01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Sochaux or draw (1X)67%
- Under 3.5 goals83%
Ligue 2Stade Auguste Bonal, Montbéliard10°0,3 mm10 km/h
Läs på svenska
Sochauxvs
BoulogneThe model's lean: 1 · Sochaux (36%)Soft drawBest value by the model: 2 · Boulogne @ 3.30 (+8 %)
Sochaux vs Boulogne · Ligue 2
1 · Sochaux 36%X 31%33% Boulogne · 2
36%
31%
33%
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Sochaux – Boulogne
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
Boulogne's recent visits to Sochaux have been rare, and the head-to-head sample is too small to outweigh current form and expected goals. Yet, there's a noticeable tension in the numbers: the hosts have remained unbeaten in their last six league matches, suggesting a resilience that might be underestimated by some.
The model edges towards Sochaux, giving them a 36% chance of taking the win. However, the expected goals are nearly neck and neck, with 1.13 for the home side against Boulogne's 1.04. This points to a closely contested match where fine margins may dictate the outcome. The most likely scorelines underscore this view, with 1-1 at 14% being the most probable, followed closely by 1-0 and 0-0, both at 12%.
Given the current statistics, the prospect of a high-scoring affair seems slim. Only 37% of outcomes suggest over 2.5 goals, while both teams scoring sits at 44%. The numbers paint a picture of a potentially cagey encounter, where defenses might just have the upper hand over attacking prowess.
Here lies the sharpest angle: despite Sochaux’s unbeaten run and the model's slight lean towards them, Boulogne's odds at 3.2 with LeoVegas offer a 5% value edge based on the away win probability of 33%. This presents an enticing opportunity for those looking to side with the numbers where the potential return outweighs the risk.
SochauxForm WDDWD
Key players
- Mathieu PeybernesCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.08
- Dalangunypole GomisLBxG 0.05 · xT 0.09
- Bendjaloud Salmata YoussoufRWBxG 0.01 · xT 0.20
BoulogneForm DDDDL
Key players
- Abdel HbouchFxG 0.25 · xT 0.15
- Benjamin BesicFxG 0.28 · xT 0.04
- Joffrey BultelFxG 0.08 · xT 0.01
Match prediction: Sochaux – Boulogne
Predicted score matrix
Boulogne →
Sochaux →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–011.8%
0–111.5%
0–26.2%
0–32.2%
0–4+0.7%
1
1–012.5%
1–113.8%
1–27.0%
1–32.4%
1–4+0.8%
2
2–07.2%
2–17.6%
2–23.9%
2–31.4%
2–4+0.4%
3
3–02.7%
3–12.8%
3–21.5%
3–30.5%
3–4+0.2%
4+
4+–01.0%
4+–11.0%
4+–20.5%
4+–30.2%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-114%
- 2.1-012%
- 3.0-012%
- 4.0-112%
- 5.2-18%
Expected goals
1,13–1,04
Both teams to score
44%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,2012%
124%
227%
319%
411%
5+
Under 2,563%
@1.58
Over 2,537%
@2.22
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Sochaux or draw (1X)67%
- Under 2.5 goals63%
- Mathis Clairicia to score23%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score44%
- Over 2.5 goals37%
- Mathis Clairicia to score23%
- Jonas Serge Martin to be booked23%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Boulogne33% probability@3.30BetsafeEV+8%reference odds
- 2 · Boulogne33% probability@3.30NordicbetEV+8%reference odds
- 2 · Boulogne33% probability@3.20LeoVegasEV+5%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Sochaux | X | 2 · Boulogne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.18 | 3.05 | EV+ 8% 3.30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.15 | 3.10 | EV+ 5% 3.20 |
| Nordicbet | 2.18 | 3.05 | EV+ 8% 3.30 |
Odds updated 1 Oct, 07:36
Statistics
Key facts
- FC Sochaux-Montbeliard are unbeaten in their last 6 league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Sochaux
Boulogne
Sochaux (4–5)
Boulogne (3–5)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Sochaux
Boulogne
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Sochaux
Boulogne
| The goalkeepers | Mehdi Jeannin (Sochaux) | Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu (Boulogne) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 30 | 22 |
| Save % | 86% | 82% |
| xG prevented | 73% | 62% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Sochaux vs Boulogne according to our model?
The model gives Sochaux a 36% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sochaux 36%, draw 31%, Boulogne 33%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 14% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 37% and under at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 44% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.