Liga Portugal 2: Predictions, Odds & Tips

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    Model-based predictions for Liga Portugal 2 — every fixture in Liga Portugal 2 is analysed by the same match model that powers PlaymakerAI. Ahead of each round the model computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals and over/under lines.

    The predictions are held against live odds, with positive expected value (EV+) flagged where the model's probability beats the implied odds. Played matches are graded openly — hit or miss.

    Upcoming matches

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    League table2025/26

    New season with no matches played yet — the table shows the most recently completed season until the rounds get going.

    PosTeamPSW–D–LGF–GAxPxGxGAxGDFTStyle
    1Maritimo663420–6–850–2948,150,036,4+13,663 %Possession & high press
    2Academico Viseu563316–8–955–3151,648,234,3+13,949 %Possession control
    3Torreense533216–5–1142–3147,744,839,7+5,152 %Possession control
    4União de Leiria503313–11–951–4450,652,841,9+10,947 %Possession control
    5Porto B503315–5–1340–4136,532,753,5−20,839 %Possession control
    6Vizela483313–9–1138–4045,442,938,6+4,355 %Possession control
    7Leixões473314–5–1444–5442,441,947,5−5,649 %Possession control
    8Feirense463412–10–1237–4051,642,540,1+2,455 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    9Chaves453413–6–1542–4051,851,038,1+12,955 %Possession control
    10Benfica B443411–11–1243–4444,444,546,9−2,456 %Possession & high press
    11Sporting CP B423313–3–1741–3340,737,941,9−4,052 %Possession control
    12Penafiel413411–8–1537–3949,042,245,6−3,440 %Possession control
    13Felgueiras413310–11–1232–3749,150,238,9+11,356 %Possession control
    14Farense403310–10–1330–3546,343,937,9+6,049 %Possession control
    15Paços de Ferreira39339–12–1234–4639,737,654,8−17,245 %Possession control
    16Lusitânia382710–8–935–4135,430,234,3−4,143 %Possession control
    17Portimonense373310–7–1636–4740,741,951,1−9,246 %Possession control
    18Oliveirense33338–9–1634–4939,135,349,2−13,947 %Possession control

    Latest articles

    All articles
    Heidi, Adela and this week's surprises with value 5/9

    2026-09-05 · 4 min

    Heidi, Adela and this week's surprises with value 5/9

    The article highlights five Sunday matches where, according to the writer, the odds do not reflect the underlying xG figures and stylistic contrasts between the teams, including Juve Stabia–Pisa and Lusitania–Avs, where counter-attacking football and goal-heavy patterns suggest surprises. The review particularly points out home side Stabia's defensive strength and corner advantage, as well as the open goal pattern in Lusitania–Avs, as reasons to go against the market's odds.

    Player profile: Diogo Prioste (Benfica B)

    2026-08-30 · 4 min

    Player profile: Diogo Prioste (Benfica B)

    Diogo Prioste, a 23-year-old central midfielder at Benfica B, stands out as a strong passer with 251 progressive passing meters per match and a PlaymakerRank of 3.5 stars, clearly above the league average. He contributes mainly through chance creation rather than finishing himself, with strong values for goal-scoring chance assists while his own goal production and xG are modest.

    Sofia Andersson tips 8/8: value bet

    2026-08-08 · 3 min

    Sofia Andersson tips 8/8: value bet

    The article highlights five football matches where the betting companies' odds, according to a statistical model, do not reflect the true winning probabilities, with values of over 20 percent in several cases. Among the examples mentioned are FC Kosice–DAC 1904, Östers IF–Landskrona BoIS, and Guarda–Porto II, where the model sees clear favorites that the market has not yet priced in correctly.

    Played matches

    Prediction track record
    Sporting CP BSporting CP B
    1–2
    Lusitania FC
    LU
    1 41%X 19%2 41%
    The model called the outcome
    Porto BPorto B
    2–2
    VizelaVizela
    1 24%X 27%2 48%
    The model missed the outcome
    Amarante Futebol ClubeAmarante Futebol Clube
    2–2
    União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria
    1 33%X 34%2 33%
    The model called the outcome
    AVSAVS
    0–0
    FarenseFarense
    1 33%X 31%2 36%
    The model missed the outcome
    ChavesChaves
    1–0
    FeirenseFeirense
    1 41%X 30%2 29%
    The model called the outcome
    FelgueirasFelgueiras
    1–2
    PenafielPenafiel
    1 45%X 30%2 25%
    The model missed the outcome
    PortimonensePortimonense
    0–2
    TondelaTondela
    1 38%X 30%2 32%
    The model missed the outcome
    TorreenseTorreense
    0–0
    LeixõesLeixões
    1 45%X 29%2 25%
    The model missed the outcome
    AcademicaAcademica
    0–3
    Benfica BBenfica B
    1 40%X 27%2 33%
    The model missed the outcome
    LU
    Lusitania FC
    2–1
    AVSAVS
    1 32%X 30%2 38%
    The model missed the outcome
    VizelaVizela
    1–0
    FelgueirasFelgueiras
    1 39%X 30%2 31%
    The model called the outcome
    LeixõesLeixões
    3–1
    Amarante Futebol ClubeAmarante Futebol Clube
    1 36%X 30%2 34%
    The model called the outcome

    How the predictions work

    Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.

    For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.

    Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.

    Liga Portugal 2 FAQ

    Where do I find Liga Portugal 2 predictions?

    Right here: every match in Liga Portugal 2 has its own analysis with 1X2 probabilities, most likely scoreline, over/under and value against current odds. Pick a match from the upcoming list — predictions are refreshed before every round and graded openly afterwards.

    How are the Liga Portugal 2 predictions made?

    Each match is replayed thousands of times in the model using hundreds of metrics per team — expected goals, pressing, expected threat, field tilt, form and squad. The output is a probability for every scoreline, which is then compared with bookmaker odds to find value.

    What is the xP table?

    xP means expected points: how many points each team should have taken given the quality of chances created and conceded. The gap between xP and the real table shows which Liga Portugal 2 teams are over- and underrated right now.

    Which teams play in Liga Portugal 2 2025/26?

    Liga Portugal 2 2025/26 has 18 teams: Maritimo, Academico Viseu, Torreense, União de Leiria, Porto B, Vizela, Leixões, Feirense, Chaves, Benfica B, Sporting CP B, Penafiel, Felgueiras, Farense, Paços de Ferreira, Lusitânia, Portimonense, Oliveirense.

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.