EFL ChampionshipDeepdale, Preston5°9 km/h

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    Preston North EndPreston North EndLow block & direct
    vs
    Sheffield UnitedSheffield UnitedLow block & direct
    The model's lean: 2 · Sheffield United (42%)

    Preston North End vs Sheffield United · EFL Championship

    1 · Preston North End 31%X 28%42% Sheffield United · 2

    Prediction summary

    BetBuilders AI model prediction for Preston North End vs Sheffield United (EFL Championship, Tuesday, 3 November 2026): Preston North End win 31%, draw 28%, Sheffield United win 42%. Expected goals (xG): Preston North End 1.16, Sheffield United 1.22. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 49%. Double chance: Preston North End or draw 58%, Sheffield United or draw 69%. Prediction updated Monday, 26 October 2026.

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    Analysis: Preston North End – Sheffield United

    Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

    Sheffield United's 42% win probability underscores their status as favourites against Preston North End. Despite the small head-to-head sample since 2023 showing an even split—two wins each—the broader season stats favour the visitors. Sheffield United holds a significant edge in points, 16 to 5, and a slight advantage in expected points, 17.3 to 15.9.

    Both teams exhibit a low defensive profile with direct styles, likely resulting in a tight contest. The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, yet the 0-1 scoreline, at 11%, offers a glimpse of how Sheffield might edge this encounter. With expected goals nearly balanced at 1.16 for the hosts and 1.22 for the visitors, the match may hinge on minor defensive lapses or a moment of attacking quality.

    Goals might be scarce, as the model suggests a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals, tipping the scale towards a low-scoring affair. The dry prediction leans towards a narrow 0-1 victory for Sheffield United, reflecting their superior form and slightly better expected metrics.

    Preston North EndPreston North End
    Form DLLLD
    League ranking xG #17xGA #19xT #15xP/match #15Points #24
    Key players
    • Alfie Sean DevineCAMxG 0.12 · xT 0.11
    • Jordan ThompsonCMxG 0.04 · xT 0.10
    • Liam LindsayCBxG 0.11 · xT 0.03
    Sheffield UnitedSheffield United
    Form LWLWD
    League ranking xG #13xGA #16xT #22xP/match #9Points #12
    Key players
    • Tom CannonFxG 0.39 · xT -0.01
    • Sydie PeckCAMxG 0.13 · xT 0.16
    • Tahith Jose ChongRWxG 0.07 · xT 0.10

    Match prediction: Preston North End – Sheffield United

    Predicted score matrix

    Sheffield United →
    Preston North End →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–09.7%
    0–110.9%
    0–26.9%
    0–32.8%
    0–4+1.1%
    1
    1–010.4%
    1–113.5%
    1–28.0%
    1–33.2%
    1–4+1.3%
    2
    2–06.3%
    2–17.6%
    2–24.6%
    2–31.9%
    2–4+0.7%
    3
    3–02.4%
    3–12.9%
    3–21.8%
    3–30.7%
    3–4+0.3%
    4+
    4+–00.9%
    4+–11.1%
    4+–20.7%
    4+–30.3%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-113%
    2. 2.0-111%
    3. 3.1-010%
    4. 4.0-010%
    5. 5.1-28%
    Expected goals
    1,16–1,22
    Both teams to score
    49%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,4
    Under 2,558%
    –
    Over 2,542%
    –

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Sheffield United or draw (X2)66%
    • Under 3.5 goals78%

    Combined probability

    52%

    Fair odds

    1.93

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Sheffield United or draw (X2)66%
    • Under 2.5 goals58%
    • Oliver Luke Arblaster to score21%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score49%
    • Over 2.5 goals42%
    • Oliver Luke Arblaster to score21%
    • Alistair Edward McCann to be booked20%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    4 matches
    Preston North End 2Draw 0Sheffield United 2
    Goals: 6–7 (⌀ 3,2)

    Head-to-head based on Championship data since 2023.

