01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Kayserispor to win63%
- Over 1.5 goals77%
Turkish 1. Lig12°19 km/h
Läs på svenska
KayserisporPossession & high press2–2
Batman PetrolsporPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Kayserispor (63%)
Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor · Turkish 1. Lig
1 · Kayserispor 63%X 22%15% Batman Petrolspor · 2
63%
22%
15%
Prediction summary
Final score 2–2. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor (Turkish 1. Lig, Sunday, 18 October 2026): Kayserispor win 63%, draw 22%, Batman Petrolspor win 15%. Expected goals (xG): Kayserispor 1.96, Batman Petrolspor 0.81. Most likely score: 2-0 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 48%. Double chance: Kayserispor or draw 85%, Batman Petrolspor or draw 37%. Prediction updated Saturday, 10 October 2026.
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Analysis: Kayserispor – Batman Petrolspor
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
Kayserispor's recent head-to-head record against Batman Petrolspor is not available, but the hosts arrive with a string of five consecutive victories. This winning streak is a testament to their current form, suggesting a team in control and confident. Consistently finding the net, the hosts have scored in their last ten league matches, showing a reliability that could be decisive. Batman Petrolspor, despite their possession-focused approach, face a formidable opponent in a team that excels both in possession and high pressing.
The metrics reinforce Kayserispor's dominance. With an expected goals (xG) of 1.96 compared to Batman's 0.81, the home side is statistically more likely to find the back of the net. Their defensive solidity is also noteworthy; with an expected goals against (xGA) of 0.87, they are less prone to conceding. The visitors, on the contrary, have an xGA of 1.4, suggesting vulnerabilities that Kayserispor could exploit. Points and xPoints both tilt in favor of the home side, further underlining their edge in this matchup.
The model's most probable scorelines, 2-0 and 1-0, each at 12%, lean towards a low-scoring victory for Kayserispor. The over 2.5 goals probability stands at 52%, indicating a slight inclination towards more goals, though not decisively so. A 1-0 or 2-0 result for the hosts seems plausible.
Betting markets offer value on a Kayserispor win, with Betsafe and Nordicbet pricing the home victory at odds of 1.68, and LeoVegas at 1.65. Given the model's 63% win probability for the hosts, these odds present a 6% and 4% edge, respectively. This represents a sharp angle for those favoring pragmatic plays grounded in statistical backing.
KayserisporForm WWWWW
League ranking xG #1xGA #2xT #8xP/match #1Points #1
Key players
- Gorkem SaglamCAMxG 0.19 · xT 0.24
- Semih GulerCBxG 0.09 · xT 0.12
- Benhur KeserRWxG 0.25 · xT 0.17
Batman PetrolsporForm WLLLW
League ranking xG #3xGA #16xT #9xP/match #6Points #4
Key players
- Bernardo Martins de SousaRWxG 0.12 · xT 0.21
- Polat YaldırRWxG 0.13 · xT 0.08
- Ömürcan ArtanRBxG 0.08 · xT 0.09
Final score
2 – 2
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Kayserispor 63% · Draw 22% · Batman Petrolspor 15%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - KayserisporBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 5,15fair 6,09-15 %
MissMatchresultat - Batman PetrolsporBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 14,21fair 34,76-59 %
MissMatch prediction: Kayserispor – Batman Petrolspor
Predicted score matrix
Batman Petrolspor →
Kayserispor →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.5%
0–14.8%
0–22.1%
0–30.6%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–011.9%
1–110.2%
1–24.1%
1–31.1%
1–4+0.3%
2
2–012.0%
2–19.8%
2–24.0%
2–31.1%
2–4+0.3%
3
3–07.8%
3–16.4%
3–22.6%
3–30.7%
3–4+0.2%
4+
4+–06.0%
4+–14.9%
4+–22.0%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-012%
- 2.1-012%
- 3.1-110%
- 4.2-110%
- 5.3-08%
Expected goals
1,96–0,81
Both teams to score
48%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,80
117%
224%
322%
415%
5+15%
Under 2,548%
@2.04
Over 2,552%
@1.68
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Kayserispor to win63%
- Over 2.5 goals52%
- Daniel Moreno Mosquera to score40%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score48%
- Over 2.5 goals52%
- Daniel Moreno Mosquera to score40%
- Mamadou Cissokho to be booked25%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Kayserispor63% probability@1.68BetsafeEV+6%reference odds
- 1 · Kayserispor63% probability@1.68NordicbetEV+6%reference odds
- 1 · Kayserispor63% probability@1.65LeoVegasEV+4%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Kayserispor | X | 2 · Batman Petrolspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | EV+ 6% 1.68 | 3.62 | 4.56 |
| LeoVegas | EV+ 4% 1.65 | 3.70 | 4.35 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 6% 1.68 | 3.62 | 4.56 |
Odds updated 18 Oct, 13:36
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards over 2.5 goals since 14 October — the odds have shortened from 1.79 to 1.68 (−6%).
10 %
62 %52 %
1.68 → 1.68
X0 %
29 %19 %
3.62 → 3.62
20 %
24 %14 %
4.56 → 4.56
Over 2,5-6 %
58 %48 %
1.79 → 1.68
Nordicbet · 11 recorded price levels · 14/10/2026 → 18/10/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Statistics
Key facts
- Kayserispor come into this round on 5 straight wins.
- Kayserispor have scored in 10 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Kayserispor
Batman Petrolspor
Kayserispor (22–5)
Batman Petrolspor (20–17)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Kayserispor
Batman Petrolspor
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Kayserispor
Batman Petrolspor
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Kayserispor | Batman Petrolspor |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 25 | 19 |
| xPoints | 18 | 15.2 |
| xG per match | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| xGA per match | 0.87 | 1.4 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.06 | 0.33 |
| Playing style | Kayserispor | Batman Petrolspor |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| Field tilt | 0.6 | 0.47 |
| xT per match | 1 | 0.97 |
| xTA per match | 0.92 | 0.98 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 20 | 23 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.2 | 0.25 |
| Entries into the box per match | 13 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 9 | 11 |
| Pass completion % | 0.82 | 0.75 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.79 | 0.69 |
| Passes per match | 428 | 300 |
| Passes against per match | 338 | 309 |
| Switches of play per match | 27.2 | 26.8 |
| Long balls per match | 35 | 42 |
| Set pieces | Kayserispor | Batman Petrolspor |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Corners per match | 4.5 | 5 |
| Corners against per match | 4.1 | 4 |
| xG per corner | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| Other | Kayserispor | Batman Petrolspor |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| The goalkeepers | Gokhan Degirmenci (Kayserispor) | Caglar Akbaba (Batman Petrolspor) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 18 | 28 |
| Save % | 78% | 65% |
| xG prevented | 48% | 37% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Muğlaspor – Bursaspor15 October 2026
- Mardin 1969 – Fatih Karagümrük15 October 2026
- Manisa FK – Esenler Erokspor15 October 2026
- Sivasspor – Sarıyer17 October 2026
- Bodrumspor – Bandırmaspor17 October 2026
- Vanspor – Ümraniyespor18 October 2026
- Iğdır – Boluspor18 October 2026
- Istanbulspor – Antalyaspor18 October 2026
- Bursaspor – Pendikspor19 October 2026
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor according to our model?
The model gives Kayserispor a 63% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Kayserispor 63%, draw 22%, Batman Petrolspor 15%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and under at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 48% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor?
The model expects 1.96 goals (xG) for Kayserispor and 0.81 for Batman Petrolspor, 2.78 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Kayserispor or draw (1X) 85%, Batman Petrolspor or draw (X2) 37% and no draw (12) 78%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.