01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Girona to win57%
- Over 1.5 goals79%
Segunda División
Läs på svenska
Real Sociedad BLow block & directvs
GironaPossession controlThe model's lean: 2 · Girona (57%)
Real Sociedad B vs Girona · Segunda División
1 · Real Sociedad B 20%X 22%57% Girona · 2
20%
22%
57%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Real Sociedad B vs Girona (Segunda División, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Real Sociedad B win 20%, draw 22%, Girona win 57%. Expected goals (xG): Real Sociedad B 1.15, Girona 1.79. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 57%. Double chance: Real Sociedad B or draw 43%, Girona or draw 80%. Prediction updated Saturday, 24 October 2026.
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Real Sociedad B – Girona
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
The TEXT contains an unsupported claim not present in the FACTS: the specific betting odds "2.10 with Bet365" for backing Girona to win. This detail is fabricated and should be removed.
CORRECTED TEXT:
Five consecutive losses for Real Sociedad B paint a bleak picture as they prepare to face a Girona side unbeaten in their last five league outings. The contrasts between these two teams could not be starker: the hosts are struggling at the bottom, while the visitors are building momentum. With only a small sample of head-to-head encounters between them, current form and expected goals data carry more predictive weight here.
Girona's possession-based approach is likely to exploit the defensive vulnerabilities of their opponents, who are characterized by their low defensive setup and direct play. With an expected goals tally of 1.79 for Girona against Sociedad B's 1.15, the visitors hold a clear offensive advantage. While Sociedad B matches Girona in xG per match, it’s the defensive shortcomings, reflected in an xGA of 1.7, that are likely to be their undoing.
The model’s lean towards Girona with a 57% probability of winning underscores the visitors' strength. Meanwhile, a 22% chance of a draw and 20% for a home win further highlight the uphill battle Sociedad B faces. The most likely scorelines, such as 1-1, 1-2, and 0-1, suggest a tight contest but one where Girona's discipline and control should see them edge out the hosts.
The over 2.5 goals market is intriguing here, with a 56% probability indicating a slight lean toward a higher-scoring game. The value lies in backing Girona to win, reflecting their superior form and statistical edge. Expect a 1-2 victory for the visitors, as their unbeaten streak looks set to continue against a side mired in a losing rut.
Real Sociedad BForm LLLLL
League ranking xG #14xGA #21xT #16xP/match #17Points #19
Key players
- Arkaitz MariezkurrenaRWxG 0.20 · xT 0.02
- Gorka CarreraFxG 0.15 · xT 0.01
- Gorka GorosabelCAMxG 0.21 · xT 0.08
GironaForm WWDDW
League ranking xG #11xGA #16xT #10xP/match #7Points #6
Key players
- Alejandro FrancesCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.14
- Yáser AsprillaRWxG 0.24 · xT 0.18
- Bryan GilFxG 0.29 · xT 0.05
Match prediction: Real Sociedad B – Girona
Predicted score matrix
Girona →
Real Sociedad B →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.6%
0–19.2%
0–28.5%
0–35.1%
0–4+3.4%
1
1–05.8%
1–111.2%
1–29.7%
1–35.8%
1–4+3.9%
2
2–03.5%
2–16.2%
2–25.6%
2–33.3%
2–4+2.2%
3
3–01.3%
3–12.4%
3–22.1%
3–31.3%
3–4+0.9%
4+
4+–00.5%
4+–10.9%
4+–20.8%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.1-210%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.0-29%
- 5.2-16%
Expected goals
1,15–1,79
Both teams to score
57%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
115%
223%
322%
416%
5+17%
Under 2,544%
@2.18
Over 2,556%
@1.62
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Girona to win57%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
- Carles Pérez Sayol to score23%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score57%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
- Carles Pérez Sayol to score23%
- Izan González Muñoz to be booked23%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Girona57% probability@2.02BetMGM UKEV+16%reference odds
- 2 · Girona57% probability@1.98BetsafeEV+14%reference odds
- 2 · Girona57% probability@1.98LeoVegasEV+14%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Real Sociedad B | X | 2 · Girona |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM UK | 3.10 | 3.50 | EV+ 16% 2.02 |
| Betsafe | 3.30 | 3.50 | EV+ 14% 1.98 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25 | 3.60 | EV+ 14% 1.98 |
| Nordicbet | 3.30 | 3.50 | EV+ 14% 1.98 |
Odds updated 27 Oct, 05:36
Odds movement
1+5 %
32 %22 %
3.15 → 3.30
X+3 %
31 %21 %
3.40 → 3.50
2-3 %
52 %42 %
2.05 → 1.98
Nordicbet · 7 recorded price levels · 24/10/2026 → 27/10/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Statistics
Key facts
- Real Sociedad B have lost 5 in a row.
- Girona FC are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Real Sociedad B
Girona
Real Sociedad B (14–21)
Girona (17–9)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Real Sociedad B
Girona
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Real Sociedad B
Girona
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Real Sociedad B | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 8 | 18 |
| xPoints | 12.1 | 14.7 |
| xG per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| xGA per match | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.34 | 0.17 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| Playing style | Real Sociedad B | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| xT per match | 0.82 | 0.93 |
| xTA per match | 0.98 | 0.97 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 20 | 23 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.24 | 0.2 |
| Entries into the box per match | 10 | 10 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 11 |
| Pass completion % | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| Passes per match | 295 | 377 |
| Passes against per match | 415 | 386 |
| Switches of play per match | 26.6 | 28.6 |
| Long balls per match | 30 | 36 |
| Set pieces | Real Sociedad B | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0 | 0.05 |
| Corners per match | 4.7 | 3.7 |
| Corners against per match | 5.1 | 4.4 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.46 | 0.41 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| Other | Real Sociedad B | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| The goalkeepers | Aitor Fraga (Real Sociedad B) | Paulo Gazzaniga (Girona) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 31 | 36 |
| Save % | 61% | 82% |
| xG prevented | 31% | 52% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Celta Fortuna – Córdoba31 October 2026
- Eibar – Almería31 October 2026
- Albacete – Sabadell31 October 2026
- Burgos – Castellon1 November 2026
- Eldense – Granada1 November 2026
- CD Tenerife – FC Andorra1 November 2026
- Ceuta – Sporting Gijón1 November 2026
- Real Valladolid – Leganés2 November 2026
- Real Oviedo – Las Palmas2 November 2026
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Real Sociedad B vs Girona according to our model?
The model gives Girona a 57% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Real Sociedad B 20%, draw 22%, Girona 57%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and under at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Real Sociedad B vs Girona?
The model expects 1.15 goals (xG) for Real Sociedad B and 1.79 for Girona, 2.93 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Real Sociedad B or draw (1X) 43%, Girona or draw (X2) 80% and no draw (12) 78%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.