01 · 2 legs
Safe
- PSV Eindhoven to win47%
- Over 1.5 goals84%
EredivisiePhilips Stadion, Eindhoven11°15,9 mm34 km/h
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PSV EindhovenPossession & high pressvs
FeyenoordPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 1 · PSV Eindhoven (47%)Best value by the model: Under 2,5 @ 3.61 (+35 %)
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord · Eredivisie
1 · PSV Eindhoven 47%X 27%25% Feyenoord · 2
47%
27%
25%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord (Eredivisie, Sunday, 25 October 2026): PSV Eindhoven win 47%, draw 27%, Feyenoord win 25%. Expected goals (xG): PSV Eindhoven 1.82, Feyenoord 1.40. Most likely score: 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 64%. Double chance: PSV Eindhoven or draw 75%, Feyenoord or draw 53%. Prediction updated Saturday, 17 October 2026.
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Analysis: PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
TEXT: Four matches. Four wins. That's the head-to-head story between PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord since 2022. A perfect streak for Eindhoven, yet this matchup isn't straightforward. Feyenoord arrives with momentum, riding a five-game winning streak and edging Eindhoven in both points and expected points this season. This clash of titans could pivot on minute details.
Eindhoven's fortress mentality is palpable. With a staggering 82% win rate at home and scoring in 39 consecutive league outings, they wield a fearsome attack. However, Feyenoord's resolve shouldn't be underestimated. They've found the net in their last 14 league matches, and their current form suggests they could break Eindhoven's stranglehold. Despite Eindhoven's home prowess, the visitors are no strangers to high-stake environments, and their compact defense (0.87 xGA per match) could pose significant challenges.
Weather conditions, with significant rain expected, might dampen the attacking flair both teams typically exhibit. This aligns with a less aggressive game plan, yet the expectation still skews towards goals — with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams finding the net. Eindhoven's high-press style may clash with Feyenoord's similar approach, leading to an intriguing tactical battle possibly decided by who handles the conditions better.
As for betting angles, the most likely scorelines are 1-1 and 2-1, with the model leaning toward a narrow PSV Eindhoven win overall. But the sharpest value lies in the under 2.5 goals market. Betsafe and Nordicbet offer this at odds of 3.61, while LeoVegas has it at 3.5. The model sees a 37% chance for this outcome, reflecting substantial edges of 35% and 31%. Despite the attacking quality, the rain could suppress goals, making this angle particularly intriguing.
PSV EindhovenForm WWLWL
League ranking xG #3xGA #4xT #6xP/match #4Points #3
Key players
- Armando ObispoCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.10
- Ryan FlamingoCBxG 0.10 · xT 0.12
- Guus TilRWxG 0.39 · xT 0.12
FeyenoordForm WWWWW
League ranking xG #1xGA #2xT #3xP/match #1Points #1
Key players
- Givairo ReadRBxG 0.12 · xT 0.25
- Oussama TarghallineCDMxG 0.02 · xT 0.29
- Anis Hadj MoussaRWxG 0.27 · xT 0.32
Match prediction: PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord
Predicted score matrix
Feyenoord →
PSV Eindhoven →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.3%
0–15.3%
0–23.9%
0–31.8%
0–4+0.9%
1
1–06.9%
1–110.5%
1–27.1%
1–33.3%
1–4+1.6%
2
2–06.6%
2–19.3%
2–26.5%
2–33.0%
2–4+1.4%
3
3–04.0%
3–15.6%
3–24.0%
3–31.8%
3–4+0.9%
4+
4+–02.8%
4+–13.9%
4+–22.7%
4+–31.3%
4+–4+0.6%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-110%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-27%
- 4.1-07%
- 5.2-07%
Expected goals
1,82–1,40
Both teams to score
64%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,20
112%
221%
322%
418%
5+22%
Under 2,537%
@3.61EV+35%
Over 2,563%
@1.29
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- PSV Eindhoven to win47%
- Over 2.5 goals63%
- Ivan Perišić to score20%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score64%
- Over 2.5 goals63%
- Ignacio Ferri Julià to score26%
- Charles Vanhoutte to be booked22%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Under 2.537% probability@3.61BetsafeEV+35%reference odds
- Under 2.537% probability@3.61NordicbetEV+35%reference odds
- Under 2.537% probability@3.50LeoVegasEV+31%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · PSV Eindhoven | X | 2 · Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.05 | EV+ 10% 3.99 | 3.02 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10 | EV+ 13% 4.10 | 3.05 |
| Nordicbet | 2.05 | EV+ 10% 3.99 | 3.02 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | EV+ 18% 4.28 | 3.05 |
Odds updated 24 Oct, 06:37
Odds movement
10 %
49 %44 %
2.03 → 2.02
X+1 %
25 %20 %
4.24 → 4.28
20 %
33 %28 %
3.06 → 3.05
Pinnacle · 3 recorded price levels · 23/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
4 matchesPSV Eindhoven 4Draw 0Feyenoord 0
Goals: 12–4 (⌀ 4)
Head-to-head based on Eredivisie data since 2022.
Key facts
- PSV Eindhoven have scored in 39 consecutive league matches.
- Feyenoord come into this round on 5 straight wins.
- Feyenoord have scored in 14 consecutive league matches.
- PSV Eindhoven win 82% of their home matches all-time (72 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven (27–12)
Feyenoord (31–10)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
The teams in numbers
| Performance | PSV Eindhoven | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19 | 23 |
| xPoints | 16.1 | 19.4 |
| xG per match | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| xGA per match | 1.1 | 0.87 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| Playing style | PSV Eindhoven | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| xT per match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| xTA per match | 0.78 | 0.84 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 30 | 24 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.3 | 0.31 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| Entries into the box per match | 19 | 21 |
| Entries into the box against | 9 | 11 |
| Pass completion % | 0.83 | 0.82 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.79 | 0.78 |
| Passes per match | 520 | 435 |
| Passes against per match | 299 | 349 |
| Switches of play per match | 28.5 | 20.9 |
| Long balls per match | 33 | 29 |
| Set pieces | PSV Eindhoven | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| Corners per match | 6.6 | 6.4 |
| Corners against per match | 2.9 | 4.2 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.08 | 0.01 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| Other | PSV Eindhoven | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.75 | 0.71 |
| The goalkeepers | Matej Kovar (PSV Eindhoven) | Tjark Ernst (Feyenoord) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 26 | 22 |
| Save % | 68% | 69% |
| xG prevented | 52% | 43% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord according to our model?
The model gives PSV Eindhoven a 47% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: PSV Eindhoven 47%, draw 27%, Feyenoord 25%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 63% and under at 37%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 64% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
The model expects 1.82 goals (xG) for PSV Eindhoven and 1.40 for Feyenoord, 3.23 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
PSV Eindhoven or draw (1X) 75%, Feyenoord or draw (X2) 53% and no draw (12) 73%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.