    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Preston North End
    Sheffield United
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Preston North End (10–25)
    Sheffield United (16–15)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Preston North End
    Andrew Hughes: 136 passningar, xT 0.42HughesJordan Storey: 121 passningar, xT 0.07StoreyJordan Thompson: 101 passningar, xT 0.13ThompsonLéo Patrick Pierre Leroy: 91 passningar, xT 0.2LeroyAlfie Sean Devine: 89 passningar, xT 0.23DevineDaniel Lønne Iversen: 76 passningar, xT 0.15IversenOdeluga Joshua Offiah: 73 passningar, xT 0.15OffiahAndrija Vukčević: 66 passningar, xT 0.86VukčevićHarry Clarke: 38 passningar, xT 0.03ClarkeStanley Mills: 36 passningar, xT 0.52MillsCallum Lang: 35 passningar, xT 0.47Lang
    Sheffield United
    Japhet Tanganga: 170 passningar, xT 0.14TangangaLiam Kitching: 164 passningar, xT 0.53KitchingKalvin Mark Phillips: 150 passningar, xT 0.34PhillipsSydie Peck: 111 passningar, xT 0.66PeckMichael Cooper: 106 passningar, xT 0.3CooperHamza Choudhury: 84 passningar, xT 0.4ChoudhuryHarrison Burrows: 79 passningar, xT 0.07BurrowsBen Brereton Diaz: 77 passningar, xT 0.33DiazSam Mccallum: 65 passningar, xT 0.18MccallumTahith Jose Chong: 61 passningar, xT 0.3ChongJoe Rothwell: 54 passningar, xT 0.05Rothwell
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Preston North End
    Andrew Hughes: 136 passningar, xT 0.42HughesJordan Storey: 121 passningar, xT 0.07StoreyJordan Thompson: 101 passningar, xT 0.13ThompsonLéo Patrick Pierre Leroy: 91 passningar, xT 0.2LeroyAlfie Sean Devine: 89 passningar, xT 0.23DevineDaniel Lønne Iversen: 76 passningar, xT 0.15IversenOdeluga Joshua Offiah: 73 passningar, xT 0.15OffiahAndrija Vukčević: 66 passningar, xT 0.86VukčevićHarry Clarke: 38 passningar, xT 0.03ClarkeStanley Mills: 36 passningar, xT 0.52MillsCallum Lang: 35 passningar, xT 0.47Lang
    Sheffield United
    Japhet Tanganga: 170 passningar, xT 0.14TangangaLiam Kitching: 164 passningar, xT 0.53KitchingKalvin Mark Phillips: 150 passningar, xT 0.34PhillipsSydie Peck: 111 passningar, xT 0.66PeckMichael Cooper: 106 passningar, xT 0.3CooperHamza Choudhury: 84 passningar, xT 0.4ChoudhuryHarrison Burrows: 79 passningar, xT 0.07BurrowsBen Brereton Diaz: 77 passningar, xT 0.33DiazSam Mccallum: 65 passningar, xT 0.18MccallumTahith Jose Chong: 61 passningar, xT 0.3ChongJoe Rothwell: 54 passningar, xT 0.05Rothwell

    The teams in numbers

    PerformancePreston North EndSheffield United
    Points516
    xPoints15.917.3
    xG per match1.21.3
    xGA per match1.61.5
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.20.19
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.230.14
    Playing stylePreston North EndSheffield United
    Build-up efficiency0.310.34
    Field tilt0.360.43
    xT per match0.910.7
    xTA per match10.99
    Won balls, offensive half2329
    Pressing intensity0.240.24
    Pressing efficiency0.280.31
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.260.29
    Entries into the box per match1210
    Entries into the box against1512
    Pass completion %0.660.66
    Pass completion % under pressure0.630.63
    Passes per match239253
    Passes against per match402363
    Switches of play per match18.818.7
    Long balls per match2730
    Set piecesPreston North EndSheffield United
    xG from free kicks0.080.13
    Corners per match4.83.6
    Corners against per match5.96.9
    xG per corner0.040.06
    xGA per corner against0.030.02
    First touch, offensive corners %0.350.26
    First touch, defensive corners %0.630.62
    OtherPreston North EndSheffield United
    Throw-in control0.640.69
    The goalkeepersDaniel Lønne Iversen (Preston North End)Michael Cooper (Sheffield United)
    Saves3638
    Save %60%72%
    xG prevented44%55%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Preston North End
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Sheffield United
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Preston North End spelschemaSheffield United spelschema

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Preston North End vs Sheffield United according to our model?

    The model gives Sheffield United a 42% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Preston North End 31%, draw 28%, Sheffield United 42%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 42% and under at 58%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 49% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in Preston North End vs Sheffield United?

    The model expects 1.16 goals (xG) for Preston North End and 1.22 for Sheffield United, 2.38 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    Preston North End or draw (1X) 58%, Sheffield United or draw (X2) 69% and no draw (12) 72%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.