Norwegian Eliteserien6°2,7 mm16 km/h

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    TromsøTromsøPossession control
    vs
    Bodø/GlimtBodø/GlimtPossession & high press
    The model's lean: 2 · Bodø/Glimt (55%)

    Tromsø vs Bodø/Glimt · Norwegian Eliteserien

    1 · Tromsø 21%X 23%55% Bodø/Glimt · 2

    Prediction summary

    BetBuilders AI model prediction for Tromsø vs Bodø/Glimt (Norwegian Eliteserien, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Tromsø win 21%, draw 23%, Bodø/Glimt win 55%. Expected goals (xG): Tromsø 1.24, Bodø/Glimt 2.01. Most likely score: 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 62%. Double chance: Tromsø or draw 45%, Bodø/Glimt or draw 79%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.

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    Analysis: Tromsø – Bodø/Glimt

    Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

    55% is the model’s price on Bodø/Glimt, against 21% for Tromsø and 23% for the draw. The visitors lead on points, 56 to 40, and on xPoints, 47.2 to 37.5. That is not a narrow edge dressed up as certainty; it is a clear case for the away side.

    The underlying numbers are harsher still. Bodø/Glimt post 2.9 xG per match versus 1.8, while allowing 0.94 xGA against Tromsø’s 1.4. Tromsø’s possession-control profile can slow the game, but the visitors combine possession with a high press and carry the stronger attacking and defensive baseline. The analysis points plainly to an away win, most likely 1-2.

    Over 2.5 goals gets a 63% model lean, supported by 2.01 expected goals for the visitors and 1.24 for the hosts; both teams scoring is rated 62%. The head-to-head since 2021 is only one match, a Tromsø loss, so the sample is small and weighs less than form and expected goals. Bodø/Glimt to win is the stable play; over 2.5 is the supporting angle.

    TromsøTromsø
    Form LWDDL
    League ranking xG #6xGA #4xT #6xP/match #5Points #5
    Key players
    • David EdvardssonCDMxG 0.06 · xT 0.07
    • Vetle SkjærvikCBxG 0.11 · xT 0.20
    • Tobias GuddalCBxG 0.09 · xT 0.15
    Bodø/GlimtBodø/Glimt
    Form WLWWL
    League ranking xG #1xGA #1xT #1xP/match #1Points #2
    Key players
    • Jens Petter HaugeLWxG 0.28 · xT 0.40
    • Jostein GundersenCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.13
    • Patrick BergCDMxG 0.20 · xT 0.19

    Match prediction: Tromsø – Bodø/Glimt

    Predicted score matrix

    Bodø/Glimt →
    Tromsø →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.2%
    0–17.5%
    0–27.9%
    0–35.2%
    0–4+4.2%
    1
    1–04.5%
    1–110.0%
    1–29.7%
    1–36.5%
    1–4+5.2%
    2
    2–03.0%
    2–16.0%
    2–26.0%
    2–34.0%
    2–4+3.2%
    3
    3–01.2%
    3–12.5%
    3–22.5%
    3–31.7%
    3–4+1.3%
    4+
    4+–00.5%
    4+–11.0%
    4+–21.0%
    4+–30.7%
    4+–4+0.5%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-110%
    2. 2.1-210%
    3. 3.0-28%
    4. 4.0-18%
    5. 5.1-36%
    Expected goals
    1,24–2,01
    Both teams to score
    62%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,2
    Under 2,537%
    –
    Over 2,563%
    –

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Bodø/Glimt to win55%
    • Over 1.5 goals84%

    Combined probability

    47%

    Fair odds

    2.12

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Bodø/Glimt to win55%
    • Over 2.5 goals63%
    • Ole Didrik Blomberg to score21%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score62%
    • Over 2.5 goals63%
    • Heine Åsen Larsen to score24%
    • Odin Lurås Bjørtuft to be booked21%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    1 matches
    Tromsø 0Draw 0Bodø/Glimt 1
    Goals: 0–5 (⌀ 5)

    Head-to-head based on Eliteserien data since 2021.

