01 · 2 legs
Safe
- LASK to win74%
- Over 1.5 goals88%
Austrian Bundesliga8°0,3 mm6 km/h
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LASKPossession & high pressvs
WSG TirolCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 1 · LASK (74%)
LASK vs WSG Tirol · Austrian Bundesliga
1 · LASK 74%X 16%10% WSG Tirol · 2
74%
16%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for LASK vs WSG Tirol (Austrian Bundesliga, Saturday, 31 October 2026): LASK win 74%, draw 16%, WSG Tirol win 10%. Expected goals (xG): LASK 2.56, WSG Tirol 1.03. Most likely score: 2-1 (9%). Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 60%. Double chance: LASK or draw 90%, WSG Tirol or draw 26%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
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Analysis: LASK – WSG Tirol
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
LASK are the right side, but the sharper read is not a clean-sheet procession: 2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%, and the numbers point firmly above 2.5 goals. The hosts carry a 74% win probability against WSG Tirol’s 10%, with the draw at 16%. That is a substantial gap, yet the visitors’ counter-attacking and crossing profile gives them a credible route onto the scoresheet.
The underlying season picture backs the favourite. LASK have 19 points to Tirol’s 12, while expected points are 18.2 versus 13.8. That matters: the hosts are not simply riding a flattering results run. They average 2.2 xG per match and allow only 0.92 xGA; the visitors produce 1.4 xG and concede 1.6 xGA. LASK’s possession and high press should keep the game largely in the Tirol half.
Still, this is where the market can overstate the shutout narrative. The model assigns LASK 2.56 expected goals, but it also gives Tirol 1.03. Both teams to score lands at 60%, a meaningful figure beside a home side expected to dominate. A 2-0 home win is also priced by the model at 9%, while 3-1 sits at 8%, so the central range is emphatically a LASK win with enough away threat to disturb the clean sheet.
The head-to-head supports the hosts without replacing the form case. Since 2022, LASK have won 5 of 6 meetings, with 0 draws and 1 loss. That is a small sample and weighs less than current form and expected-goals data. Their home record also offers reinforcement: LASK win 56% of their home matches across 39 played.
The straightforward call is LASK to win, with 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline. Over 2.5 goals is the stronger totals lean at 70%; Tirol’s counter game makes the 60% both-teams-to-score angle the more interesting way to avoid paying for a favourite clean sheet.
LASKForm LDLWL
League ranking xG #3xGA #1xT #1xP/match #3Points #3
Key players
- Moses UsorFxG 0.56 · xT 0.24
- Sascha HorvathLWxG 0.09 · xT 0.22
- Andres AndradeCBxG 0.25 · xT 0.25
WSG TirolForm DLLWD
League ranking xG #6xGA #8xT #10xP/match #6Points #7
Key players
- David GugganigCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.09
- Matthaus TafernerCMxG 0.11 · xT 0.14
- Marco BorasCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.10
Match prediction: LASK – WSG Tirol
Predicted score matrix
WSG Tirol →
LASK →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–03.0%
0–12.6%
0–21.5%
0–30.5%
0–4+0.2%
1
1–06.8%
1–17.5%
1–23.7%
1–31.3%
1–4+0.4%
2
2–09.0%
2–19.3%
2–24.8%
2–31.6%
2–4+0.5%
3
3–07.7%
3–18.0%
3–24.1%
3–31.4%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–09.2%
4+–19.4%
4+–24.8%
4+–31.7%
4+–4+0.5%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-19%
- 2.2-09%
- 3.3-18%
- 4.3-08%
- 5.1-17%
Expected goals
2,56–1,03
Both teams to score
60%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,60
19%
218%
321%
419%
5+29%
Under 2,530%
@3.05
Over 2,570%
@1.33
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- LASK to win74%
- Over 2.5 goals70%
- Florian Flecker to score31%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score60%
- Over 2.5 goals70%
- Florian Flecker to score31%
- Marc Striednig to be booked23%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · LASK | X | 2 · WSG Tirol |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.33 | 5.40 | 6.50 |
Odds updated 27 Oct, 11:36
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards an WSG Tirol win since 23 October — the odds have shortened from 7.50 to 6.50 (−13%).
1+3 %
72 %67 %
1.30 → 1.33
X+4 %
20 %15 %
5.20 → 5.40
2-13 %
16 %11 %
7.50 → 6.50
LeoVegas · 10 recorded price levels · 23/10/2026 → 27/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
6 matchesLASK 5Draw 0WSG Tirol 1
Goals: 11–6 (⌀ 2,8)
Head-to-head based on Austrian Bundesliga data since 2022.
Key facts
- LASK dominate this fixture historically: 5 wins to 1 in 6 meetings.
- LASK win 56% of their home matches all-time (39 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
LASK
WSG Tirol
LASK (24–12)
WSG Tirol (13–15)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
LASK
WSG Tirol
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
LASK
WSG Tirol
The teams in numbers
| Performance | LASK | WSG Tirol |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19 | 12 |
| xPoints | 18.2 | 13.8 |
| xG per match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| xGA per match | 0.92 | 1.6 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| Playing style | LASK | WSG Tirol |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| Field tilt | 0.75 | 0.5 |
| xT per match | 1.7 | 0.77 |
| xTA per match | 0.63 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 30 | 23 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| Entries into the box per match | 20 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 6 | 15 |
| Pass completion % | 0.79 | 0.76 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| Passes per match | 426 | 365 |
| Passes against per match | 306 | 356 |
| Switches of play per match | 43.3 | 21.4 |
| Long balls per match | 48 | 29 |
| Set pieces | LASK | WSG Tirol |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| Corners per match | 7.8 | 5.7 |
| Corners against per match | 1.6 | 6.6 |
| xG per corner | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.65 | 0.46 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.75 | 0.66 |
| Other | LASK | WSG Tirol |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.76 | 0.74 |
| The goalkeepers | Lukas Jungwirth (LASK) | Salko Hamzic (WSG Tirol) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 19 | 39 |
| Save % | 61% | 74% |
| xG prevented | 49% | 52% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins LASK vs WSG Tirol according to our model?
The model gives LASK a 74% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: LASK 74%, draw 16%, WSG Tirol 10%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 9% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 70% and under at 30%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in LASK vs WSG Tirol?
The model expects 2.56 goals (xG) for LASK and 1.03 for WSG Tirol, 3.59 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
LASK or draw (1X) 90%, WSG Tirol or draw (X2) 26% and no draw (12) 84%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Get the bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.