01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Fleetwood Town or draw (1X)72%
- Under 3.5 goals80%
EFL League TwoHighbury Stadium, Fleetwood10°17 km/h
Läs på svenska
Fleetwood TownPossession control2–0
Rotherham UnitedPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Fleetwood Town (43%)Best value by the model: Under 1,5 @ 3.55 (+18 %)
Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham United · EFL League Two
1 · Fleetwood Town 43%X 28%29% Rotherham United · 2
43%
28%
29%
Prediction summary
Final score 2–0. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham United (EFL League Two, Saturday, 17 October 2026): Fleetwood Town win 43%, draw 28%, Rotherham United win 29%. Expected goals (xG): Fleetwood Town 1.28, Rotherham United 1.00. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 46%. Double chance: Fleetwood Town or draw 71%, Rotherham United or draw 57%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Fleetwood Town – Rotherham United
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
The clash between Fleetwood Town and Rotherham United is poised to be a tight affair, with both teams displaying similar possession-based playing styles. The numbers suggest a close encounter, with Fleetwood slightly favored at a 43% win probability. Rotherham isn't far behind, standing at 29%, while the draw remains a tangible possibility at 28%.
Fleetwood's slight edge in points (11 to Rotherham's 10) contrasts with Rotherham's superior expected points (xPoints) of 14.0 compared to the hosts' 11.2. This suggests that Rotherham has underperformed relative to their underlying metrics, hinting at potential for improvement. Both teams average over one expected goal per match, but Fleetwood concedes more, with an xGA of 1.5 against Rotherham's 1.2.
Given the statistical landscape, the most likely scorelines of 1-1 and 1-0 in favor of Fleetwood both sit at 13%. A low-scoring draw or a narrow victory for either side seems to be on the cards. The probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals is only 40%, with both teams to score standing at 46%. This aligns with the expectations for a controlled, perhaps cautious game between two possession-oriented sides.
For bettors, the value lies in the unders. The odds for under 0.5 goals at 12.0 with both Betsafe and Nordicbet deliver a 27% edge, given the model's rating of 11%. For those seeking a slightly safer option, the under 1.5 market at 3.55 with Betsafe offers an 18% edge, rated at 33% by the model. While a goalless draw is always a bold call, the numbers suggest that this matchup could easily be defined by defensive solidity rather than attacking flair.
Fleetwood TownForm DLLLD
League ranking xG #19xGA #19xT #6xP/match #22Points #16
Key players
- Harrison NealCDMxG 0.05 · xT 0.09
- Shaun RooneyCBxG 0.08 · xT 0.10
- Mark HelmCAMxG 0.13 · xT 0.15
Rotherham UnitedForm DWDLL
League ranking xG #16xGA #9xT #20xP/match #10Points #20
Key players
- Paul Philip MullinFxG 0.40 · xT 0.02
- Josh AusterfieldCMxG 0.09 · xT 0.09
- Dominic IorfaCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.03
Final score
2 – 0
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Fleetwood Town 43% · Draw 28% · Rotherham United 29%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - FleetwoodBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 7,11fair 12,61-44 %
MissMatchresultat - RotherhamBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 10,59fair 20,61-49 %
MissMatch prediction: Fleetwood Town – Rotherham United
Predicted score matrix
Rotherham United →
Fleetwood Town →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–010.6%
0–19.8%
0–25.1%
0–31.7%
0–4+0.5%
1
1–012.7%
1–113.5%
1–26.5%
1–32.2%
1–4+0.7%
2
2–08.4%
2–18.4%
2–24.2%
2–31.4%
2–4+0.4%
3
3–03.6%
3–13.6%
3–21.8%
3–30.6%
3–4+0.2%
4+
4+–01.5%
4+–11.5%
4+–20.8%
4+–30.3%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.1-013%
- 3.0-011%
- 4.0-110%
- 5.2-08%
Expected goals
1,28–1,00
Both teams to score
46%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,3011%
123%
227%
320%
412%
5+8%
Under 2,560%
@1.94EV+13%
Over 2,540%
@1.89
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Fleetwood Town or draw (1X)72%
- Under 2.5 goals60%
- Chedwyn Michael Evans to score25%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score46%
- Over 2.5 goals40%
- Chedwyn Michael Evans to score25%
- Ossama Wassim Ashley to be booked18%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Under 1.533% probability@3.55BetsafeEV+18%reference odds
- Under 1.533% probability@3.55NordicbetEV+18%reference odds
- Under 2.560% probability@1.94PinnacleEV+17%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Fleetwood Town | X | 2 · Rotherham United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Nordicbet | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.24 | EV+ 2% 3.65 | 3.06 |
Odds updated 17 Oct, 12:37
Odds movement
1+1 %
45 %40 %
2.22 → 2.24
X+3 %
29 %24 %
3.56 → 3.65
2+2 %
34 %29 %
3.00 → 3.06
Over 2,5+1 %
53 %48 %
1.87 → 1.89
Pinnacle · 6 recorded price levels · 15/10/2026 → 17/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Fleetwood Town
Rotherham United
Fleetwood Town (10–11)
Rotherham United (12–16)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Fleetwood Town
Rotherham United
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Fleetwood Town
Rotherham United
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Fleetwood Town | Rotherham United |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 11 | 10 |
| xPoints | 11.2 | 14 |
| xG per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| xGA per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Playing style | Fleetwood Town | Rotherham United |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| Field tilt | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| xT per match | 1 | 0.68 |
| xTA per match | 0.94 | 0.76 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 29 | 26 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.37 | 0.4 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| Entries into the box per match | 13 | 10 |
| Entries into the box against | 10 | 11 |
| Pass completion % | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| Passes per match | 272 | 290 |
| Passes against per match | 271 | 265 |
| Switches of play per match | 16.6 | 21.4 |
| Long balls per match | 29 | 28 |
| Set pieces | Fleetwood Town | Rotherham United |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| Corners per match | 5 | 3.6 |
| Corners against per match | 5.3 | 4.5 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| Other | Fleetwood Town | Rotherham United |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| The goalkeepers | Jay Lynch (Fleetwood Town) | Ted Cann (Rotherham United) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 23 | 12 |
| Save % | 68% | 63% |
| xG prevented | 40% | 39% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Shrewsbury Town – Bristol Rovers17 October 2026 13:30 CEST
- Accrington Stanley – Gillingham17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Crewe Alexandra – Rochdale17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Port Vale – Chesterfield17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Colchester United – Exeter City17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Salford City – Crawley Town17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Newport County – York City17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Grimsby Town – Northampton Town17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Oldham Athletic – Cheltenham Town17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham United according to our model?
The model gives Fleetwood Town a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Fleetwood Town 43%, draw 28%, Rotherham United 29%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 40% and under at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 46% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham United?
The model expects 1.28 goals (xG) for Fleetwood Town and 1.00 for Rotherham United, 2.28 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Fleetwood Town or draw (1X) 71%, Rotherham United or draw (X2) 57% and no draw (12) 72%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.