01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Blackburn Rovers or draw (1X)72%
- Under 3.5 goals76%
EFL ChampionshipEwood Park, Blackburn5°6 km/h
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Blackburn RoversPossession controlvs
Stoke CityPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Blackburn Rovers (43%)
Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City · EFL Championship
1 · Blackburn Rovers 43%X 31%26% Stoke City · 2
43%
31%
26%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City (EFL Championship, Tuesday, 3 November 2026): Blackburn Rovers win 43%, draw 31%, Stoke City win 26%. Expected goals (xG): Blackburn Rovers 1.44, Stoke City 1.06. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%. Double chance: Blackburn Rovers or draw 74%, Stoke City or draw 57%. Prediction updated Monday, 26 October 2026.
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Analysis: Blackburn Rovers – Stoke City
Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work
TEXT: Blackburn Rovers have found the net in their last eight league outings, a streak that showcases their attacking resilience. Yet, their defensive vulnerabilities cannot be overlooked, conceding more consistently than they'd prefer. This match against Stoke City, who have a slight edge in points and expected points, poses a tactical conundrum. Both teams prefer to control possession, setting the stage for a battle of midfield dominance rather than a defensive showdown.
Despite their scoring consistency, the hosts haven't managed to defeat Stoke in their last four encounters, albeit from a small sample size. This head-to-head history suggests Blackburn might face psychological pressures from past results. However, the model gives them a 43% chance to win, reflecting an underlying confidence in their possession-based approach to finally break the spell.
Stoke's ability to suppress shots with their relatively better xGA (1.5 compared to Blackburn's 1.8) might neutralize the hosts’ offensive threats. But with only slight differences in xG — Blackburn at 0.96 and Stoke at 0.94 — both teams seem evenly matched in their ability to create opportunities. This balance indicates that small margins will likely decide the outcome, making a low-scoring affair more probable.
The model's favored outcomes of 1-1 and 1-0 underline the potential for a modest goal tally, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals. Considering both teams' tactical preferences and the numbers, betting on under 2.5 goals seems prudent. Meanwhile, the even chance of both teams scoring suggests a 1-1 draw could very well be on the cards.
This game feels like Blackburn's chance to finally tip the balance, but the numbers whisper caution.
Blackburn RoversForm DWWLW
League ranking xG #23xGA #21xT #23xP/match #23Points #10
Key players
- Todd CantwellCAMxG 0.16 · xT 0.06
- Andri Lucas GuðjohnsenFxG 0.29 · xT 0.03
- Yuri RibeiroLBxG 0.01 · xT 0.15
Stoke CityForm WWLWD
League ranking xG #24xGA #15xT #17xP/match #20Points #9
Key players
- Sam GallagherFxG 0.09 · xT 0.08
- Maksym TaloverovCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.03
- Ethan Stuart William GalbraithCAMxG 0.07 · xT 0.12
Match prediction: Blackburn Rovers – Stoke City
Predicted score matrix
Stoke City →
Blackburn Rovers →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–08.6%
0–18.4%
0–24.6%
0–31.6%
0–4+0.5%
1
1–011.5%
1–112.9%
1–26.7%
1–32.4%
1–4+0.8%
2
2–08.5%
2–19.0%
2–24.8%
2–31.7%
2–4+0.6%
3
3–04.1%
3–14.3%
3–22.3%
3–30.8%
3–4+0.3%
4+
4+–02.0%
4+–12.1%
4+–21.1%
4+–30.4%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.1-011%
- 3.2-19%
- 4.0-09%
- 5.2-08%
Expected goals
1,44–1,06
Both teams to score
50%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,509%
120%
226%
321%
413%
5+11%
Under 2,554%
–
Over 2,546%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Blackburn Rovers or draw (1X)72%
- Under 2.5 goals54%
- Oladapo Joshua Afolayan to score17%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score50%
- Over 2.5 goals46%
- George David Eric Hirst to score22%
- El Hadji Djibril Soumaré to be booked25%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
4 matchesBlackburn Rovers 0Draw 2Stoke City 2
Goals: 2–5 (⌀ 1,8)
Head-to-head based on Championship data since 2023.
Key facts
- Blackburn Rovers have scored in 8 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
Blackburn Rovers (19–16)
Stoke City (18–16)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Blackburn Rovers | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 18 | 20 |
| xPoints | 12.5 | 14 |
| xG per match | 0.96 | 0.94 |
| xGA per match | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| Playing style | Blackburn Rovers | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| Field tilt | 0.48 | 0.37 |
| xT per match | 0.66 | 0.87 |
| xTA per match | 1.3 | 0.88 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 21 | 22 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.3 | 0.28 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| Entries into the box per match | 10 | 9 |
| Entries into the box against | 15 | 14 |
| Pass completion % | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.7 | 0.72 |
| Passes per match | 336 | 301 |
| Passes against per match | 357 | 367 |
| Switches of play per match | 29.9 | 19.9 |
| Long balls per match | 33 | 27 |
| Set pieces | Blackburn Rovers | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.01 | 0.1 |
| Corners per match | 6.3 | 4.4 |
| Corners against per match | 6.1 | 5.2 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.32 | 0.4 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| Other | Blackburn Rovers | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.7 | 0.72 |
| The goalkeepers | Balazs Toth (Blackburn Rovers) | Viktor Johansson (Stoke City) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 22 | 40 |
| Save % | 65% | 71% |
| xG prevented | 34% | 41% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Blackburn Rovers spelschemaStoke City spelschema
- Southampton – Queens Park Rangers31 October 2026
- Norwich City – Watford31 October 2026 13:30 CET
- Lincoln City – Birmingham City31 October 2026 13:30 CET
- Stoke City – Preston North End31 October 2026 13:30 CET
- Bolton Wanderers – Bristol City31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- West Ham United – West Bromwich Albion31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Middlesbrough – Charlton Athletic31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Wolverhampton – Cardiff City31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Millwall – Derby County31 October 2026 16:00 CET
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City according to our model?
The model gives Blackburn Rovers a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Blackburn Rovers 43%, draw 31%, Stoke City 26%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 46% and under at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 50% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City?
The model expects 1.44 goals (xG) for Blackburn Rovers and 1.06 for Stoke City, 2.50 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Blackburn Rovers or draw (1X) 74%, Stoke City or draw (X2) 57% and no draw (12) 69%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Get the bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.