01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Rosenborg to win73%
- Over 1.5 goals88%
Norwegian Eliteserien8°1,1 mm8 km/h
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RosenborgCounter-attacks & crossesvs
StartLow block & directThe model's lean: 1 · Rosenborg (73%)
Rosenborg vs Start · Norwegian Eliteserien
1 · Rosenborg 73%X 15%11% Start · 2
73%
15%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Rosenborg vs Start (Norwegian Eliteserien, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Rosenborg win 73%, draw 15%, Start win 11%. Expected goals (xG): Rosenborg 2.69, Start 0.92. Most likely score: 2-0 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 56%. Double chance: Rosenborg or draw 89%, Start or draw 27%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
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Analysis: Rosenborg – Start
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
The central question is whether Rosenborg can turn territorial control into an early lead before Start’s low defence settles. The model says yes: 73% for the hosts, against 15% for a draw and 11% for the visitors. Expected goals sit at 2.69 to 0.92, a clear picture of pressure, crosses and counters aimed at a side set up to defend deep and play direct.
That matchup favours the home side’s strengths. Rosenborg’s counter attack and crossing profile should keep forcing Start’s back line to defend its own box, while the visitors’ direct approach offers fewer sustained attacks. The hosts are unbeaten in their last 6 league matches and have scored in 14 consecutive league matches. Their 40 points versus 19, plus 38.0 xPoints against 29.3, underline that this is not merely a stylistic hunch.
The defensive numbers sharpen it further. Rosenborg concede 1.4 xGA per match; Start allow 2.0. The hosts also produce 1.8 xG per match, compared with 1.4 for the visitors. Start have enough attacking output to make both teams to score a live 56% possibility, but the likeliest individual scoreline is 2-0 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 and 3-0 at 9% each. The analysis points plainly to a home win, with 2-0 the most likely final score.
There is a small head-to-head sample since 2021: 1 match, with 1W 0D 0L for the hosts. It weighs far less than current form and expected-goals data. All-time, Rosenborg also win 57% of 42 home matches. The strongest angle is over 2.5 goals at 70%: the model expects 3.61 total xG, and a dominant home performance can carry the line even if Start fail to score.
RosenborgForm WWDWW
League ranking xG #5xGA #5xT #8xP/match #4Points #4
Key players
- Emil Konradsen CeideLWxG 0.21 · xT 0.20
- Mikkel Konradsen CeideCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.06
- Tomas NemcikCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.09
StartForm WLLLW
League ranking xG #11xGA #15xT #9xP/match #11Points #16
Key players
- Mikael UglandCMxG 0.05 · xT 0.07
- Jens Berland HuseboCBxG 0.09 · xT 0.07
- John Olav NorheimCBxG 0.13 · xT 0.07
Match prediction: Rosenborg – Start
Predicted score matrix
Start →
Rosenborg →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–02.9%
0–12.3%
0–21.1%
0–30.3%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–07.1%
1–16.9%
1–23.1%
1–30.9%
1–4+0.3%
2
2–09.8%
2–19.0%
2–24.1%
2–31.3%
2–4+0.4%
3
3–08.8%
3–18.1%
3–23.7%
3–31.1%
3–4+0.3%
4+
4+–011.4%
4+–110.4%
4+–24.8%
4+–31.5%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-010%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.3-09%
- 4.3-18%
- 5.1-07%
Expected goals
2,69–0,92
Both teams to score
56%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,60
19%
218%
321%
419%
5+29%
Under 2,530%
–
Over 2,570%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Rosenborg to win73%
- Over 2.5 goals70%
- Amin Chiakha to score44%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score56%
- Over 2.5 goals70%
- Amin Chiakha to score44%
- Stève Regis Mvoué to be booked22%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
1 matchesRosenborg 1Draw 0Start 0
Goals: 3–0 (⌀ 3)
Head-to-head based on Eliteserien data since 2021.
Key facts
- Rosenborg are unbeaten in their last 6 league matches.
- Rosenborg have scored in 14 consecutive league matches.
- Rosenborg win 57% of their home matches all-time (42 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Rosenborg
Start
Rosenborg (46–31)
Start (26–54)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Rosenborg
Start
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Rosenborg
Start
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Rosenborg | Start |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 40 | 19 |
| xPoints | 38 | 29.3 |
| xG per match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| xGA per match | 1.4 | 2 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| Playing style | Rosenborg | Start |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| Field tilt | 0.57 | 0.33 |
| xT per match | 1.1 | 1 |
| xTA per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 28 | 29 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| Entries into the box per match | 16 | 13 |
| Entries into the box against | 14 | 17 |
| Pass completion % | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.7 | 0.67 |
| Passes per match | 395 | 288 |
| Passes against per match | 338 | 431 |
| Switches of play per match | 23.1 | 23.5 |
| Long balls per match | 29 | 36 |
| Set pieces | Rosenborg | Start |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.06 | 0.1 |
| Corners per match | 6.3 | 4.4 |
| Corners against per match | 5.7 | 5.3 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.61 | 0.52 |
| Other | Rosenborg | Start |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.7 | 0.69 |
| The goalkeepers | Leopold Wahlstedt (Rosenborg) | Jacob Pryts (Start) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 79 | 41 |
| Save % | 73% | 53% |
| xG prevented | 49% | 34% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Rosenborg spelschemaStart spelschema
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Rosenborg vs Start according to our model?
The model gives Rosenborg a 73% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Rosenborg 73%, draw 15%, Start 11%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 70% and under at 30%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Rosenborg vs Start?
The model expects 2.69 goals (xG) for Rosenborg and 0.92 for Start, 3.61 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Rosenborg or draw (1X) 89%, Start or draw (X2) 27% and no draw (12) 85%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Get the bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.