01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Vålerenga or draw (X2)73%
- Over 1.5 goals80%
Norwegian Eliteserien9°1,8 mm11 km/h
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KristiansundLow block & directvs
VålerengaLow block & directThe model's lean: 2 · Vålerenga (44%)
Kristiansund vs Vålerenga · Norwegian Eliteserien
1 · Kristiansund 31%X 25%44% Vålerenga · 2
31%
25%
44%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Kristiansund vs Vålerenga (Norwegian Eliteserien, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Kristiansund win 31%, draw 25%, Vålerenga win 44%. Expected goals (xG): Kristiansund 1.25, Vålerenga 1.73. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%. Double chance: Kristiansund or draw 56%, Vålerenga or draw 69%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
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Analysis: Kristiansund – Vålerenga
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
Kristiansund have taken 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from three head-to-head meetings with Vålerenga since 2021. That is a small sample and it weighs less than current form indicators and expected-goals output, but it fits the broader picture: the visitors have held the stronger underlying position. The model makes them 44% to win, against 31% for the hosts, with the draw at 25%.
The table says 20 points versus 29. The deeper numbers say the gap is real, if not overwhelming. Vålerenga lead xPoints 32.9 to 30.1, create 1.7 xG per match against 1.3, and concede 1.7 xGA compared with Kristiansund’s 2.0. That last figure is the pressure point. The home side’s direct approach can generate moments, yet a low defensive profile combined with 2.0 xGA per match is not a foundation for trusting them against the better attack.
Both teams are low-defence, direct outfits, so this should not settle into a slow possession contest. Kristiansund’s 1.25 expected goals still gives them a credible route onto the scoresheet, while the visitors are projected at 1.73. Both teams to score sits at 59%, and Over 2.5 goals is marginally stronger at 57%. The model’s most likely exact result is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 1-2 at 9% and 0-1 at 8%, but exact-score markets are naturally fragmented.
The draw is the single most common scoreline, yet the aggregate direction is away: Vålerenga have the superior points, xPoints, attacking output and defensive numbers. I would price the match around their edge rather than get seduced by the 1-1 peak. The cleanest read is a 1-2 away win, with Over 2.5 goals the sharper supporting angle at 57%.
KristiansundForm LLLLD
League ranking xG #14xGA #14xT #16xP/match #10Points #15
Key players
- Leander AlvheimFxG 0.45 · xT 0.01
- Heine Gikling BrusethCMxG 0.06 · xT 0.06
- Sander Hestetun KilenLWxG 0.18 · xT 0.09
VålerengaForm LDLWW
League ranking xG #7xGA #9xT #5xP/match #7Points #10
Key players
- Henrik BjordalRWxG 0.20 · xT 0.18
- Carl LangeCMxG 0.15 · xT 0.10
- Sebastian JarlCBxG 0.09 · xT 0.11
Match prediction: Kristiansund – Vålerenga
Predicted score matrix
Vålerenga →
Kristiansund →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.4%
0–18.5%
0–27.6%
0–34.4%
0–4+2.8%
1
1–06.0%
1–111.3%
1–29.5%
1–35.5%
1–4+3.5%
2
2–04.0%
2–16.9%
2–25.9%
2–33.4%
2–4+2.2%
3
3–01.7%
3–12.9%
3–22.5%
3–31.4%
3–4+0.9%
4+
4+–00.7%
4+–11.2%
4+–21.0%
4+–30.6%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.0-18%
- 4.0-28%
- 5.2-17%
Expected goals
1,25–1,73
Both teams to score
59%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
115%
223%
322%
417%
5+18%
Under 2,543%
–
Over 2,557%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Vålerenga or draw (X2)73%
- Over 2.5 goals57%
- Mathias Grundetjern to score27%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score59%
- Over 2.5 goals57%
- Mathias Grundetjern to score27%
- Fidèle Brice Ambina to be booked21%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
3 matchesKristiansund 0Draw 1Vålerenga 2
Goals: 4–8 (⌀ 4)
Head-to-head based on Eliteserien data since 2021.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Kristiansund
Vålerenga
Kristiansund (25–49)
Vålerenga (39–46)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Kristiansund
Vålerenga
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Kristiansund
Vålerenga
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Kristiansund | Vålerenga |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20 | 29 |
| xPoints | 30.1 | 32.9 |
| xG per match | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| xGA per match | 2 | 1.7 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.25 | 0.3 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.3 | 0.29 |
| Playing style | Kristiansund | Vålerenga |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| Field tilt | 0.37 | 0.48 |
| xT per match | 0.77 | 1.3 |
| xTA per match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 25 | 26 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| Entries into the box per match | 10 | 16 |
| Entries into the box against | 17 | 18 |
| Pass completion % | 0.73 | 0.75 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Passes per match | 310 | 364 |
| Passes against per match | 449 | 391 |
| Switches of play per match | 25.2 | 23.8 |
| Long balls per match | 34 | 33 |
| Set pieces | Kristiansund | Vålerenga |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| Corners per match | 4.1 | 6.7 |
| Corners against per match | 6.5 | 6 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.46 | 0.42 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.7 | 0.57 |
| Other | Kristiansund | Vålerenga |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| The goalkeepers | Michael Lansing (Kristiansund) | Oscar Thore Hedvall (Vålerenga) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 46 | 86 |
| Save % | 64% | 65% |
| xG prevented | 51% | 48% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Kristiansund spelschemaVålerenga spelschema
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Kristiansund vs Vålerenga according to our model?
The model gives Vålerenga a 44% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Kristiansund 31%, draw 25%, Vålerenga 44%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and under at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 59% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Kristiansund vs Vålerenga?
The model expects 1.25 goals (xG) for Kristiansund and 1.73 for Vålerenga, 2.98 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Kristiansund or draw (1X) 56%, Vålerenga or draw (X2) 69% and no draw (12) 75%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Get the bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.