Radnički Niš vs Železničar Pančevo Prediction: Away win 54% (2 Nov 2026)

Serbian Super League2 November 2026 18:00 CETStadion Čair, Niš6°11,5 mm18 km/h

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Radnički NišPossession control

Železničar PančevoPossession & high press

The model's lean: 2 · Železničar Pančevo (54%)

1 · Radnički Niš 19%X 26%54% Železničar Pančevo · 2

19%

26%

54%

Prediction summary

BetBuilders AI model prediction for Radnički Niš vs Železničar Pančevo (Serbian Super League, Monday, 2 November 2026): Radnički Niš win 19%, draw 26%, Železničar Pančevo win 54%. Expected goals (xG): Radnički Niš 0.91, Železničar Pančevo 1.60. Most likely score: 0-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 48%. Double chance: Radnički Niš or draw 46%, Železničar Pančevo or draw 81%. Prediction updated Saturday, 24 October 2026.

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Analysis: Radnički Niš – Železničar Pančevo

Marcus Johansson · 24 October 2026 · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work

The betting odds "2.10 via Bet365" are not provided in the facts and should be removed as an unsupported claim.

A glaring 54% model probability favors Železničar Pančevo, underpinned by their impressive four-match winning streak. In stark contrast, Radnički Niš have tumbled into four consecutive defeats. The hosts' tendency to control possession may struggle against the visitors' high press, possibly stifling their ability to build play effectively.

Looking at expected goals, Železničar's 1.60 versus the hosts' 0.91 highlights a distinct advantage. This disparity is echoed in their defensive metrics, with Pančevo conceding just 0.76 xGA per match compared to Niš's vulnerable 1.5 xGA. Despite a small head-to-head sample showing a narrow edge for Niš, the visitors' form and tactical approach suggest they should dominate proceedings.

The most likely scorelines of 0-1 and 1-1 suggest a low-scoring affair. With an over 2.5 goals probability at just 46%, the model leans towards fewer goals. The betting edge lies with Železničar Pančevo. Given current trajectories, a 0-1 or 0-2 outcome seems plausible, aligning with the visitors' strong momentum and defensive solidity.

Radnički Niš

Form WLLLL

League ranking xG #11xGA #12xT #7xP/match #12Points #14

Key players

Marko MijailovićRBxG 0.03 · xT 0.18
Issah AbassLWxG 0.25 · xT 0.22
Uroš VitasCBxG 0.11 · xT 0.06

Železničar Pančevo

Form LWWWW

League ranking xG #3xGA #3xT #5xP/match #6Points #3

Key players

Mirko MilikićCBxG 0.08 · xT 0.13
Nikola ĐuričićLBxG 0.10 · xT 0.15
Nemanja VidojevićCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.08

Match prediction: Radnički Niš – Železničar Pančevo

Predicted score matrix

Železničar Pančevo →

Radnički Niš →

0–08.5%

0–112.7%

0–210.4%

0–35.5%

0–4+3.2%

1–07.1%

1–112.2%

1–29.5%

1–35.0%

1–4+2.9%

2–03.4%

2–15.4%

2–24.3%

2–32.3%

2–4+1.3%

3–01.0%

3–11.6%

3–21.3%

3–30.7%

3–4+0.4%

4+–00.3%

4+–10.4%

4+–20.4%

4+–30.2%

4+–4+0.1%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.0-113%
2.1-112%
3.0-210%
4.1-29%
5.0-08%

Expected goals

0,91–1,60

Both teams to score

48%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,5

08%

120%

226%

321%

413%

5+11%

Under 2,554%

@1.85EV+0%

Over 2,546%

@1.95

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Železničar Pančevo to win54%
Under 3.5 goals76%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Železničar Pančevo to win54%
Under 2.5 goals54%
David Akpan Ankeye to score32%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score48%
Over 2.5 goals46%
David Akpan Ankeye to score32%
Elimane Franck Kanouté to be booked23%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Železničar Pančevo54% probability@1.90Bet365EV+3%reference odds
2 · Železničar Pančevo54% probability@1.85BetsafeEV+1%reference odds
2 · Železničar Pančevo54% probability@1.85NordicbetEV+1%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Radnički Niš	X	2 · Železničar Pančevo
Bet365	3.90	3.50	EV+ 3% 1.90
Betsafe	3.80	3.35	EV+ 1% 1.85
Nordicbet	3.80	3.35	EV+ 1% 1.85

Odds updated 26 Oct, 18:36

Odds movement

10 %

26 %21 %

3.80 → 3.80

X0 %

30 %25 %

3.35 → 3.35

20 %

52 %47 %

1.85 → 1.85

Over 2,5+3 %

52 %47 %

1.85 → 1.90

Nordicbet · 2 recorded price levels · 26/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

6 matches

Radnički Niš 3Draw 1Železničar Pančevo 2

Goals: 6–7 (⌀ 2,2)

Head-to-head based on Serbian Super League data since 2023.

Key facts

FK Radnicki Nis have lost 4 in a row.
Zeleznicar Pancevo come into this round on 4 straight wins.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Radnički Niš

Železničar Pančevo

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Radnički Niš (7–20)

Železničar Pančevo (19–10)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Radnički Niš

Železničar Pančevo

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Radnički Niš

Železničar Pančevo

The teams in numbers

Performance	Radnički Niš	Železničar Pančevo
Points	8	23
xPoints	13.3	19.7
xG per match	1.1	1.8
xGA per match	1.5	0.76
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.21	0.34
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.21	0.16

Playing style	Radnički Niš	Železničar Pančevo
Build-up efficiency	0.31	0.29
Field tilt	0.56	0.62
xT per match	1.1	1.2
xTA per match	0.88	0.69
Won balls, offensive half	29	25
Pressing intensity	0.21	0.21
Pressing efficiency	0.3	0.29
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.26	0.29
Entries into the box per match	14	12
Entries into the box against	10	8
Pass completion %	0.72	0.81
Pass completion % under pressure	0.69	0.77
Passes per match	304	414
Passes against per match	313	281
Switches of play per match	21.3	21
Long balls per match	34	29

Set pieces	Radnički Niš	Železničar Pančevo
xG from free kicks	0.06	0.04
Corners per match	4.7	4.9
Corners against per match	4.1	3.4
xG per corner	0.03	0.01
xGA per corner against	0.01	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.55	0.38
First touch, defensive corners %	0.49	0.57

Other	Radnički Niš	Železničar Pančevo
Throw-in control	0.71	0.77

The goalkeepers	Ivan Kostić (Radnički Niš)	Zoran Popović (Železničar Pančevo)
Saves	37	26
Save %	73%	72%
xG prevented	44%	63%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Radnički Niš

Fixtures, form & tips

Železničar Pančevo

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Radnički Niš vs Železničar Pančevo according to our model?

The model gives Železničar Pančevo a 54% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Radnički Niš 19%, draw 26%, Železničar Pančevo 54%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 0-1 at 13% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 46% and under at 54%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 48% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Radnički Niš vs Železničar Pančevo?

The model expects 0.91 goals (xG) for Radnički Niš and 1.60 for Železničar Pančevo, 2.51 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Radnički Niš or draw (1X) 46%, Železničar Pančevo or draw (X2) 81% and no draw (12) 74%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.