01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Greuther Fürth to win48%
- Over 1.5 goals84%
2. BundesligaSportpark Ronhof, Fürth11°3,1 mm13 km/h
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Greuther FürthCounter-attacks & crosses2–0
Eintracht BraunschweigPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 1 · Greuther Fürth (48%)
Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig · 2. Bundesliga
1 · Greuther Fürth 48%X 24%28% Eintracht Braunschweig · 2
48%
24%
28%
Prediction summary
Final score 2–0. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig (2. Bundesliga, Saturday, 17 October 2026): Greuther Fürth win 48%, draw 24%, Eintracht Braunschweig win 28%. Expected goals (xG): Greuther Fürth 1.79, Eintracht Braunschweig 1.46. Most likely score: 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 64%. Double chance: Greuther Fürth or draw 72%, Eintracht Braunschweig or draw 52%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.
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Analysis: Greuther Fürth – Eintracht Braunschweig
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
The head-to-head record between Fürth and Braunschweig is tight, with the visitors having a slight edge in a small sample of four matches since 2023. With Braunschweig winning two of these encounters, these past results offer little predictive power compared to the more relevant current season form and expected goals data.
Fürth's probability of victory stands at 48%, offering value on the home win at odds of 2.18 with LeoVegas. Despite sitting below Braunschweig on the points table, Fürth's expected metrics indicate they have been slightly unfortunate. They generate 1.4 expected goals per match but concede at a rate of 1.6 xGA, showing room for improvement on the backline. Braunschweig, while ahead on points, have seen luck tilt their way, with higher xG numbers at 1.7, yet also a more porous defense allowing 1.8 xGA per match.
The forecast of rain at 10.7°C could dampen attacking fluidity, but the model still rates over 2.5 goals at 63%, bolstered by both teams' tendencies to both score and concede easily. With Fürth relying on crosses and counter-attacks and Braunschweig employing a high press, the tactical battle could see goals on both ends, especially as the latter's style may leave them exposed.
While a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline at 10%, the model sees a 2-1 outcome for Fürth as a close second at 9%. The betting value leans towards backing the hosts to edge a narrowly contested encounter. The 5% edge on Fürth's win odds at 2.18 with LeoVegas suggests a calculated wager, particularly given the frailties in Braunschweig’s defensive setup.
Greuther FürthForm WLDDL
League ranking xG #12xGA #12xT #12xP/match #11Points #15
Key players
- Felix KlausFxG 0.65 · xT 0.17
- Luca ItterLWBxG 0.02 · xT 0.11
- Lukas ReichRBxG 0.02 · xT 0.25
Eintracht BraunschweigForm LLDLW
League ranking xG #5xGA #15xT #13xP/match #5Points #11
Key players
- Kevin EhlersCBxG 0.09 · xT 0.06
- Aaron Opoku-TiawiahRWxG 0.15 · xT 0.14
- Yann SturmLWxG 0.34 · xT 0.15
Final score
2 – 0
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Greuther Fürth 48% · Draw 24% · Eintracht Braunschweig 28%
Match prediction: Greuther Fürth – Eintracht Braunschweig
Predicted score matrix
Eintracht Braunschweig →
Greuther Fürth →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.2%
0–15.4%
0–24.1%
0–32.0%
0–4+1.0%
1
1–06.6%
1–110.4%
1–27.4%
1–33.6%
1–4+1.8%
2
2–06.2%
2–19.1%
2–26.6%
2–33.2%
2–4+1.6%
3
3–03.7%
3–15.4%
3–24.0%
3–31.9%
3–4+1.0%
4+
4+–02.5%
4+–13.6%
4+–22.7%
4+–31.3%
4+–4+0.7%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-110%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-27%
- 4.1-07%
- 5.2-27%
Expected goals
1,79–1,46
Both teams to score
64%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,30
112%
221%
322%
418%
5+23%
Under 2,537%
@2.45
Over 2,563%
@1.48
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Greuther Fürth to win48%
- Over 2.5 goals63%
- Olé Pohlmann to score29%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score64%
- Over 2.5 goals63%
- Olé Pohlmann to score29%
- Mehmet Can Aydın to be booked22%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Greuther Fürth48% probability@2.10PinnacleEV+1%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Greuther Fürth | X | 2 · Eintracht Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.08 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| Pinnacle | EV+ 1% 2.10 | 4.01 | 3.26 |
Odds updated 17 Oct, 12:37
Odds movement
1-4 %
47 %42 %
2.18 → 2.10
X+5 %
27 %22 %
3.83 → 4.01
2+8 %
33 %28 %
3.03 → 3.26
Pinnacle · 12 recorded price levels · 15/10/2026 → 17/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
4 matchesGreuther Fürth 1Draw 1Eintracht Braunschweig 2
Goals: 5–5 (⌀ 2,5)
Head-to-head based on 2. Bundesliga data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Greuther Fürth
Eintracht Braunschweig
Greuther Fürth (10–13)
Eintracht Braunschweig (13–13)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Greuther Fürth
Eintracht Braunschweig
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Greuther Fürth
Eintracht Braunschweig
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Greuther Fürth | Eintracht Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 6 | 7 |
| xPoints | 9.3 | 10.5 |
| xG per match | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| xGA per match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| Playing style | Greuther Fürth | Eintracht Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.45 | 0.51 |
| xT per match | 0.91 | 0.88 |
| xTA per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 21 | 26 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| Entries into the box per match | 12 | 9 |
| Entries into the box against | 14 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.77 | 0.74 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Passes per match | 361 | 338 |
| Passes against per match | 365 | 395 |
| Switches of play per match | 28.2 | 28.6 |
| Long balls per match | 37 | 35 |
| Set pieces | Greuther Fürth | Eintracht Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.03 | 0 |
| Corners per match | 6 | 4.1 |
| Corners against per match | 5.2 | 6.1 |
| xG per corner | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.49 | 0.6 |
| Other | Greuther Fürth | Eintracht Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| The goalkeepers | Florian Pascal Hellstern (Greuther Fürth) | Ron-Thorben Hoffmann (Eintracht Braunschweig) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 34 | 24 |
| Save % | 72% | 67% |
| xG prevented | 66% | 47% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Greuther Fürth spelschemaEintracht Braunschweig spelschema
- Holstein Kiel – Hertha Berlin16 October 2026
- Energie Cottbus – Nürnberg16 October 2026
- Hannover 96 – St. Pauli17 October 2026
- Wolfsburg – Heidenheim17 October 2026
- Kaiserslautern – Bochum17 October 2026
- Dynamo Dresden – Magdeburg18 October 2026
- Arminia Bielefeld – Osnabrück18 October 2026
- Karlsruhe – Darmstadt18 October 2026
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig according to our model?
The model gives Greuther Fürth a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Greuther Fürth 48%, draw 24%, Eintracht Braunschweig 28%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 63% and under at 37%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 64% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
The model expects 1.79 goals (xG) for Greuther Fürth and 1.46 for Eintracht Braunschweig, 3.25 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Greuther Fürth or draw (1X) 72%, Eintracht Braunschweig or draw (X2) 52% and no draw (12) 76%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Get the bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.