Istanbulspor vs Antalyaspor: Prediction & Odds (18 Oct 2026)

Turkish 1. Lig18 October 202613°0,5 mm18 km/h

Läs på svenska

IstanbulsporPossession control

0–2

AntalyasporPossession control

The model's lean: 2 · Antalyaspor (49%)

1 · Istanbulspor 25%X 26%49% Antalyaspor · 2

25%

26%

49%

Prediction summary

Final score 0–2. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Istanbulspor vs Antalyaspor (Turkish 1. Lig, Sunday, 18 October 2026): Istanbulspor win 25%, draw 26%, Antalyaspor win 49%. Expected goals (xG): Istanbulspor 1.12, Antalyaspor 1.76. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 56%. Double chance: Istanbulspor or draw 51%, Antalyaspor or draw 75%. Prediction updated Saturday, 10 October 2026.

Bet on this match

NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet

BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe

LeoVegas100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningenClaim the bonus at LeoVegas

18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links

Analysis: Istanbulspor – Antalyaspor

Sofia Andersson · 17 October 2026 · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

Focusing on Antalyaspor's defensive edge, they allow only 1.3 expected goals against per match, highlighting their resilience. This contrasts with Istanbulspor, who concede 1.7 xGA on average. Antalyaspor's solidity at the back offers a stable platform from which to leverage their attacking potential, underscored by their 1.76 expected goals in this matchup. This could tilt the balance, especially against an Istanbulspor side struggling to contain opposition offenses.

Antalyaspor's form is not just a matter of points; their 15-point haul is well-deserved, albeit slightly flattering when compared to their 11.7 xPoints. Meanwhile, the hosts have punched below their analytical weight, securing just 5 points against an expected tally of 12.1. This discrepancy hints at inefficiency in Istanbulspor's execution, which may be their undoing against a visitor capable of capitalizing on such lapses.

Rainy conditions with 2.4 mm expected may dampen the goal count, but both sides share a possession-centric approach that suggests the weather might not drastically impact their style. The projected probabilities lean towards a 1-1 or 1-2 outcome, with the latter aligning neatly with the visitors' strengths. Antalyaspor's slight edge in creating chances quickly after gaining possession (0.14 xG within 8 seconds) could prove decisive in breaking through Istanbulspor's defenses.

Though the head-to-head sample is insufficient for significant insights, the available data converges on Antalyaspor as slight favorites. The model gives them a 49% chance to take the win, a reflection of both form and statistical advantage. At a bookmaker offering odds that mirror this assessment, Antalyaspor presents viable value. A 1-2 victory for the visitors feels most plausible, with an inclination towards over 2.5 goals, despite the potential dampening effect of the rain.

Istanbulspor

Form LLWLL

League ranking xG #15xGA #20xT #19xP/match #15Points #19

Key players

Alieu ChamLWxG 0.30 · xT 0.26
Emrecan UzunhanCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.04
Phellipe Cardoso AraújoFxG 0.35 · xT 0.15

Antalyaspor

Form LWWWL

League ranking xG #14xGA #14xT #4xP/match #16Points #8

Key players

Bunyamin BalciRBxG 0.05 · xT 0.16
Ramzi SafuriCMxG 0.09 · xT 0.13
Samet KarakocCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.14

Final score

0 – 2

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Istanbulspor 25% · Draw 26% · Antalyaspor 49%

How the bookmaker bet builders went

The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

Matchresultat - AntalyasporBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 6,59fair 6,46+2 %

Miss

Matchresultat - IstanbulsporBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 10,48fair 15,72-33 %

Miss

Match prediction: Istanbulspor – Antalyaspor

Predicted score matrix

Antalyaspor →

Istanbulspor →

0–05.9%

0–19.5%

0–28.7%

0–35.1%

0–4+3.3%

1–06.0%

1–111.4%

1–29.7%

1–35.7%

1–4+3.7%

2–03.5%

2–16.2%

2–25.5%

2–33.2%

2–4+2.1%

3–01.3%

3–12.3%

3–22.0%

3–31.2%

3–4+0.8%

4+–00.5%

4+–10.8%

4+–20.7%

4+–30.4%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.1-210%
3.0-110%
4.0-29%
5.2-16%

Expected goals

1,12–1,76

Both teams to score

56%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,9

116%

224%

322%

416%

5+16%

Under 2,545%

@1.92

Over 2,555%

@1.78

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Antalyaspor to win49%
Over 1.5 goals79%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Antalyaspor to win49%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Nuno Miguel da Costa Jóia to score23%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score56%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Nuno Miguel da Costa Jóia to score23%
Elvin Mendy to be booked23%

Odds & value

Bookmaker	1 · Istanbulspor	X	2 · Antalyaspor
Betsafe	3.28	3.37	2.04
LeoVegas	3.25	3.30	2.02
Nordicbet	3.28	3.37	2.04

Odds updated 18 Oct, 06:36

Odds movement

Market signal

The market has moved clearly towards an Antalyaspor win since 14 October — the odds have shortened from 2.19 to 2.04 (−7%).

1+12 %

34 %24 %

2.92 → 3.28

X-1 %

32 %22 %

3.40 → 3.37

2-7 %

49 %39 %

2.19 → 2.04

Over 2,5+2 %

57 %47 %

1.74 → 1.78

Nordicbet · 8 recorded price levels · 14/10/2026 → 17/10/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points

Statistics

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Istanbulspor

Antalyaspor

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Istanbulspor (9–24)

Antalyaspor (15–17)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Istanbulspor

Antalyaspor

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Istanbulspor

Antalyaspor

The teams in numbers

Performance	Istanbulspor	Antalyaspor
Points	5	15
xPoints	12.1	11.7
xG per match	1.1	1.1
xGA per match	1.7	1.3
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.11	0.14
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.5	0.41

Playing style	Istanbulspor	Antalyaspor
Build-up efficiency	0.33	0.28
Field tilt	0.34	0.6
xT per match	0.71	1.1
xTA per match	1.3	0.76
Won balls, offensive half	20	20
Pressing intensity	0.23	0.21
Pressing efficiency	0.23	0.26
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.16	0.22
Entries into the box per match	9	13
Entries into the box against	15	10
Pass completion %	0.75	0.81
Pass completion % under pressure	0.71	0.76
Passes per match	297	433
Passes against per match	424	301
Switches of play per match	26.6	35.7
Long balls per match	36	45

Set pieces	Istanbulspor	Antalyaspor
xG from free kicks	0.06	0.03
Corners per match	3.6	4.8
Corners against per match	5.9	2.8
xG per corner	0.03	0.03
xGA per corner against	0.03	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.56	0.38
First touch, defensive corners %	0.52	0.54

Other	Istanbulspor	Antalyaspor
Throw-in control	0.71	0.71

The goalkeepers	Alp Tutar (Istanbulspor)	Fotios Pseftis (Antalyaspor)
Saves	32	12
Save %	58%	67%
xG prevented	36%	24%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Istanbulspor

Fixtures, form & tips

Antalyaspor

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Istanbulspor vs Antalyaspor according to our model?

The model gives Antalyaspor a 49% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Istanbulspor 25%, draw 26%, Antalyaspor 49%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and under at 45%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Istanbulspor vs Antalyaspor?

The model expects 1.12 goals (xG) for Istanbulspor and 1.76 for Antalyaspor, 2.88 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Istanbulspor or draw (1X) 51%, Antalyaspor or draw (X2) 75% and no draw (12) 74%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.