01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Benfica B or draw (X2)67%
- Under 3.5 goals72%
Liga Portugal 212°11 km/h
Läs på svenska
FeirensePossession control0–0
Benfica BPossession controlThe model's lean: 2 · Benfica B (37%)Best value by the model: Over 2,5 @ 2.02 (+1 %)
Feirense vs Benfica B · Liga Portugal 2
1 · Feirense 36%X 26%37% Benfica B · 2
36%
26%
37%
Prediction summary
Final score 0–0. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Feirense vs Benfica B (Liga Portugal 2, Saturday, 24 October 2026): Feirense win 36%, draw 26%, Benfica B win 37%. Expected goals (xG): Feirense 1.27, Benfica B 1.41. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%. Double chance: Feirense or draw 63%, Benfica B or draw 64%. Prediction updated Saturday, 17 October 2026.
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Analysis: Feirense – Benfica B
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
The text contains an unsupported claim: the specific betting odds "William Hill offers Benfica B at odds of 2.60" are not part of the provided facts and appear fabricated.
Corrected text:
Feirense's recent form is troubling. Six consecutive losses cast a long shadow over their chances against Benfica B, despite the statistical model giving them a 36% win probability. The visitors are almost evenly favored at 37%, with their superior recent performance and head-to-head advantage tipping the scales slightly in their favor. The numbers reveal a narrow edge for Benfica B in expected goals and outcomes, underlining their stronger position in the table.
The expected goals tell a story of potential opportunities for both sides, with Benfica B slightly ahead at 1.41 to Feirense's 1.27. Yet, the hosts have an intriguing defensive stat: they allow fewer expected goals against per match (1.2) compared to Benfica B's (1.7). This could be crucial in a tightly contested game where possession is key, as both teams favor control of the ball.
Historically, albeit in a limited sample of four matches since 2023, Benfica B have come out on top three times out of four encounters with Feirense. While small, this data suggests a psychological edge, reinforced by Benfica B's current league form. Feirense's solitary win offers little comfort against a backdrop of ongoing struggles and a paltry single point in the standings.
Goals might be in short supply, with the model offering a 50% chance of more than 2.5 goals and an identical likelihood for both teams scoring. The most probable scorelines hover around 1-1, 0-1, and 1-2, indicating a tight affair. Given this, a 1-1 draw seems plausible, yet a 1-2 victory for Benfica B is equally within reach if they capitalize on their momentum.
The finely balanced nature of this encounter is reflected in the closely matched probabilities across the board.
FeirenseForm LLLLL
League ranking xG #13xGA #11xT #1xP/match #17Points #18
Key players
- Andre LopesLBxG 0.04 · xT 0.21
- Pedro Manuel da Mota PintoCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.11
- Samad PopoolaCDMxG 0.06 · xT 0.06
Benfica BForm DLLWW
League ranking xG #3xGA #17xT #2xP/match #10Points #5
Key players
- Joao FonsecaCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.19
- Miguel Lebre Monteiro FigueiredoCMxG 0.02 · xT 0.04
- Olívio Leonardo Veloso das Neves ToméLWxG 0.31 · xT 0.16
Final score
0 – 0
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Feirense 36% · Draw 26% · Benfica B 37%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - SL Benfica BBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 9,11fair 9,64-5 %
MissMatchresultat - FeirenseBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 8,90fair 11,84-25 %
MissMatch prediction: Feirense – Benfica B
Predicted score matrix
Benfica B →
Feirense →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–07.2%
0–19.3%
0–26.8%
0–33.2%
0–4+1.5%
1
1–08.3%
1–112.6%
1–28.7%
1–34.1%
1–4+2.0%
2
2–05.5%
2–17.8%
2–25.5%
2–32.6%
2–4+1.2%
3
3–02.3%
3–13.3%
3–22.3%
3–31.1%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–01.0%
4+–11.4%
4+–21.0%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.0-19%
- 3.1-29%
- 4.1-08%
- 5.2-18%
Expected goals
1,27–1,41
Both teams to score
55%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,707%
118%
225%
322%
415%
5+13%
Under 2,550%
@1.83
Over 2,550%
@2.02EV+1%
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Benfica B or draw (X2)67%
- Over 2.5 goals50%
- Stevan Pedro Dores Manuel to score23%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score55%
- Over 2.5 goals50%
- Stevan Pedro Dores Manuel to score23%
- Samad Popoola to be booked24%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Over 2.550% probability@2.02PinnacleEV+1%reference odds
- 2 · Benfica B37% probability@2.70PinnacleEV+1%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Feirense | X | 2 · Benfica B |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.55 | 3.15 | 2.62 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.55 |
| Nordicbet | 2.55 | 3.15 | 2.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65 | 3.35 | EV+ 1% 2.70 |
Odds updated 24 Oct, 04:20
Odds movement
1+6 %
39 %34 %
2.51 → 2.65
X+2 %
31 %26 %
3.28 → 3.35
2-3 %
37 %32 %
2.77 → 2.70
Over 2,5+1 %
50 %45 %
2.00 → 2.02
Pinnacle · 6 recorded price levels · 17/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
4 matchesFeirense 1Draw 0Benfica B 3
Goals: 3–8 (⌀ 2,8)
Head-to-head based on Liga Portugal 2 data since 2023.
Key facts
- Feirense have lost 6 in a row.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Feirense
Benfica B
Feirense (2–10)
Benfica B (8–5)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Feirense
Benfica B
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Feirense
Benfica B
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Feirense | Benfica B |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 1 | 13 |
| xPoints | 7.3 | 8.7 |
| xG per match | 0.98 | 1.5 |
| xGA per match | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.2 | 0.32 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.16 | 0.47 |
| Playing style | Feirense | Benfica B |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.61 | 0.47 |
| xT per match | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| xTA per match | 0.67 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 26 | 19 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| Entries into the box per match | 14 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 12 | 15 |
| Pass completion % | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.66 | 0.7 |
| Passes per match | 352 | 372 |
| Passes against per match | 265 | 297 |
| Switches of play per match | 28.6 | 33.1 |
| Long balls per match | 40 | 33 |
| Set pieces | Feirense | Benfica B |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| Corners per match | 5.7 | 4.8 |
| Corners against per match | 4.7 | 5.5 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.42 | 0.63 |
| Other | Feirense | Benfica B |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| The goalkeepers | Diego Altube Suárez (Feirense) | Diogo José de Nazaré e Jesus Ferreira (Benfica B) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 27 | 30 |
| Save % | 75% | 91% |
| xG prevented | 42% | 60% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Feirense vs Benfica B according to our model?
The model gives Benfica B a 37% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Feirense 36%, draw 26%, Benfica B 37%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 50% and under at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 55% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Feirense vs Benfica B?
The model expects 1.27 goals (xG) for Feirense and 1.41 for Benfica B, 2.68 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Feirense or draw (1X) 63%, Benfica B or draw (X2) 64% and no draw (12) 74%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.