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    Inter Club EscaldesInter Club EscaldesPossession control
    1–3
    Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea CraiovaCounter-attacks & crosses
    The model's lean: 2 · Universitatea Craiova (55%)Best value by the model: 1 · Inter Club Escaldes @ 6.40 (+26 %)

    Inter Club Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova · Conference League

    1 · Inter Club Escaldes 20%X 26%55% Universitatea Craiova · 2

    Prediction summary

    Final score 1–3. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Inter Club Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova (Conference League, Thursday, 22 October 2026): Inter Club Escaldes win 20%, draw 26%, Universitatea Craiova win 55%. Expected goals (xG): Inter Club Escaldes 1.00, Universitatea Craiova 1.80. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 53%. Double chance: Inter Club Escaldes or draw 45%, Universitatea Craiova or draw 80%. Prediction updated Wednesday, 14 October 2026.

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    Analysis: Inter Club Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova

    Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

    TEXT: With Universitatea Craiova boasting a 55% probability of victory, the numbers clearly favor the visitors. The edge in expected goals, 1.80 to 1.00, further supports their dominance. While the hosts, Inter Club Escaldes, prefer a possession-based approach, Craiova's counter-attack and crossing strategy aligns well against this style.

    The most likely scorelines are tight, with 1-1 and 0-1 both at 11%, narrowly ahead of 0-2 at 10%. The over 2.5 goals probability sits at 53%, indicating a tilt toward a more open game, despite the defensive vulnerabilities of Inter Club Escaldes being the clearer factor. The visitors' xG and xGA, both superior, suggest they will likely capitalize on defensive lapses.

    For those seeking value, Craiova to win at odds above even money should be considered a positive expected value play, given their statistical superiority across almost every metric. The model's lean and the expected goals data align with this assessment, making a victory for the visitors a logical outcome. A 1-1 or 0-1 scoreline, reflecting the model's top picks, remains a sharp call, with the over/under 2.5 goals leaning over.

    Inter Club EscaldesInter Club Escaldes
    Form L
    League ranking xG #71xGA #54xT #64xP/match #78Points #68
    Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
    Form WWLLD
    League ranking xG #56xGA #43xT #52xP/match #47Points #53
    Key players
    • Nicusor BancuLWBxG 0.05 · xT 0.13
    • Stefan BaiaramLWxG 0.36 · xT 0.07
    • Alexandru CicaldauLWxG 0.09 · xT 0.11
    Final score
    1 – 3
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Inter Club Escaldes 20% · Draw 26% · Universitatea Craiova 55%

    Match prediction: Inter Club Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova

    Predicted score matrix

    Universitatea Craiova →
    Inter Club Escaldes →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–06.4%
    0–110.6%
    0–29.9%
    0–35.9%
    0–4+4.0%
    1
    1–05.7%
    1–111.3%
    1–29.9%
    1–35.9%
    1–4+4.0%
    2
    2–03.0%
    2–15.5%
    2–24.9%
    2–33.0%
    2–4+2.0%
    3
    3–01.0%
    3–11.8%
    3–21.6%
    3–31.0%
    3–4+0.7%
    4+
    4+–00.3%
    4+–10.6%
    4+–20.5%
    4+–30.3%
    4+–4+0.2%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.0-111%
    3. 3.0-210%
    4. 4.1-210%
    5. 5.0-06%
    Expected goals
    1,00–1,80
    Both teams to score
    53%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,8
    Under 2,547%
    @1.96
    Over 2,553%
    @1.97EV+5%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Universitatea Craiova to win55%
    • Over 1.5 goals77%

    Combined probability

    45%

    Fair odds

    2.21

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Universitatea Craiova to win55%
    • Over 2.5 goals53%
    • Alexandru Cicâldău to score34%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score53%
    • Over 2.5 goals53%
    • Alexandru Cicâldău to score34%
    • Senga Nicolás Kata Martínez to be booked24%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 1 · Inter Club Escaldes20% probability@6.40Betfair ExchangeEV+26%reference odds
    • X · Draw26% probability@4.23PinnacleEV+8%reference odds
    • 1 · Inter Club Escaldes20% probability@5.44PinnacleEV+7%reference odds
    Bookmaker1 · Inter Club EscaldesX2 · Universitatea Craiova
    Betfair Exchange
    EV+ 26%
    6.40
    EV+ 2%
    4.00    		1.51
    LeoVegas
    EV+ 6%
    5.40
    EV+ 2%
    4.00    		1.57
    Pinnacle
    EV+ 7%
    5.44
    EV+ 8%
    4.23    		1.59

    Odds updated 22 Oct, 12:36

    Odds movement

    1+5 %
    20 %15 %

    5.19 → 5.44

    X+4 %
    25 %20 %

    4.08 → 4.23

    20 %
    62 %57 %

    1.59 → 1.59

    Over 2,5+1 %
    53 %48 %

    1.88 → 1.89

    Pinnacle · 7 recorded price levels · 20/10/2026 → 22/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Statistics

