Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep Prediction: Home win 74% (1 Nov 2026)

Süper Lig1 November 202616°3,1 mm8 km/h

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TrabzonsporPossession control

GaziantepPossession control

The model's lean: 1 · Trabzonspor (74%)

1 · Trabzonspor 74%X 15%11% Gaziantep · 2

74%

15%

Prediction summary

BetBuilders AI model prediction for Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep (Süper Lig, Sunday, 1 November 2026): Trabzonspor win 74%, draw 15%, Gaziantep win 11%. Expected goals (xG): Trabzonspor 2.45, Gaziantep 0.85. Most likely score: 2-0 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 52%. Double chance: Trabzonspor or draw 89%, Gaziantep or draw 26%. Prediction updated Saturday, 24 October 2026.

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Analysis: Trabzonspor – Gaziantep

Marcus Johansson · 24 October 2026 · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work

TEXT: 74% is the model's bold statement on Trabzonspor's likelihood of victory against Gaziantep, which sets the stage for a clash with clear favorites. The hosts’ possession control strategy underpins their recent form, riding a three-game winning streak into this encounter. Their home advantage is historically significant, winning 60% of their matches in front of their fans. The visitors, by contrast, are struggling with three consecutive losses, a pattern that aligns poorly with their possession-based approach.

The small head-to-head sample of four matches since 2023 leans towards the hosts, with two wins and two draws. But the real picture emerges from the expected goals: Trabzonspor's 2.45 to Gaziantep's 0.85. This suggests a tilt towards a scoreline like 2-0, with the probability of exceeding 2.5 goals at 64%. The tactical battle might not be a clash of styles but rather a test of execution within a similar framework.

Emphasizing the home side's momentum and Gaziantep's recent woes, the analysis calls for a confident play on the hosts while keeping the over 2.5 goals on the radar.

Trabzonspor

Form WLWWW

League ranking xG #7xGA #7xT #10xP/match #8Points #4

Key players

Mustafa EskihellacLBxG 0.06 · xT 0.20
Stefan SavicCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.07
Chibuike Godfrey NwaiwuCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.07

Gaziantep

Form WDLLL

League ranking xG #12xGA #14xT #8xP/match #15Points #14

Key players

Deian SorescuRWxG 0.16 · xT 0.32
Halil DervisogluFxG 0.14 · xT 0.03
Trivante Vincent StewartFxG 0.36 · xT -0.01

Match prediction: Trabzonspor – Gaziantep

Predicted score matrix

Gaziantep →

Trabzonspor →

0–03.9%

0–12.9%

0–21.3%

0–30.4%

0–4+0.1%

1–08.8%

1–17.9%

1–23.2%

1–30.9%

1–4+0.2%

2–011.1%

2–19.4%

2–24.0%

2–31.1%

2–4+0.3%

3–09.1%

3–17.7%

3–23.3%

3–30.9%

3–4+0.2%

4+–010.0%

4+–18.4%

4+–23.6%

4+–31.0%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.2-011%
2.2-19%
3.3-09%
4.1-09%
5.1-18%

Expected goals

2,45–0,85

Both teams to score

52%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,3

112%

220%

322%

418%

5+24%

Under 2,536%

–

Over 2,564%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Trabzonspor to win74%
Over 1.5 goals84%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Trabzonspor to win74%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Ebere Paul Onuachu to score39%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score52%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Ebere Paul Onuachu to score39%
Ulrich Sidoine Meleke to be booked24%

Odds & value

No odds available yet.

Statistics

Head-to-head

4 matches

Trabzonspor 2Draw 2Gaziantep 0

Goals: 6–4 (⌀ 2,5)

Head-to-head based on Süper Lig data since 2023.

Key facts

Trabzonspor come into this round on 3 straight wins.
Gaziantep have lost 3 in a row.
Trabzonspor win 60% of their home matches all-time (58 played).

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Trabzonspor

Gaziantep

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Trabzonspor (18–5)

Gaziantep (8–12)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Trabzonspor

Gaziantep

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Trabzonspor

Gaziantep

The teams in numbers

Performance	Trabzonspor	Gaziantep
Points	16	8
xPoints	11.9	8.4
xG per match	1.6	1
xGA per match	1.3	1.6
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.37	0.17
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.15	0.21

Playing style	Trabzonspor	Gaziantep
Build-up efficiency	0.32	0.3
Field tilt	0.47	0.45
xT per match	0.95	0.96
xTA per match	0.92	1.1
Won balls, offensive half	23	23
Pressing intensity	0.24	0.22
Pressing efficiency	0.28	0.27
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.24	0.19
Entries into the box per match	11	9
Entries into the box against	12	11
Pass completion %	0.79	0.77
Pass completion % under pressure	0.75	0.73
Passes per match	372	362
Passes against per match	325	361
Switches of play per match	32.4	40.9
Long balls per match	38	44

Set pieces	Trabzonspor	Gaziantep
xG from free kicks	0.08	0.04
Corners per match	5.3	4.4
Corners against per match	3.9	4
xG per corner	0.01	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.04	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.36	0.37
First touch, defensive corners %	0.47	0.69

Other	Trabzonspor	Gaziantep
Throw-in control	0.76	0.73

The goalkeepers	André Onana Onana (Trabzonspor)	Kacper Tobiasz (Gaziantep)
Saves	37	21
Save %	88%	64%
xG prevented	57%	40%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Trabzonspor

Fixtures, form & tips

Gaziantep

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep according to our model?

The model gives Trabzonspor a 74% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Trabzonspor 74%, draw 15%, Gaziantep 11%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 64% and under at 36%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 52% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep?

The model expects 2.45 goals (xG) for Trabzonspor and 0.85 for Gaziantep, 3.30 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Trabzonspor or draw (1X) 89%, Gaziantep or draw (X2) 26% and no draw (12) 85%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.