Segunda División12°11,9 mm19 km/h

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    CD TenerifeCD TenerifePossession control
    vs
    FC AndorraFC AndorraPossession & high press
    The model's lean: 1 · CD Tenerife (35%)Soft drawBest value by the model: 2 · FC Andorra @ 3.20 (+11 %)

    CD Tenerife vs FC Andorra · Segunda División

    1 · CD Tenerife 35%X 30%35% FC Andorra · 2

    Prediction summary

    BetBuilders AI model prediction for CD Tenerife vs FC Andorra (Segunda División, Sunday, 1 November 2026): CD Tenerife win 35%, draw 30%, FC Andorra win 35%. Expected goals (xG): CD Tenerife 1.23, FC Andorra 1.09. Most likely score: 1-1 (14%). Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 47%. Double chance: CD Tenerife or draw 65%, FC Andorra or draw 65%. Prediction updated Saturday, 24 October 2026.

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    Analysis: CD Tenerife – FC Andorra

    Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

    TEXT: CD Tenerife’s possession control will face a stern test against FC Andorra’s high press in this evenly matched Segunda División clash. With the model assigning both teams a 35% chance of victory, the odds suggest a coin toss, but there’s a slight model lean towards the hosts. Tenerife’s recent head-to-head edge, albeit in a small two-game sample, gives them a psychological boost. However, their xG of just 0.78 per match raises questions about their attacking threat against Andorra's more prolific 1.3 xG.

    Both teams show a razor-thin separation in season performance metrics. Tenerife has a slight edge in points, 13 to Andorra's 10, but xPoints reveal nearly a deadlock: 13.0 to 12.9. This statistical parity is mirrored in expected goals, where Tenerife posts 1.23 expected goals against Andorra’s 1.09. It’s a scenario where defenses may hold the upper hand, with Tenerife’s marginally weaker defense (xGA of 1.2) having to withstand Andorra’s pressing game.

    The most likely scoreline, 1-1, reflects a cautious view, with both teams to score pegged at 47%. Tenerife’s solid home form contrasts with their struggles to convert possession into clear chances, while Andorra’s pressing game might force mistakes but also leave spaces behind. If either side can exploit these gaps, the 1-0 or 0-1 outcomes, with probabilities of 12% and 10% respectively, could materialize.

    With only a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals, goals could be at a premium — and this is already factored into the model’s cautious numbers. Ultimately, the match leans towards a low-scoring affair, with Tenerife perhaps edging it 1-0, but the draw is far from unlikely.

    CD TenerifeCD Tenerife
    Form LDLDD
    League ranking xG #22xGA #11xT #22xP/match #14Points #12
    Key players
    • Ignacio Gil de Pareja VicentLWxG 0.08 · xT 0.14
    • Christian Pierre Louis GomisFxG 0.16 · xT 0.07
    • José León BernalCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.04
    FC AndorraFC Andorra
    Form LWDWL
    League ranking xG #8xGA #7xT #6xP/match #15Points #18
    Key players
    • Marc BombardoCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.10
    • Marti VilaLBxG 0.05 · xT 0.20
    • Marc Domènech CostaCMxG 0.05 · xT 0.09

    Match prediction: CD Tenerife – FC Andorra

    Predicted score matrix

    FC Andorra →
    CD Tenerife →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–010.3%
    0–110.4%
    0–25.9%
    0–32.1%
    0–4+0.7%
    1
    1–011.7%
    1–113.6%
    1–27.2%
    1–32.6%
    1–4+0.9%
    2
    2–07.4%
    2–18.1%
    2–24.4%
    2–31.6%
    2–4+0.5%
    3
    3–03.0%
    3–13.3%
    3–21.8%
    3–30.7%
    3–4+0.2%
    4+
    4+–01.2%
    4+–11.3%
    4+–20.7%
    4+–30.3%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-114%
    2. 2.1-012%
    3. 3.0-110%
    4. 4.0-010%
    5. 5.2-18%
    Expected goals
    1,23–1,09
    Both teams to score
    47%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,3
    Under 2,559%
    @1.70EV+1%
    Over 2,541%
    @2.02

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance CD Tenerife or draw (1X)68%
    • Under 3.5 goals80%

    Combined probability

    54%

    Fair odds

    1.85

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance CD Tenerife or draw (1X)68%
    • Under 2.5 goals59%
    • Enrique Gallego Puigsech to score27%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score47%
    • Over 2.5 goals41%
    • Enrique Gallego Puigsech to score27%
    • Jesus Alvarez Aguado to be booked25%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · FC Andorra35% probability@3.20BetsafeEV+11%reference odds
    • 2 · FC Andorra35% probability@3.20NordicbetEV+11%reference odds
    • 2 · FC Andorra35% probability@3.15LeoVegasEV+9%reference odds
    Bookmaker1 · CD TenerifeX2 · FC Andorra
    Betsafe2.153.15
    EV+ 11%
    3.20
    LeoVegas2.183.20
    EV+ 9%
    3.15
    Nordicbet2.153.15
    EV+ 11%
    3.20

    Odds updated 26 Oct, 21:36

    Odds movement

    1-7 %
    43 %38 %

    2.35 → 2.18

    X-2 %
    31 %26 %

    3.25 → 3.20

    2+11 %
    33 %28 %

    2.85 → 3.15

    LeoVegas · 5 recorded price levels · 25/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    2 matches
    CD Tenerife 1Draw 1FC Andorra 0
    Goals: 1–0 (⌀ 0,5)

    Head-to-head based on Segunda División data since 2023.

