01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Slask Wroclaw or draw (1X)64%
- Over 1.5 goals84%
Ekstraklasa8°12,6 mm16 km/h
Läs på svenska
Slask WroclawLow block & directvs
Wieczysta KrakówBalanced & physicalThe model's lean: 1 · Slask Wroclaw (38%)Soft draw
Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków · Ekstraklasa
1 · Slask Wroclaw 38%X 26%36% Wieczysta Kraków · 2
38%
26%
36%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków (Ekstraklasa, Sunday, 25 October 2026): Slask Wroclaw win 38%, draw 26%, Wieczysta Kraków win 36%. Expected goals (xG): Slask Wroclaw 1.67, Wieczysta Kraków 1.60. Most likely score: 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 65%. Double chance: Slask Wroclaw or draw 64%, Wieczysta Kraków or draw 62%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.
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Analysis: Slask Wroclaw – Wieczysta Kraków
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
The numbers suggest a tightly contested affair. While the model slightly favors Slask Wroclaw with a 38% win probability, Kraków comes in closely at 36%, indicating a near coin-flip situation. Meanwhile, the expected goals show a narrow edge for the hosts, with Wroclaw at 1.67 and Kraków at 1.60. This game is poised on the knife-edge of fine margins, with both sides capable of troubling each other's defenses.
With Slask Wroclaw staggering through a five-match losing streak, their defensive frailties take center stage against Wieczysta Kraków, a team boasting both physicality and balance. Despite the hosts' recent struggles, they've consistently found the net in eight consecutive league encounters. This match features the interesting tension between Wroclaw's direct but defensively weak approach and Kraków's ability to maintain composure across the pitch.
Given the recent form and expected goals, a 1-1 draw emerges as the most probable outcome at 10%. However, the likelihood of over 2.5 goals sits at 63%, driven by both teams' propensity to score and concede. This suggests that goals are on the agenda, even if the margin remains tight. Wieczysta Kraków’s slight advantage in both points and xG per match further tilts the scales in their favor, but only just.
For punters, the sharpest angle lies in backing Slask Wroclaw at odds of 2.75 with Betsafe, LeoVegas, or Nordicbet — offering a 5% edge based on the model's 38% win probability. While it's a game teetering on unpredictability, this represents value for those banking on the hosts ending their losing streak.
Slask WroclawForm LLLLL
League ranking xG #17xGA #16xT #6xP/match #16Points #17
Key players
- Piotr Samiec-TalarRWxG 0.32 · xT 0.28
- Mariusz MalecCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.08
- Karol LinettyCAMxG 0.00 · xT 0.18
Wieczysta KrakówForm DLDWL
League ranking xG #9xGA #13xT #5xP/match #13Points #15
Key players
- Karol FilaRWBxG 0.09 · xT 0.28
- Lisandro Pedro Varela SemedoFxG 0.28 · xT 0.11
- Lucas Domingues PiazónCAMxG 0.13 · xT 0.12
Match prediction: Slask Wroclaw – Wieczysta Kraków
Predicted score matrix
Wieczysta Kraków →
Slask Wroclaw →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.1%
0–15.8%
0–24.9%
0–32.6%
0–4+1.5%
1
1–06.1%
1–110.5%
1–28.1%
1–34.3%
1–4+2.5%
2
2–05.3%
2–18.5%
2–26.8%
2–33.6%
2–4+2.1%
3
3–03.0%
3–14.7%
3–23.8%
3–32.0%
3–4+1.1%
4+
4+–01.8%
4+–12.9%
4+–22.3%
4+–31.2%
4+–4+0.7%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-110%
- 2.2-18%
- 3.1-28%
- 4.2-27%
- 5.1-06%
Expected goals
1,67–1,60
Both teams to score
65%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,30
112%
221%
322%
418%
5+23%
Under 2,537%
@2.38
Over 2,563%
@1.52
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Slask Wroclaw or draw (1X)64%
- Over 2.5 goals63%
- Piotr Samiec-Talar to score22%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score65%
- Over 2.5 goals63%
- Piotr Samiec-Talar to score22%
- Grzegorz Tomasiewicz to be booked20%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Slask Wroclaw38% probability@2.90BetsafeEV+11%reference odds
- 1 · Slask Wroclaw38% probability@2.90NordicbetEV+11%reference odds
- 1 · Slask Wroclaw38% probability@2.85LeoVegasEV+9%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Slask Wroclaw | X | 2 · Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | EV+ 11% 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| LeoVegas | EV+ 9% 2.85 | 3.65 | 2.15 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 11% 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
Odds updated 21 Oct, 21:37
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards an Wieczysta Kraków win since 18 October — the odds have shortened from 2.35 to 2.15 (−9%).
1+10 %
36 %31 %
2.60 → 2.85
X0 %
28 %23 %
3.65 → 3.65
2-9 %
43 %38 %
2.35 → 2.15
Over 2,5-1 %
63 %58 %
1.53 → 1.52
LeoVegas · 17 recorded price levels · 18/10/2026 → 21/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Key facts
- Slask Wroclaw have lost 5 in a row.
- Slask Wroclaw have scored in 8 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Slask Wroclaw
Wieczysta Kraków
Slask Wroclaw (14–22)
Wieczysta Kraków (15–19)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Slask Wroclaw
Wieczysta Kraków
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Slask Wroclaw
Wieczysta Kraków
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Slask Wroclaw | Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 6 | 8 |
| xPoints | 11.6 | 11.7 |
| xG per match | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| xGA per match | 2 | 1.8 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| Playing style | Slask Wroclaw | Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.3 | 0.28 |
| Field tilt | 0.51 | 0.62 |
| xT per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| xTA per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 24 | 22 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| Entries into the box per match | 15 | 17 |
| Entries into the box against | 15 | 15 |
| Pass completion % | 0.73 | 0.8 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| Passes per match | 310 | 437 |
| Passes against per match | 368 | 342 |
| Switches of play per match | 20 | 28.9 |
| Long balls per match | 28 | 33 |
| Set pieces | Slask Wroclaw | Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0 | 0.03 |
| Corners per match | 3.9 | 4.9 |
| Corners against per match | 5.3 | 5.8 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.64 | 0.48 |
| Other | Slask Wroclaw | Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.71 | 0.79 |
| The goalkeepers | Karol Stanisław Niemczycki (Slask Wroclaw) | Mateusz Kochalski (Wieczysta Kraków) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 38 | 21 |
| Save % | 66% | 81% |
| xG prevented | 54% | 55% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
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- Motor Lublin – Zagłębie Lubin23 October 2026
- Piast Gliwice – KS Cracovia24 October 2026
- Wisla Krakow – Raków Częstochowa24 October 2026
- Pogoń Szczecin – Radomiak Radom24 October 2026
- Korona Kielce – GKS Katowice24 October 2026
- Jagiellonia Białystok – Wisła Płock25 October 2026
- Legia Warszawa – Lech Poznań25 October 2026
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków according to our model?
The model gives Slask Wroclaw a 38% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Slask Wroclaw 38%, draw 26%, Wieczysta Kraków 36%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 63% and under at 37%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 65% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków?
The model expects 1.67 goals (xG) for Slask Wroclaw and 1.60 for Wieczysta Kraków, 3.26 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Slask Wroclaw or draw (1X) 64%, Wieczysta Kraków or draw (X2) 62% and no draw (12) 74%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.