01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Go Ahead Eagles to win56%
- Over 1.5 goals86%
EredivisieDe Adelaarshorst, Deventer10°20,2 mm45 km/h
Läs på svenska
Go Ahead EaglesCounter-attacks & crosses3–2
TelstarLow block & directThe model's lean: 1 · Go Ahead Eagles (56%)Best value by the model: 2 · Telstar @ 5.44 (+18 %)
Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar · Eredivisie
1 · Go Ahead Eagles 56%X 22%22% Telstar · 2
56%
22%
22%
Prediction summary
Final score 3–2. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar (Eredivisie, Friday, 23 October 2026): Go Ahead Eagles win 56%, draw 22%, Telstar win 22%. Expected goals (xG): Go Ahead Eagles 2.23, Telstar 1.25. Most likely score: 2-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 64%. Double chance: Go Ahead Eagles or draw 78%, Telstar or draw 44%. Prediction updated Thursday, 15 October 2026.
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Go Ahead Eagles – Telstar
Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work
Go Ahead Eagles are set to take the initiative against Telstar, buoyed by their recent form and an attacking style that has seen them score in 12 straight league matches. With a focus on counter-attacks and crosses, they will likely be probing Telstar's low defensive line, aiming to exploit any gaps and capitalize on set pieces. The model leans heavily in favor of the hosts, giving them a 56% chance to secure victory, underscoring their solid standing in the league.
Telstar, on the other hand, will rely on their direct approach to find opportunities. Their defensive stance has been a double-edged sword, as indicated by their xGA of 2.2 per match. This vulnerability might be further exposed by the Eagles' relentless offensive pressure. Despite their more cautious tactics, Telstar's likelihood of scoring is supported by the model's prediction of both teams finding the net at a 64% chance.
The numbers suggest a high-scoring game despite the forecast of 8.8 mm of rain, which might normally temper expectations. The expected goals of 2.23 for the Eagles and 1.25 for the visitors align with the model's prediction of over 2.5 goals happening 67% of the time. Common scorelines such as 2-1 and 1-1 reflect this, although a 2-0 result for the hosts is also on the cards.
While Go Ahead Eagles hold the edge in points and expected metrics, there's intriguing value in backing Telstar at odds of 4.85 through Betsafe and Nordicbet, and 4.8 via LeoVegas. The model sees a 22% chance of an upset, providing a subtle 4-5% edge for the punters willing to side with the underdogs.
Go Ahead EaglesForm DDDDL
League ranking xG #6xGA #9xT #8xP/match #9Points #11
Key players
- Mathis SurayLWxG 0.13 · xT 0.23
- Victor Kaj EdvardsenCAMxG 0.26 · xT 0.17
- Søren Østergaard TengstedtRWxG 0.31 · xT 0.06
TelstarForm LDLDL
League ranking xG #14xGA #16xT #11xP/match #15Points #16
Key players
- Tyrone OwusuCMxG 0.05 · xT 0.08
- Sem ValkCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.15
- Nokkvi ThorissonFxG 0.30 · xT -0.03
Final score
3 – 2
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Go Ahead Eagles 56% · Draw 22% · Telstar 22%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - Go Ahead EaglesBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 3,30fair 4,14-20 %
HitMatchresultat - SC TelstarBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 10,26fair 13,57-24 %
MissMatch prediction: Go Ahead Eagles – Telstar
Predicted score matrix
Telstar →
Go Ahead Eagles →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–03.3%
0–13.6%
0–22.4%
0–31.0%
0–4+0.4%
1
1–06.6%
1–18.8%
1–25.4%
1–32.2%
1–4+0.9%
2
2–07.7%
2–19.6%
2–26.0%
2–32.5%
2–4+1.0%
3
3–05.7%
3–17.1%
3–24.4%
3–31.8%
3–4+0.8%
4+
4+–05.4%
4+–16.7%
4+–24.2%
4+–31.7%
4+–4+0.7%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-110%
- 2.1-19%
- 3.2-08%
- 4.3-17%
- 5.1-07%
Expected goals
2,23–1,25
Both teams to score
64%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,50
110%
219%
322%
419%
5+27%
Under 2,533%
@3.05
Over 2,567%
@1.36
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Go Ahead Eagles to win56%
- Over 2.5 goals67%
- Richonell Margaret to score26%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score64%
- Over 2.5 goals67%
- Richonell Margaret to score26%
- Sem Valk to be booked21%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Telstar22% probability@5.44PinnacleEV+18%reference odds
- 2 · Telstar22% probability@5.30BetsafeEV+15%reference odds
- 2 · Telstar22% probability@5.30NordicbetEV+15%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Go Ahead Eagles | X | 2 · Telstar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.55 | 4.26 | EV+ 15% 5.30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57 | EV+ 3% 4.60 | EV+ 13% 5.20 |
| Nordicbet | 1.55 | 4.26 | EV+ 15% 5.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59 | 4.35 | EV+ 18% 5.44 |
Odds updated 23 Oct, 13:36
Odds movement
1+1 %
63 %58 %
1.58 → 1.59
X+7 %
25 %20 %
4.07 → 4.35
2-1 %
20 %15 %
5.48 → 5.44
Pinnacle · 11 recorded price levels · 21/10/2026 → 23/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesGo Ahead Eagles 0Draw 1Telstar 1
Goals: 3–5 (⌀ 4)
Head-to-head based on Eredivisie data since 2022.
Key facts
- Go Ahead Eagles have scored in 12 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Go Ahead Eagles
Telstar
Go Ahead Eagles (20–21)
Telstar (10–18)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Go Ahead Eagles
Telstar
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Go Ahead Eagles
Telstar
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Go Ahead Eagles | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 11 | 6 |
| xPoints | 11.9 | 9.3 |
| xG per match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| xGA per match | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| Playing style | Go Ahead Eagles | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| Field tilt | 0.54 | 0.36 |
| xT per match | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| xTA per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 24 | 24 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| Entries into the box per match | 15 | 13 |
| Entries into the box against | 14 | 18 |
| Pass completion % | 0.78 | 0.75 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.72 | 0.7 |
| Passes per match | 421 | 327 |
| Passes against per match | 340 | 420 |
| Switches of play per match | 33.1 | 25.1 |
| Long balls per match | 42 | 38 |
| Set pieces | Go Ahead Eagles | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| Corners per match | 6.4 | 4.7 |
| Corners against per match | 4.7 | 5.9 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.53 | 0.3 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.69 | 0.52 |
| Other | Go Ahead Eagles | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.78 | 0.77 |
| The goalkeepers | Christian Kjetil Haug (Go Ahead Eagles) | Ronald Koeman Jr. (Telstar) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 26 | 41 |
| Save % | 55% | 70% |
| xG prevented | 34% | 51% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar according to our model?
The model gives Go Ahead Eagles a 56% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Go Ahead Eagles 56%, draw 22%, Telstar 22%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 67% and under at 33%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 64% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar?
The model expects 2.23 goals (xG) for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.25 for Telstar, 3.48 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Go Ahead Eagles or draw (1X) 78%, Telstar or draw (X2) 44% and no draw (12) 78%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.