01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Viking to win78%
- Over 1.5 goals88%
Norwegian Eliteserien11°15,5 mm12 km/h
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VikingPossession & high pressvs
KFUMLow block & directThe model's lean: 1 · Viking (78%)
Viking vs KFUM · Norwegian Eliteserien
1 · Viking 78%X 13%9% KFUM · 2
78%
13%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Viking vs KFUM (Norwegian Eliteserien, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Viking win 78%, draw 13%, KFUM win 9%. Expected goals (xG): Viking 2.64, KFUM 0.97. Most likely score: 2-0 (9%). Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 58%. Double chance: Viking or draw 91%, KFUM or draw 22%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
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Analysis: Viking – KFUM
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
Four wins to none in five meetings since 2021 give Viking the historical edge over KFUM: 4W, 1D, 0L. Still, five matches is a small head-to-head sample and carries less weight than current form and expected-goals data. The pattern matters only because it aligns with the wider picture: the hosts have repeatedly found ways to control this matchup.
The season numbers are harsher still. Viking hold 59 points to the visitors’ 30, while xPoints read 41.8 against 28.7. Their 2.3 xG per match dwarfs KFUM’s 1.2, and the defensive split is equally clear at 1.3 xGA versus 1.9. Five straight wins and goals in 13 consecutive league matches reinforce that production. KFUM arrive unbeaten in their last 5 league matches, but that run belongs to their recent form, not the head-to-head record, and it does not erase the underlying gap.
This is a bad stylistic fit for the visitors. Viking’s possession game and high press should pin a low-defence, direct opponent into long spells without the ball. The model gives the hosts a 78% win probability, against 13% for the draw and 9% for KFUM. Expected goals sit at 2.64 to 0.97. That is not a narrow home-edge profile; it is a game tilted toward sustained Viking pressure, with the visitors needing efficiency rather than control.
My score call is 2-0, one of the joint-most-likely exact scores at 9%, alongside 2-1 at 9%; 3-0 follows at 8%. The underdog’s direct threat keeps both teams to score live at 58%, but the stronger total-goals signal is Over 2.5 at 70%. Viking are the clear result side, yet Over 2.5 goals is the sharper betting angle.
VikingForm WWWWW
League ranking xG #2xGA #3xT #3xP/match #2Points #1
Key players
- Henrik HeggheimRBxG 0.16 · xT 0.15
- Gianni StensnessCBxG 0.23 · xT 0.09
- Henrik FalchenerCBxG 0.10 · xT 0.05
KFUMForm WWWDD
League ranking xG #16xGA #11xT #14xP/match #12Points #8
Key players
- Bilal NjieLWxG 0.31 · xT 0.10
- Daniel SchneiderCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.08
- Robin RaschCDMxG 0.12 · xT 0.15
Match prediction: Viking – KFUM
Predicted score matrix
KFUM →
Viking →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–02.9%
0–12.4%
0–21.3%
0–30.4%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–07.0%
1–17.1%
1–23.4%
1–31.1%
1–4+0.3%
2
2–09.5%
2–19.2%
2–24.4%
2–31.4%
2–4+0.4%
3
3–08.3%
3–18.0%
3–23.9%
3–31.3%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–010.3%
4+–110.0%
4+–24.8%
4+–31.6%
4+–4+0.5%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-09%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.3-08%
- 4.3-18%
- 5.1-17%
Expected goals
2,64–0,97
Both teams to score
58%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,60
19%
218%
321%
419%
5+29%
Under 2,530%
–
Over 2,570%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Viking to win78%
- Over 2.5 goals70%
- Peter Buch Christiansen to score31%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score58%
- Over 2.5 goals70%
- Peter Buch Christiansen to score31%
- Robin Gravli Rasch to be booked24%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
5 matchesViking 4Draw 1KFUM 0
Goals: 10–4 (⌀ 2,8)
Head-to-head based on Eliteserien data since 2021.
Key facts
- Viking FK dominate this fixture historically: 4 wins to 0 in 5 meetings.
- Viking FK come into this round on 5 straight wins.
- Viking FK have scored in 13 consecutive league matches.
- KFUM are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.
- Viking FK win 67% of their home matches all-time (87 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Viking
KFUM
Viking (62–23)
KFUM (30–39)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Viking
KFUM
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Viking
KFUM
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Viking | KFUM |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 59 | 30 |
| xPoints | 41.8 | 28.7 |
| xG per match | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| xGA per match | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.51 | 0.21 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| Playing style | Viking | KFUM |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| Field tilt | 0.55 | 0.4 |
| xT per match | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| xTA per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 29 | 23 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| Entries into the box per match | 17 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 18 |
| Pass completion % | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.71 | 0.7 |
| Passes per match | 364 | 327 |
| Passes against per match | 384 | 441 |
| Switches of play per match | 26.9 | 19.1 |
| Long balls per match | 36 | 28 |
| Set pieces | Viking | KFUM |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Corners per match | 6.7 | 4 |
| Corners against per match | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| xG per corner | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| Other | Viking | KFUM |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| The goalkeepers | Arild Ostbo (Viking) | Emil Ødegaard (KFUM) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 39 | 49 |
| Save % | 78% | 74% |
| xG prevented | 78% | 58% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Viking spelschemaKFUM spelschema
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Viking vs KFUM according to our model?
The model gives Viking a 78% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Viking 78%, draw 13%, KFUM 9%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 9% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 70% and under at 30%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Viking vs KFUM?
The model expects 2.64 goals (xG) for Viking and 0.97 for KFUM, 3.61 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Viking or draw (1X) 91%, KFUM or draw (X2) 22% and no draw (12) 87%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Get the bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.