J1 League: Predictions, Odds & Tips

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    Model-based predictions for the Scottish Premiership — powered by the same match model behind PlaymakerAI. Ahead of every round the model computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score, built from hundreds of data points per team: strength, form, playing style, weather and more.

    We compare the predictions against live odds from multiple bookmakers and flag positive expected value (EV+) where the model’s probability beats the implied odds. Once matches are played, we grade every prediction openly — hit or miss. Everything updates continuously through the week until kickoff.

    Upcoming matches

    Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
    vs
    Urawa RedsUrawa Reds
    1 38%X 26%2 36%
    Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
    vs
    Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers
    1 25%X 30%2 45%
    Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
    vs
    Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse
    1 43%X 27%2 30%
    Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
    vs
    JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
    1 72%X 17%2 11%
    Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
    vs
    Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
    1 51%X 27%2 22%
    FC TokyoFC Tokyo
    vs
    Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
    1 38%X 28%2 33%
    Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka
    vs
    Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
    1 24%X 31%2 45%
    Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
    vs
    Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
    1 39%X 30%2 31%
    V-Varen NagasakiV-Varen Nagasaki
    vs
    Kyoto Sanga FCKyoto Sanga FC
    1 37%X 28%2 34%
    Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
    vs
    Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
    1 29%X 33%2 39%

    League table2025/26

    New season with no matches played yet — the table shows the most recently completed season until the rounds get going.

    PosTeamSW–D–LGF–GAPxPxGxGAxGDFTStyle
    1Kashima Antlers3823–7–858–317657,350,542,9+7,651 %Possession control
    2Kashiwa Reysol3821–12–560–347560,953,641,8+11,865 %Possession control
    3Kyoto Sanga FC3819–11–862–406851,047,552,4−4,949 %Low block & direct
    4Sanfrecce Hiroshima3820–8–1046–286867,659,734,2+25,559 %Possession control
    5Vissel Kobe3818–10–1046–336465,453,633,8+19,857 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    6Machida Zelvia3817–9–1252–386061,255,539,9+15,647 %Low block & direct
    7Urawa Reds3816–11–1145–395949,949,057,8−8,849 %Balanced & physical
    8Kawasaki Frontale3815–12–1167–575755,555,150,5+4,655 %Balanced & physical
    9Gamba Osaka3817–6–1553–555751,449,050,9−1,956 %Possession control
    10Cerezo Osaka3814–10–1460–575249,557,057,8−0,855 %Possession control
    11FC Tokyo3813–11–1441–485054,149,447,1+2,347 %Possession control
    12Avispa Fukuoka3812–12–1434–384852,349,046,0+3,048 %Low block & direct
    13Fagiano Okayama3812–9–1734–434546,542,251,3−9,142 %Low block & direct
    14Shimizu S-Pulse3811–11–1641–514445,247,958,1−10,250 %Possession control
    15Yokohama F. Marinos3812–7–1946–474343,441,053,6−12,646 %Possession control
    16Nagoya Grampus3811–10–1744–564356,249,445,6+3,839 %Possession control
    17Tokyo Verdy3811–10–1723–414343,835,044,8−9,848 %Possession control
    18Yokohama FC389–8–2127–453547,238,851,3−12,535 %Low block & direct
    19Shonan Bellmare388–8–2236–633241,340,354,7−14,445 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    20Albirex Niigata384–12–2236–672448,544,854,0−9,245 %Possession control

    Latest articles

    All articles
    Oscar Nilsson tips 4/8: upsets with value

    2026-08-04 · 3 min

    Oscar Nilsson tips 4/8: upsets with value

    The model identifies three matches where its calculated probabilities deviate positively from the market's odds: Urawa Reds away against Gamba Osaka (36% probability, odds 3.01, value +6.9%) as well as Estoril Praia's home win against Famalicao (31% probability, odds 3.48, value +6.8%). None of the bets concern a clear favorite, but are based on the model seeing more even strength ratios and home advantage effects than the odds-setting reflects.

    Scouting Report: Nobuteru Nakagawa (Kashiwa Reysol)

    2026-05-13 · 1 min

    Scouting Report: Nobuteru Nakagawa (Kashiwa Reysol)

    Nobuteru Nakagawa, 23-year-old midfielder at Kashiwa Reysol, stands out as a strong playmaking player with a PlaymakerRank of 3.5 that exceeds the league average and impressive assist numbers of 1.68 per 90 minutes. His TransferIndex of 0.96 and ability to create goal chances rather than score goals himself makes him an interesting candidate for clubs seeking creative power in midfield.

    Played matches

    Prediction track record

    No settled matches yet for this selection — the scorecard fills in after every played round.

    How the predictions work

    Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.

    For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.

    Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.