    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    CD Tenerife
    FC Andorra
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    CD Tenerife (12–14)
    FC Andorra (13–17)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    CD Tenerife
    Anthony Landazuri: 189 passningar, xT 0.21LandazuriDavid Rodriguez: 148 passningar, xT 0.18RodriguezJosé León Bernal: 124 passningar, xT 0.06BernalYago Santiago: 113 passningar, xT 0.3SantiagoDaniel Martín Fernández: 98 passningar, xT 0.21FernándezFabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa: 98 passningar, xT -0.01BarbosaJorge Moreno: 84 passningar, xT 0.43MorenoJuan Jose Sanchez Romero: 80 passningar, xT 0.02RomeroIgnacio Gil de Pareja Vicent: 64 passningar, xT 0.39VicentMauro Rodolfo Pittón: 61 passningar, xT -0.04PittónDaniel Fernández Melián: 51 passningar, xT 0.16Melián
    FC Andorra
    Diego Alende: 218 passningar, xT 0.21AlendeMarc Domènech Costa: 184 passningar, xT 0.27CostaSergio Molina: 159 passningar, xT 0.35MolinaEfe Akman: 156 passningar, xT -0.06AkmanThomas Carrique: 156 passningar, xT 0.38CarriqueLautaro Marco Spatz: 141 passningar, xT 0.25SpatzJesus Owono: 139 passningar, xT 0.18OwonoMarc Bombardo: 91 passningar, xT 0.09BombardoMarti Vila: 87 passningar, xT 0.05VilaAndoni López Saratxo: 65 passningar, xT 0.04SaratxoMoró Sidibe Sidibe: 53 passningar, xT -0.06Sidibe
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    CD Tenerife
    Anthony Landazuri: 189 passningar, xT 0.21LandazuriDavid Rodriguez: 148 passningar, xT 0.18RodriguezJosé León Bernal: 124 passningar, xT 0.06BernalYago Santiago: 113 passningar, xT 0.3SantiagoDaniel Martín Fernández: 98 passningar, xT 0.21FernándezFabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa: 98 passningar, xT -0.01BarbosaJorge Moreno: 84 passningar, xT 0.43MorenoJuan Jose Sanchez Romero: 80 passningar, xT 0.02RomeroIgnacio Gil de Pareja Vicent: 64 passningar, xT 0.39VicentMauro Rodolfo Pittón: 61 passningar, xT -0.04PittónDaniel Fernández Melián: 51 passningar, xT 0.16Melián
    FC Andorra
    Diego Alende: 218 passningar, xT 0.21AlendeMarc Domènech Costa: 184 passningar, xT 0.27CostaSergio Molina: 159 passningar, xT 0.35MolinaEfe Akman: 156 passningar, xT -0.06AkmanThomas Carrique: 156 passningar, xT 0.38CarriqueLautaro Marco Spatz: 141 passningar, xT 0.25SpatzJesus Owono: 139 passningar, xT 0.18OwonoMarc Bombardo: 91 passningar, xT 0.09BombardoMarti Vila: 87 passningar, xT 0.05VilaAndoni López Saratxo: 65 passningar, xT 0.04SaratxoMoró Sidibe Sidibe: 53 passningar, xT -0.06Sidibe

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceCD TenerifeFC Andorra
    Points1310
    xPoints1312.9
    xG per match0.781.3
    xGA per match1.21.1
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.110.31
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.270.33
    Playing styleCD TenerifeFC Andorra
    Build-up efficiency0.310.32
    Field tilt0.440.67
    xT per match0.560.99
    xTA per match0.880.69
    Won balls, offensive half2725
    Pressing intensity0.220.22
    Pressing efficiency0.250.36
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.20.34
    Entries into the box per match812
    Entries into the box against1010
    Pass completion %0.720.79
    Pass completion % under pressure0.660.75
    Passes per match287421
    Passes against per match441237
    Switches of play per match2541
    Long balls per match3442
    Set piecesCD TenerifeFC Andorra
    xG from free kicks0.040
    Corners per match4.24.6
    Corners against per match3.45
    xG per corner0.020.03
    xGA per corner against0.010.06
    First touch, offensive corners %0.380.43
    First touch, defensive corners %0.590.61
    OtherCD TenerifeFC Andorra
    Throw-in control0.680.72
    The goalkeepersDaniel Martín Fernández (CD Tenerife)Pau López Sabata (FC Andorra)
    Saves1911
    Save %58%50%
    xG prevented39%28%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins CD Tenerife vs FC Andorra according to our model?

    The model gives CD Tenerife a 35% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: CD Tenerife 35%, draw 30%, FC Andorra 35%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 14% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 41% and under at 59%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 47% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in CD Tenerife vs FC Andorra?

    The model expects 1.23 goals (xG) for CD Tenerife and 1.09 for FC Andorra, 2.32 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    CD Tenerife or draw (1X) 65%, FC Andorra or draw (X2) 65% and no draw (12) 70%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.