21.9%

3–31.3%

3–4+1.1%

4+–00.3%

4+–10.6%

4+–20.7%

4+–30.4%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-210%
2.1-110%
3.0-29%
4.0-19%
5.1-37%

Expected goals

1,08–2,06

Both teams to score

58%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

113%

222%

322%

418%

5+21%

Under 2,539%

@2.25

Over 2,561%

@1.59

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Galatasaray to win65%
Over 1.5 goals82%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Galatasaray to win65%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Aleksey Batrakov to score32%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score58%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Aleksey Batrakov to score32%
Melih İbrahimoğlu to be booked24%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Galatasaray65% probability@1.65BetsafeEV+8%reference odds
2 · Galatasaray65% probability@1.65NordicbetEV+8%reference odds
2 · Galatasaray65% probability@1.58LeoVegasEV+3%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Konyaspor	X	2 · Galatasaray
Betsafe	4.70	4.00	EV+ 8% 1.65
LeoVegas	4.70	4.10	EV+ 3% 1.58
Nordicbet	4.70	4.00	EV+ 8% 1.65

Odds updated 24 Oct, 19:36

Odds movement

10 %

22 %17 %

4.70 → 4.70

X0 %

25 %20 %

4.10 → 4.10

20 %

61 %56 %

1.58 → 1.58

Over 2,50 %

61 %56 %

1.58 → 1.58

LeoVegas · 2 recorded price levels · 23/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

4 matches

Konyaspor 1Draw 0Galatasaray 3

Goals: 4–6 (⌀ 2,5)

Head-to-head based on Süper Lig data since 2023.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Konyaspor

Galatasaray

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Konyaspor (4–9)

Galatasaray (17–11)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Konyaspor

Galatasaray

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Konyaspor

Galatasaray

The teams in numbers

Performance	Konyaspor	Galatasaray
Points	5	19
xPoints	9.7	14.1
xG per match	0.92	2.4
xGA per match	1.2	0.95
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.12	0.41
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.26	0.15

Playing style	Konyaspor	Galatasaray
Build-up efficiency	0.31	0.33
Field tilt	0.39	0.7
xT per match	0.96	1.8
xTA per match	1.1	0.55
Won balls, offensive half	20	29
Pressing intensity	0.22	0.21
Pressing efficiency	0.25	0.3
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.21	0.25
Entries into the box per match	9	19
Entries into the box against	14	9
Pass completion %	0.77	0.8
Pass completion % under pressure	0.74	0.76
Passes per match	339	422
Passes against per match	367	257
Switches of play per match	40.1	36.6
Long balls per match	46	38

Set pieces	Konyaspor	Galatasaray
xG from free kicks	0.04	0.07
Corners per match	2.5	7.5
Corners against per match	5.8	3.1
xG per corner	0.03	0.05
xGA per corner against	0.02	0.05
First touch, offensive corners %	0.6	0.42
First touch, defensive corners %	0.53	0.36

Other	Konyaspor	Galatasaray
Throw-in control	0.7	0.78

The goalkeepers	Bahadır Han Güngördü (Konyaspor)	Ugurcan Cakir (Galatasaray)
Saves	16	16
Save %	89%	67%
xG prevented	71%	41%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Konyaspor

Fixtures, form & tips

Galatasaray

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Konyaspor vs Galatasaray according to our model?

The model gives Galatasaray a 65% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Konyaspor 15%, draw 20%, Galatasaray 65%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-2 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and under at 39%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Konyaspor vs Galatasaray?

The model expects 1.08 goals (xG) for Konyaspor and 2.06 for Galatasaray, 3.14 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Konyaspor or draw (1X) 35%, Galatasaray or draw (X2) 85% and no draw (12) 80%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.