Galatasaray vs Stuttgart Prediction: Home win 55% (3 Nov 2026)

Champions League3 November 202614°5,0 mm15 km/h

Läs på svenska

GalatasarayPossession & high press

StuttgartPossession control

The model's lean: 1 · Galatasaray (55%)

1 · Galatasaray 55%X 22%23% Stuttgart · 2

55%

22%

23%

Prediction summary

BetBuilders AI model prediction for Galatasaray vs Stuttgart (Champions League, Tuesday, 3 November 2026): Galatasaray win 55%, draw 22%, Stuttgart win 23%. Expected goals (xG): Galatasaray 2.03, Stuttgart 1.52. Most likely score: 1-1 (9%). Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 68%. Double chance: Galatasaray or draw 77%, Stuttgart or draw 45%. Prediction updated Monday, 26 October 2026.

Bet on this match

NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet

BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe

LeoVegas100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningenClaim the bonus at LeoVegas

18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links

Analysis: Galatasaray – Stuttgart

Sofia Andersson · 26 October 2026 · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

A small head-to-head sample suggests caution, but Galatasaray and VfB Stuttgart haven't crossed paths enough to overshadow current form and numbers. Both teams favor possession, yet their paths diverge sharply on paper. The Turkish side's xG per match sits at a modest 1.3 compared to the visitors' impressive 2.2. Defensively, Galatasaray's xGA of 1.9 is a red flag against Stuttgart's resilient 0.8. Despite Stuttgart's edge in form, the model leans towards the hosts, partly due to the volatility of early-season stats.

Current league standings give Stuttgart a clear advantage, with 7 points to Gala's 3. Yet the expected points tell a more balanced story: 5.4 for the visitors, 2.9 for the hosts. This suggests that while Stuttgart capitalizes on opportunities, their underlying dominance isn't as pronounced as it might seem. However, Galatasaray's ability to press high could disrupt Stuttgart's rhythm, especially if they leverage their 2.03 expected goals effectively.

The match is likely to be tight, the most probable scorelines both sitting at 1-1 and 2-1, each with a 9% chance. Rainy conditions often suppress scoring, but with a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, expect goals. Stuttgart’s defensive record might suggest otherwise, but Galatasaray’s pressing could lead to high-pressure situations creating goal-scoring opportunities.

LeoVegas offers a tempting value bet with the home side at odds of 2.25, underestimating their 55% chance of winning according to the model, which sees a 24% edge here. While Stuttgart may look strong in the numbers, the value in betting lies with Galatasaray. Expect a narrow 2-1 victory for the hosts, with the rain ensuring a gritty battle full of unpredictable turns.

Galatasaray

Form WLLLW

League ranking xG #37xGA #38xT #45xP/match #44Points #36

Key players

Ismail JakobsCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.03
Davinson SanchezCBxG 0.15 · xT 0.04
Yunus AkgunRWxG 0.15 · xT 0.24

Stuttgart

Form WLWWD

League ranking xG #11xGA #3xT #5xP/match #12Points #9

Key players

Angelo StillerCDMxG 0.10 · xT 0.34
Chris FuhrichLWxG 0.08 · xT 0.33
Deniz UndavCMxG 0.40 · xT 0.25

Match prediction: Galatasaray – Stuttgart

Predicted score matrix

Stuttgart →

Galatasaray →

0–03.1%

0–14.1%

0–23.3%

0–31.7%

0–4+0.9%

1–05.6%

1–19.1%

1–26.7%

1–33.4%

1–4+1.8%

2–05.9%

2–19.0%

2–26.8%

2–33.5%

2–4+1.8%

3–04.0%

3–16.1%

3–24.6%

3–32.3%

3–4+1.2%

4+–03.3%

4+–14.9%

4+–23.7%

4+–31.9%

4+–4+1.0%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-19%
2.2-19%
3.2-27%
4.1-27%
5.3-16%

Expected goals

2,03–1,52

Both teams to score

68%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,5

110%

218%

321%

419%

5+28%

Under 2,531%

@2.95

Over 2,569%

@1.41

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Galatasaray to win55%
Over 1.5 goals87%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Galatasaray to win55%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Aleksey Batrakov to score26%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score68%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Aleksey Batrakov to score26%
Grischa Prömel to be booked23%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Galatasaray55% probability@2.28BetsafeEV+26%reference odds
1 · Galatasaray55% probability@2.28NordicbetEV+26%reference odds
1 · Galatasaray55% probability@2.20LeoVegasEV+21%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Galatasaray	X	2 · Stuttgart
Betsafe	EV+ 26% 2.28	3.95	2.78
LeoVegas	EV+ 21% 2.20	3.85	2.85
Nordicbet	EV+ 26% 2.28	3.95	2.78

Odds updated 27 Oct, 13:37

Odds movement

1+1 %

45 %40 %

2.25 → 2.28

X0 %

27 %22 %

3.95 → 3.95

2-2 %

36 %31 %

2.85 → 2.78

Over 2,50 %

70 %65 %

1.41 → 1.41

Nordicbet · 3 recorded price levels · 26/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Galatasaray

Stuttgart

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Galatasaray (6–9)

Stuttgart (7–2)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Galatasaray

Stuttgart

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Galatasaray

Stuttgart

The teams in numbers

Performance	Galatasaray	Stuttgart
Points	3	7
xPoints	2.9	5.4
xG per match	1.3	2.2
xGA per match	1.9	0.8
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.17	0.15
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.38	0.05

Playing style	Galatasaray	Stuttgart
Build-up efficiency	0.33	0.31
Field tilt	0.4	0.68
xT per match	0.71	1.8
xTA per match	1.2	0.77
Won balls, offensive half	27	29
Pressing intensity	0.23	0.23
Pressing efficiency	0.21	0.27
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.19	0.27
Entries into the box per match	10	23
Entries into the box against	10	11
Pass completion %	0.78	0.82
Pass completion % under pressure	0.72	0.78
Passes per match	365	540
Passes against per match	468	336
Switches of play per match	28.6	24.6
Long balls per match	34	30

Set pieces	Galatasaray	Stuttgart
xG from free kicks	0	0.35
Corners per match	2.7	6.9
Corners against per match	3.4	3.5
xG per corner	0.03	0.03
xGA per corner against	0.02	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.5	0.45
First touch, defensive corners %	0.56	0.4

Other	Galatasaray	Stuttgart
Throw-in control	0.68	0.87

The goalkeepers	Ugurcan Cakir (Galatasaray)	Jeff Chabot (Stuttgart)
Saves	12	6
Save %	57%	100%
xG prevented	38%	100%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Galatasaray

Fixtures, form & tips

Stuttgart

Fixtures, form & tips

Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Galatasaray spelschema

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Galatasaray vs Stuttgart according to our model?

The model gives Galatasaray a 55% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Galatasaray 55%, draw 22%, Stuttgart 23%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 9% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 69% and under at 31%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 68% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Galatasaray vs Stuttgart?

The model expects 2.03 goals (xG) for Galatasaray and 1.52 for Stuttgart, 3.55 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Galatasaray or draw (1X) 77%, Stuttgart or draw (X2) 45% and no draw (12) 78%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.