    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Tromsø
    Bodø/Glimt
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Tromsø (43–34)
    Bodø/Glimt (58–21)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Tromsø
    Isak Vadebu: 313 passningar, xT 0.62VadebuVetle Skjærvik: 304 passningar, xT 0.74SkjærvikRuben Yttergard Jenssen: 237 passningar, xT 1.3JenssenAlexander Rickard Chadchai Thongla-Iad Warneryd: 181 passningar, xT 0.76WarnerydLeon Hien: 171 passningar, xT 0.12HienDavid Edvardsson: 168 passningar, xT 0.43EdvardssonJakob Haugaard: 163 passningar, xT 0.39HaugaardSander Havik Innvaer: 130 passningar, xT 0.24InnvaerMorten Bjorlo: 129 passningar, xT 0.49BjorloCasper Oyvann: 126 passningar, xT 0.13OyvannTroy Engseth Nyhammer: 111 passningar, xT -0.03Nyhammer
    Bodø/Glimt
    Fredrik Sjovold: 409 passningar, xT 2.52SjovoldOdin Bjortuft: 401 passningar, xT 1.34BjortuftJens Petter Hauge: 302 passningar, xT 1.88HaugeFredrik Bjorkan: 284 passningar, xT 0.93BjorkanHaitam Aleesami: 275 passningar, xT 0.73AleesamiPatrick Berg: 241 passningar, xT 0.68BergIsak Dybvik Maatta: 183 passningar, xT 0.64MaattaVillads Nielsen: 172 passningar, xT 0.69NielsenSondre Brunstad Fet: 149 passningar, xT 0.34FetSondre Auklend: 139 passningar, xT 0.81AuklendOle Didrik Blomberg: 132 passningar, xT 0.65Blomberg
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Tromsø
    Isak Vadebu: 313 passningar, xT 0.62VadebuVetle Skjærvik: 304 passningar, xT 0.74SkjærvikRuben Yttergard Jenssen: 237 passningar, xT 1.3JenssenAlexander Rickard Chadchai Thongla-Iad Warneryd: 181 passningar, xT 0.76WarnerydLeon Hien: 171 passningar, xT 0.12HienDavid Edvardsson: 168 passningar, xT 0.43EdvardssonJakob Haugaard: 163 passningar, xT 0.39HaugaardSander Havik Innvaer: 130 passningar, xT 0.24InnvaerMorten Bjorlo: 129 passningar, xT 0.49BjorloCasper Oyvann: 126 passningar, xT 0.13OyvannTroy Engseth Nyhammer: 111 passningar, xT -0.03Nyhammer
    Bodø/Glimt
    Fredrik Sjovold: 409 passningar, xT 2.52SjovoldOdin Bjortuft: 401 passningar, xT 1.34BjortuftJens Petter Hauge: 302 passningar, xT 1.88HaugeFredrik Bjorkan: 284 passningar, xT 0.93BjorkanHaitam Aleesami: 275 passningar, xT 0.73AleesamiPatrick Berg: 241 passningar, xT 0.68BergIsak Dybvik Maatta: 183 passningar, xT 0.64MaattaVillads Nielsen: 172 passningar, xT 0.69NielsenSondre Brunstad Fet: 149 passningar, xT 0.34FetSondre Auklend: 139 passningar, xT 0.81AuklendOle Didrik Blomberg: 132 passningar, xT 0.65Blomberg

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceTromsøBodø/Glimt
    Points4056
    xPoints37.547.2
    xG per match1.82.9
    xGA per match1.40.94
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.380.46
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.230.27
    Playing styleTromsøBodø/Glimt
    Build-up efficiency0.320.36
    Field tilt0.50.83
    xT per match1.22.1
    xTA per match0.970.68
    Won balls, offensive half2630
    Pressing intensity0.230.22
    Pressing efficiency0.260.3
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.250.29
    Entries into the box per match1629
    Entries into the box against139
    Pass completion %0.790.84
    Pass completion % under pressure0.740.79
    Passes per match439595
    Passes against per match423296
    Switches of play per match23.343.9
    Long balls per match4344
    Set piecesTromsøBodø/Glimt
    xG from free kicks0.070.03
    Corners per match5.17.7
    Corners against per match4.22.4
    xG per corner0.040.03
    xGA per corner against0.040.02
    First touch, offensive corners %0.390.58
    First touch, defensive corners %0.530.6
    OtherTromsøBodø/Glimt
    Throw-in control0.760.75
    The goalkeepersJakob Haugaard (Tromsø)Nikita Haikin (Bodø/Glimt)
    Saves5551
    Save %66%76%
    xG prevented44%56%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Tromsø
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Bodø/Glimt
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Tromsø spelschemaBodø/Glimt spelschema

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Tromsø vs Bodø/Glimt according to our model?

    The model gives Bodø/Glimt a 55% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Tromsø 21%, draw 23%, Bodø/Glimt 55%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 63% and under at 37%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in Tromsø vs Bodø/Glimt?

    The model expects 1.24 goals (xG) for Tromsø and 2.01 for Bodø/Glimt, 3.24 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    Tromsø or draw (1X) 45%, Bodø/Glimt or draw (X2) 79% and no draw (12) 77%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.