    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Universitatea Craiova
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Inter Club Escaldes (0–2)
    Universitatea Craiova (1–1)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Inter Club Escaldes
    Anwar Habib Hernandez Martinez: 74 passningar, xT -0.05MartinezMaurizio Pochettino: 65 passningar, xT 0.35PochettinoÁlexandre Sánchez Rodríguez: 56 passningar, xT -0.01RodríguezJilmar Steed Torres Martínez: 48 passningar, xT 0.05MartínezPablo Molina Serafín: 44 passningar, xT -0.07SerafínVíctor Alonso Madueño: 41 passningar, xT -0.01MadueñoDavid López Herrera: 39 passningar, xT 0.13HerreraJavier Díaz Sánchez: 26 passningar, xT 0SánchezRobin Charles Hughes Lafarge: 24 passningar, xT 0.05LafargeDomingo Berlanga Ouggouti: 13 passningar, xT -0.03OuggoutiMamadou Lamine Diaby Dabo: 12 passningar, xT -0.03Dabo
    Universitatea Craiova
    Vladimir Screciu: 47 passningar, xT 0.08ScreciuNicusor Bancu: 46 passningar, xT 0.03BancuNikola Stevanović: 36 passningar, xT 0.01StevanovićOleksandr Romanchuk: 36 passningar, xT 0.15RomanchukSamuel Teles Pereira Nunes da Silva: 32 passningar, xT 0.37SilvaJoao Lameira: 31 passningar, xT 0.02LameiraTudor Baluta: 31 passningar, xT 0BalutaAlexandru Cicaldau: 25 passningar, xT 0.04CicaldauStefan Baiaram: 17 passningar, xT -0.01BaiaramLaurentiu Popescu: 16 passningar, xT 0PopescuAssad Al Islam Al Hamlawi: 16 passningar, xT -0.03Hamlawi
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Inter Club Escaldes
    Anwar Habib Hernandez Martinez: 74 passningar, xT -0.05MartinezMaurizio Pochettino: 65 passningar, xT 0.35PochettinoÁlexandre Sánchez Rodríguez: 56 passningar, xT -0.01RodríguezJilmar Steed Torres Martínez: 48 passningar, xT 0.05MartínezPablo Molina Serafín: 44 passningar, xT -0.07SerafínVíctor Alonso Madueño: 41 passningar, xT -0.01MadueñoDavid López Herrera: 39 passningar, xT 0.13HerreraJavier Díaz Sánchez: 26 passningar, xT 0SánchezRobin Charles Hughes Lafarge: 24 passningar, xT 0.05LafargeDomingo Berlanga Ouggouti: 13 passningar, xT -0.03OuggoutiMamadou Lamine Diaby Dabo: 12 passningar, xT -0.03Dabo
    Universitatea Craiova
    Vladimir Screciu: 47 passningar, xT 0.08ScreciuNicusor Bancu: 46 passningar, xT 0.03BancuNikola Stevanović: 36 passningar, xT 0.01StevanovićOleksandr Romanchuk: 36 passningar, xT 0.15RomanchukSamuel Teles Pereira Nunes da Silva: 32 passningar, xT 0.37SilvaJoao Lameira: 31 passningar, xT 0.02LameiraTudor Baluta: 31 passningar, xT 0BalutaAlexandru Cicaldau: 25 passningar, xT 0.04CicaldauStefan Baiaram: 17 passningar, xT -0.01BaiaramLaurentiu Popescu: 16 passningar, xT 0PopescuAssad Al Islam Al Hamlawi: 16 passningar, xT -0.03Hamlawi

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceInter Club EscaldesUniversitatea Craiova
    Points01
    xPoints0.21.1
    xG per match0.490.88
    xGA per match21.6
    xG within 8s of winning the ball00.27
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball1.20.03
    Playing styleInter Club EscaldesUniversitatea Craiova
    Build-up efficiency0.250.3
    Field tilt0.490.35
    xT per match0.480.69
    xTA per match0.610.96
    Won balls, offensive half3726
    Pressing intensity0.240.22
    Pressing efficiency0.290.3
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.260.27
    Entries into the box per match75
    Entries into the box against512
    Pass completion %0.780.76
    Pass completion % under pressure0.780.76
    Passes per match493362
    Passes against per match367490
    Switches of play per match40.227.2
    Long balls per match3432
    Set piecesInter Club EscaldesUniversitatea Craiova
    xG from free kicks0.040
    Corners per match3.24.2
    Corners against per match6.34.2
    xG per corner0.010.04
    xGA per corner against0.030.01
    First touch, offensive corners %0.330.25
    First touch, defensive corners %10
    OtherInter Club EscaldesUniversitatea Craiova
    Throw-in control0.610.58
    The goalkeepersJavier Díaz Sánchez (Inter Club Escaldes)Laurentiu Popescu (Universitatea Craiova)
    Saves32
    Save %60%67%
    xG prevented30%97%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Inter Club Escaldes
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Universitatea Craiova
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Inter Club Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova according to our model?

    The model gives Universitatea Craiova a 55% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Inter Club Escaldes 20%, draw 26%, Universitatea Craiova 55%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and under at 47%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in Inter Club Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova?

    The model expects 1.00 goals (xG) for Inter Club Escaldes and 1.80 for Universitatea Craiova, 2.80 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    Inter Club Escaldes or draw (1X) 45%, Universitatea Craiova or draw (X2) 80% and no draw (12) 74%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.