01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Como to win73%
- Over 1.5 goals86%
Serie AStadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como11°4 km/h
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ComoPossession controlvs
VeneziaPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Como (73%)
Como vs Venezia · Serie A
1 · Como 73%X 16%11% Venezia · 2
73%
16%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Como vs Venezia (Serie A, Sunday, 1 November 2026): Como win 73%, draw 16%, Venezia win 11%. Expected goals (xG): Como 2.49, Venezia 0.97. Most likely score: 2-0 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 57%. Double chance: Como or draw 89%, Venezia or draw 27%. Prediction updated Saturday, 24 October 2026.
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Analysis: Como – Venezia
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
TEXT: In analyzing the matchup between Como and Venezia, the numbers paint a picture of defensive solidity and possession control. Como's grip on possession, coupled with Venezia's similar style, suggests a game that will be dictated more by patience and precision than by reckless attacking. Despite the small head-to-head sample of two draws since 2021, Como's current form and statistical edge create a compelling case for them to dominate this encounter.
Como's control shines in the expected goals tally, boasting 2.49 to Venezia's 0.97. This indicates not only a likelihood of finding the net more often but also a defensive advantage. Como's expected goals against per match sits at 1.4, significantly better than Venezia's 2.1, highlighting the visitors' vulnerability at the back. Such numbers suggest Como has both the tools and the setup to manage the game effectively and exploit Venezia's defensive frailties.
The model probabilities further reinforce Como's superiority, giving them a 73% chance of victory. With the most likely scorelines being 2-0 or 2-1, Como looks set to control the match. Although both teams favor possession, Como's ability to convert that into points is evident in their lead over Venezia in points and expected points. This clash is unlikely to stray from that script.
A controlled, methodical victory for Como aligns with the statistical narrative and is the rational call here.
ComoForm WWLDW
League ranking xG #3xGA #9xT #5xP/match #9Points #5
Key players
- Assane DiaoRWxG 0.17 · xT 0.13
- Anastasios DouvikasFxG 0.52 · xT -0.08
- Nico PazCMxG 0.35 · xT 0.15
VeneziaForm LLLLW
League ranking xG #9xGA #20xT #11xP/match #17Points #20
Key players
- Enrique Pérez MuñozCAMxG 0.01 · xT 0.13
- Antoine HainautRWBxG 0.11 · xT 0.25
- Toma BašićCAMxG 0.04 · xT 0.30
Match prediction: Como – Venezia
Predicted score matrix
Venezia →
Como →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–03.4%
0–12.8%
0–21.5%
0–30.5%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–07.6%
1–17.8%
1–23.7%
1–31.2%
1–4+0.4%
2
2–09.8%
2–19.4%
2–24.6%
2–31.5%
2–4+0.4%
3
3–08.1%
3–17.8%
3–23.8%
3–31.2%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–09.2%
4+–18.9%
4+–24.3%
4+–31.4%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-010%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.3-08%
- 4.3-18%
- 5.1-18%
Expected goals
2,49–0,97
Both teams to score
57%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,50
110%
219%
322%
419%
5+27%
Under 2,533%
@3.00
Over 2,567%
@1.40
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Como to win73%
- Over 2.5 goals67%
- Nicolás Paz Martínez to score35%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score57%
- Over 2.5 goals67%
- Nicolás Paz Martínez to score35%
- Gianluca Cristiano Busio to be booked27%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · Como | X | 2 · Venezia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.33 | 5.50 | 8.10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| Nordicbet | 1.33 | 5.55 | 8.20 |
Odds updated 27 Oct, 11:36
Odds movement
1+4 %
73 %68 %
1.31 → 1.36
X-4 %
19 %14 %
5.75 → 5.50
2-12 %
15 %10 %
8.00 → 7.00
Over 2,5-3 %
70 %65 %
1.42 → 1.38
LeoVegas · 15 recorded price levels · 25/10/2026 → 27/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesComo 0Draw 2Venezia 0
Goals: 3–3 (⌀ 3)
Head-to-head based on Serie A data since 2021.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Como
Venezia
Como (12–7)
Venezia (6–16)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Como
Venezia
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Como
Venezia
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Como | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 14 | 3 |
| xPoints | 9.8 | 7.1 |
| xG per match | 2 | 1.5 |
| xGA per match | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.3 | 0.28 |
| Playing style | Como | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.3 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.68 | 0.55 |
| xT per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| xTA per match | 1 | 1.3 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 23 | 24 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.3 | 0.27 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| Entries into the box per match | 18 | 11 |
| Entries into the box against | 12 | 14 |
| Pass completion % | 0.85 | 0.79 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| Passes per match | 534 | 415 |
| Passes against per match | 310 | 354 |
| Switches of play per match | 26.7 | 28.6 |
| Long balls per match | 30 | 33 |
| Set pieces | Como | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| Corners per match | 7.2 | 3.7 |
| Corners against per match | 4.4 | 5.2 |
| xG per corner | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.55 | 0.36 |
| Other | Como | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.79 | 0.68 |
| The goalkeepers | Jean Butez (Como) | Filip Stanković (Venezia) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 15 | 34 |
| Save % | 71% | 69% |
| xG prevented | 64% | 48% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Como spelschemaVenezia spelschema
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Como vs Venezia according to our model?
The model gives Como a 73% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Como 73%, draw 16%, Venezia 11%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 67% and under at 33%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Como vs Venezia?
The model expects 2.49 goals (xG) for Como and 0.97 for Venezia, 3.46 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Como or draw (1X) 89%, Venezia or draw (X2) 27% and no draw (12) 84%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Get the bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.