01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Hannover 96 to win53%
- Over 1.5 goals80%
2. BundesligaHeinz-von-Heiden-Arena, Hannover10°2,1 mm9 km/h
Läs på svenska
Hannover 96Possession & high pressvs
Dynamo DresdenPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Hannover 96 (53%)
Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden · 2. Bundesliga
1 · Hannover 96 53%X 24%23% Dynamo Dresden · 2
53%
24%
23%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga, Sunday, 1 November 2026): Hannover 96 win 53%, draw 24%, Dynamo Dresden win 23%. Expected goals (xG): Hannover 96 1.82, Dynamo Dresden 1.18. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 58%. Double chance: Hannover 96 or draw 77%, Dynamo Dresden or draw 47%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Hannover 96 – Dynamo Dresden
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
At 53%, Hannover 96 are the value side against Dynamo Dresden, even if the single most likely scoreline is 1-1. My call is a home-leaning, tight contest: 1-1 is the precise score pick, while Over 2.5 goals carries the broader match lean at 58%. The favourite is not wrong in direction; the available price looks too generous.
The hosts project for 1.82 expected goals to Dresden’s 1.18, a gap that supports the 53% home-win probability. Hannover’s possession and high press should create the more aggressive match script, especially if they can turn pressure into second-phase attacks. Both teams to score also sits at 58%, so a Dresden goal is far from a fringe outcome. That is why 2-1 is close behind 1-1 among the leading scorelines at 10%, with 1-0 at 9%.
Still, this is not a clean case for backing the home side without hesitation. Dresden lead expected points 11.7 to 10.8, have the better defensive expected-goals figure at 1.6 versus 1.7, and produce 0.17 xG within 8 seconds of winning the ball against Hannover’s 0.13. The visitors’ possession-control approach has substance: they can slow the hosts’ press and carry a real transition threat.
Hannover do hold a narrow xG-per-match edge, 1.5 to 1.4, and that fits the model’s preference for the home team. The head-to-head since 2023 reads 0W 2D 0L for Hannover across 2 matches. That sample is small and weighs less than season form and expected goals, but the two draws do underline how little separates these sides when they meet.
The sharp angle is the home price, not a dramatic anti-Dresden call. LeoVegas offer Hannover at 2.02, assessed as EV+ with a 7% edge from the model’s 53% rating. Betsafe and Nordicbet have 2.0, each assessed at a 6% edge. It is an assessment rather than a guarantee, but Hannover 96 at 2.02 with LeoVegas is the bet that stands out.
Hannover 96Form LWLDL
League ranking xG #6xGA #15xT #7xP/match #16Points #16
Key players
- Maurice NeubauerRWxG 0.06 · xT 0.13
- Virgil GhitaCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.12
- Bastian AllgeierCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.09
Dynamo DresdenForm DLDWL
League ranking xG #8xGA #14xT #16xP/match #11Points #15
Key players
- Alexander RossipalLWBxG 0.05 · xT 0.20
- Thomas Leon KellerCBxG 0.08 · xT 0.04
- Ben BobzienLWxG 0.11 · xT 0.03
Match prediction: Hannover 96 – Dynamo Dresden
Predicted score matrix
Dynamo Dresden →
Hannover 96 →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.3%
0–15.6%
0–23.5%
0–31.4%
0–4+0.5%
1
1–08.7%
1–111.0%
1–26.3%
1–32.5%
1–4+0.9%
2
2–08.2%
2–19.7%
2–25.7%
2–32.3%
2–4+0.9%
3
3–05.0%
3–15.9%
3–23.5%
3–31.4%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–03.4%
4+–14.1%
4+–22.4%
4+–30.9%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.2-110%
- 3.1-09%
- 4.2-08%
- 5.1-26%
Expected goals
1,82–1,18
Both teams to score
58%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
114%
223%
322%
417%
5+18%
Under 2,542%
@2.40EV+2%
Over 2,558%
@1.50
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Hannover 96 to win53%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Benedikt Oscar Pichler to score23%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score58%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Benedikt Oscar Pichler to score23%
- Tobias Raschl to be booked24%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Hannover 9653% probability@2.00BetsafeEV+6%reference odds
- 1 · Hannover 9653% probability@2.00LeoVegasEV+6%reference odds
- 1 · Hannover 9653% probability@2.00NordicbetEV+6%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Hannover 96 | X | 2 · Dynamo Dresden |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | EV+ 6% 2.00 | 3.55 | 3.20 |
| LeoVegas | EV+ 6% 2.00 | 3.65 | 3.15 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 6% 2.00 | 3.55 | 3.20 |
Odds updated 27 Oct, 13:36
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards an Dynamo Dresden win since 25 October — the odds have shortened from 3.55 to 3.15 (−11%).
1+9 %
50 %45 %
1.83 → 2.00
X-4 %
27 %22 %
3.80 → 3.65
2-11 %
30 %25 %
3.55 → 3.15
Over 2,5+1 %
66 %61 %
1.48 → 1.50
LeoVegas · 13 recorded price levels · 25/10/2026 → 27/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesHannover 96 0Draw 2Dynamo Dresden 0
Goals: 2–2 (⌀ 2)
Head-to-head based on 2. Bundesliga data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Hannover 96
Dynamo Dresden
Hannover 96 (8–15)
Dynamo Dresden (11–18)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Hannover 96
Dynamo Dresden
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Hannover 96
Dynamo Dresden
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Hannover 96 | Dynamo Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 8 | 8 |
| xPoints | 10.8 | 11.7 |
| xG per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| xGA per match | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| Playing style | Hannover 96 | Dynamo Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.3 |
| Field tilt | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| xT per match | 1.1 | 0.81 |
| xTA per match | 0.87 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 25 | 24 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.3 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| Entries into the box per match | 17 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 12 | 14 |
| Pass completion % | 0.77 | 0.8 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| Passes per match | 376 | 461 |
| Passes against per match | 355 | 385 |
| Switches of play per match | 24.1 | 18.2 |
| Long balls per match | 34 | 29 |
| Set pieces | Hannover 96 | Dynamo Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| Corners per match | 4.8 | 7.1 |
| Corners against per match | 5.9 | 4 |
| xG per corner | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.67 | 0.43 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.72 | 0.42 |
| Other | Hannover 96 | Dynamo Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| The goalkeepers | Leo Weinkauf (Hannover 96) | Tim Schreiber (Dynamo Dresden) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 44 | 24 |
| Save % | 79% | 65% |
| xG prevented | 55% | 45% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Hannover 96 spelschemaDynamo Dresden spelschema
- Arminia Bielefeld – Eintracht Braunschweig30 October 2026
- Energie Cottbus – Bochum30 October 2026
- Wolfsburg – Osnabrück31 October 2026
- Kaiserslautern – Hertha Berlin31 October 2026
- Darmstadt – Magdeburg31 October 2026
- Karlsruhe – Heidenheim31 October 2026
- St. Pauli – Nürnberg1 November 2026
- Greuther Fürth – Holstein Kiel1 November 2026
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden according to our model?
The model gives Hannover 96 a 53% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Hannover 96 53%, draw 24%, Dynamo Dresden 23%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden?
The model expects 1.82 goals (xG) for Hannover 96 and 1.18 for Dynamo Dresden, 3.00 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Hannover 96 or draw (1X) 77%, Dynamo Dresden or draw (X2) 47% and no draw (12) 76%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Get the bonus
Welcome offer on sport at ComeOn — see the current terms on ComeOn's site.
See ComeOn's terms
Get the bonus
Welcome offer on sport at Hajper — see the current terms on Hajper's site.
See Hajper's terms
Get the bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.