01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Queens Park Rangers to win47%
- Over 1.5 goals77%
EFL ChampionshipLoftus Road, London10°7 km/h
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Queens Park RangersCounter-attacks & crossesvs
BurnleyPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Queens Park Rangers (47%)
Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley · EFL Championship
1 · Queens Park Rangers 47%X 26%27% Burnley · 2
47%
26%
27%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley (EFL Championship, Tuesday, 3 November 2026): Queens Park Rangers win 47%, draw 26%, Burnley win 27%. Expected goals (xG): Queens Park Rangers 1.69, Burnley 1.10. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 55%. Double chance: Queens Park Rangers or draw 73%, Burnley or draw 53%. Prediction updated Monday, 26 October 2026.
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Analysis: Queens Park Rangers – Burnley
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
Queens Park Rangers and Burnley have met only twice since 2023, with the hosts drawing one and losing the other. However, with such a small head-to-head sample, the focus shifts to season form and expected goals, where QPR holds a distinct advantage. Sitting at 20 points compared to Burnley's 8, and with an expected points tally of 20.5 versus 15.0, the hosts seem the stronger side on paper.
The model gives QPR a 47% chance of victory, substantially higher than Burnley's 27%. Expected goals further highlight QPR's offensive potential, with 1.69 xG against Burnley's 1.10. Though the visitors have scored in 17 consecutive league matches, their defensive frailties with a 1.6 xGA per match could be their undoing against QPR's counter-attacking and crosses.
Despite the apparent edge for the hosts, the most likely outcome appears to be a 1-1 draw at 12%, followed by 1-0 or 2-1 wins for QPR each at 10%. The over 2.5 goals market is finely poised with a 53% leaning, suggesting potential for a match that edges over the line in terms of goal count. Yet, with both teams to score at 55%, expect Burnley to find the net, even if they concede more.
Given the pricing and probabilities, backing QPR offers value. One bookmaker has them at 2.10, which might be appealing considering their higher probability of victory. While QPR's playing style and superior form suggest they're well-placed to capitalize on Burnley's defensive lapses, the numbers also point to a close contest. The sharpest angle here is to take QPR at odds that don't fully reflect their statistical dominance over the visitors.
Queens Park RangersForm DDWLW
League ranking xG #7xGA #4xT #7xP/match #3Points #7
Key players
- Jimmy DunneCBxG 0.11 · xT 0.04
- Glen Adjei KamaraCMxG 0.04 · xT 0.07
- Ilias ChairLWxG 0.54 · xT 0.34
BurnleyForm DWDLL
League ranking xG #15xGA #20xT #13xP/match #17Points #22
Key players
- Kyle WalkerRBxG 0.00 · xT 0.15
- Jacob Bruun LarsenLWxG 0.12 · xT 0.18
- Igor Julio dos Santos de PauloCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.07
Match prediction: Queens Park Rangers – Burnley
Predicted score matrix
Burnley →
Queens Park Rangers →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.5%
0–16.4%
0–23.7%
0–31.4%
0–4+0.5%
1
1–010.1%
1–111.8%
1–26.3%
1–32.3%
1–4+0.8%
2
2–08.8%
2–19.6%
2–25.3%
2–31.9%
2–4+0.7%
3
3–04.9%
3–15.4%
3–23.0%
3–31.1%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–03.0%
4+–13.3%
4+–21.8%
4+–30.7%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.1-010%
- 3.2-110%
- 4.2-09%
- 5.0-06%
Expected goals
1,69–1,10
Both teams to score
55%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,80
117%
224%
322%
415%
5+15%
Under 2,547%
–
Over 2,553%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Queens Park Rangers to win47%
- Over 2.5 goals53%
- Richard Kone to score24%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score55%
- Over 2.5 goals53%
- Zian Flemming to score25%
- Max Alleyne to be booked22%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesQueens Park Rangers 0Draw 1Burnley 1
Goals: 0–5 (⌀ 2,5)
Head-to-head based on Championship data since 2023.
Key facts
- Burnley have scored in 17 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
Queens Park Rangers (20–12)
Burnley (17–25)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Queens Park Rangers | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20 | 8 |
| xPoints | 20.5 | 15 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| xGA per match | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.33 | 0.16 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| Playing style | Queens Park Rangers | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Field tilt | 0.5 | 0.47 |
| xT per match | 1 | 0.92 |
| xTA per match | 0.95 | 1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 20 | 18 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| Entries into the box per match | 15 | 10 |
| Entries into the box against | 12 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.77 | 0.76 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| Passes per match | 363 | 366 |
| Passes against per match | 404 | 395 |
| Switches of play per match | 27.1 | 29.4 |
| Long balls per match | 32 | 31 |
| Set pieces | Queens Park Rangers | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| Corners per match | 5.5 | 4.7 |
| Corners against per match | 3.8 | 4.6 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.08 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| Other | Queens Park Rangers | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| The goalkeepers | Pierce Joseph Charles (Queens Park Rangers) | Grégoire Coudert (Burnley) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 34 | 19 |
| Save % | 74% | 68% |
| xG prevented | 65% | 52% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Queens Park Rangers spelschemaBurnley spelschema
- Southampton – Queens Park Rangers31 October 2026
- Norwich City – Watford31 October 2026 13:30 CET
- Lincoln City – Birmingham City31 October 2026 13:30 CET
- Stoke City – Preston North End31 October 2026 13:30 CET
- Bolton Wanderers – Bristol City31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- West Ham United – West Bromwich Albion31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Middlesbrough – Charlton Athletic31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Wolverhampton – Cardiff City31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Millwall – Derby County31 October 2026 16:00 CET
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley according to our model?
The model gives Queens Park Rangers a 47% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Queens Park Rangers 47%, draw 26%, Burnley 27%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and under at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 55% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley?
The model expects 1.69 goals (xG) for Queens Park Rangers and 1.10 for Burnley, 2.79 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Queens Park Rangers or draw (1X) 73%, Burnley or draw (X2) 53% and no draw (12) 74%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Get the bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.