01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Bodø/Glimt to win78%
- Over 1.5 goals88%
Norwegian Eliteserien7°14 km/h
Läs på svenska
HamarkamerateneLow block & direct0–2
Bodø/GlimtPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 2 · Bodø/Glimt (78%)Best value by the model: Under 3,5 @ 2.00 (+3 %)
Hamarkameratene vs Bodø/Glimt · Norwegian Eliteserien
1 · Hamarkameratene 8%X 13%78% Bodø/Glimt · 2
13%
78%
Prediction summary
Final score 0–2. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Bodø/Glimt (Norwegian Eliteserien, Saturday, 17 October 2026): Hamarkameratene win 8%, draw 13%, Bodø/Glimt win 78%. Expected goals (xG): Hamarkameratene 0.82, Bodø/Glimt 2.77. Most likely score: 0-2 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 53%. Double chance: Hamarkameratene or draw 22%, Bodø/Glimt or draw 92%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.
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Analysis: Hamarkameratene – Bodø/Glimt
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
A clash of contrasting philosophies is set for the Eliteserien showdown between Hamarkameratene and FK Bodø/Glimt. The hosts lean on a direct approach with a frail defense, while the visitors excel in possession-based football paired with an aggressive press. This stylistic dichotomy likely means a game dictated by the away side, who are heavy favorites with a whopping 78% win probability. With Hamarkameratene's expected goals lagging at 0.82 compared to Bodø/Glimt's dominant 2.77, the numbers tell a story of likely dominance from the visitors.
Bodø/Glimt's historical control over this fixture supports the model's lean, having won four of their last five encounters against Hamarkameratene. This small head-to-head sample, while informative, dovetails neatly with their more substantial seasonal form. Scoring in 15 consecutive league matches, Glimt's offensive machinery looks well-oiled, and against a side conceding an average of 1.9 expected goals per match, they will fancy their chances to keep their streak alive.
Scoreline forecasts of 0-2 and 0-3 align with Bodø/Glimt's superior xG metrics and Hamarkameratene's defensive frailties. With a 70% probability for over 2.5 goals, the matchup leans towards a high-scoring affair, despite the hosts' potential struggles to find the net. Yet, there's a 53% chance that both teams score, hinting at the possibility of a consolation goal for the home side should they breach Glimt's solid defense.
The most compelling betting angle stems from FK Bodø/Glimt's commanding form. With odds of 2.05 on offer from Bet365 for Bodø/Glimt to win and over 2.5 goals, there's a value play shaping up. The match appears set for an assertive triumph by the visitors, likely ending with a scoreline like 0-2 or 0-3, underscoring their season-long dominance.
HamarkamerateneForm DLLLW
League ranking xG #12xGA #12xT #15xP/match #14Points #11
Key players
- Loris MettlerFxG 0.23 · xT 0.15
- Martin GjoneCBxG 0.13 · xT 0.14
- Henrik UdahlFxG 0.43 · xT 0.02
Bodø/GlimtForm WWWLW
League ranking xG #1xGA #1xT #1xP/match #1Points #2
Key players
- Jens Petter HaugeLWxG 0.28 · xT 0.39
- Jostein GundersenCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.13
- Patrick BergCDMxG 0.21 · xT 0.21
Final score
0 – 2
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Hamarkameratene 8% · Draw 13% · Bodø/Glimt 78%
Match prediction: Hamarkameratene – Bodø/Glimt
Predicted score matrix
Bodø/Glimt →
Hamarkameratene →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–02.9%
0–17.4%
0–210.5%
0–39.7%
0–4+13.2%
1
1–02.1%
1–16.4%
1–28.7%
1–38.0%
1–4+10.9%
2
2–00.9%
2–12.6%
2–23.6%
2–33.3%
2–4+4.5%
3
3–00.3%
3–10.7%
3–21.0%
3–30.9%
3–4+1.2%
4+
4+–00.1%
4+–10.2%
4+–20.2%
4+–30.2%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.0-211%
- 2.0-310%
- 3.1-29%
- 4.1-38%
- 5.0-17%
Expected goals
0,82–2,77
Both teams to score
53%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,60
19%
218%
321%
419%
5+29%
Under 2,530%
–
Over 2,570%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Bodø/Glimt to win78%
- Over 2.5 goals70%
- Jens Petter Hauge to score28%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score53%
- Over 2.5 goals70%
- Jens Petter Hauge to score28%
- Snorre Strand Nilsen to be booked19%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Under 3.552% probability@2.00PinnacleEV+3%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Hamarkameratene | X | 2 · Bodø/Glimt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 10.18 | 6.98 | 1.24 |
Odds updated 17 Oct, 10:16
Odds movement
1-3 %
12 %7 %
10.47 → 10.18
X-4 %
16 %11 %
7.29 → 6.98
2+3 %
80 %75 %
1.20 → 1.24
Pinnacle · 16 recorded price levels · 11/10/2026 → 17/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
5 matchesHamarkameratene 1Draw 0Bodø/Glimt 4
Goals: 2–12 (⌀ 2,8)
Head-to-head based on Eliteserien data since 2021.
Key facts
- FK Bodo/Glimt dominate this fixture historically: 4 wins to 1 in 5 meetings.
- FK Bodo/Glimt have scored in 15 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Hamarkameratene
Bodø/Glimt
Hamarkameratene (33–46)
Bodø/Glimt (56–20)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Hamarkameratene
Bodø/Glimt
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Hamarkameratene
Bodø/Glimt
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Hamarkameratene | Bodø/Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 26 | 53 |
| xPoints | 26.4 | 43.7 |
| xG per match | 1.3 | 3 |
| xGA per match | 1.9 | 0.95 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.2 | 0.49 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| Playing style | Hamarkameratene | Bodø/Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| Field tilt | 0.33 | 0.83 |
| xT per match | 0.89 | 2.1 |
| xTA per match | 1.4 | 0.67 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 23 | 31 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.24 | 0.3 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| Entries into the box per match | 11 | 29 |
| Entries into the box against | 19 | 9 |
| Pass completion % | 0.76 | 0.84 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| Passes per match | 357 | 600 |
| Passes against per match | 440 | 298 |
| Switches of play per match | 26.5 | 43.7 |
| Long balls per match | 36 | 44 |
| Set pieces | Hamarkameratene | Bodø/Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Corners per match | 4.1 | 7.7 |
| Corners against per match | 5.5 | 2.4 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.4 | 0.58 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| Other | Hamarkameratene | Bodø/Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| The goalkeepers | Marcus Sandberg (Hamarkameratene) | Nikita Haikin (Bodø/Glimt) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 81 | 45 |
| Save % | 65% | 75% |
| xG prevented | 44% | 54% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Hamarkameratene spelschemaBodø/Glimt spelschema
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Hamarkameratene vs Bodø/Glimt according to our model?
The model gives Bodø/Glimt a 78% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Hamarkameratene 8%, draw 13%, Bodø/Glimt 78%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 0-2 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 70% and under at 30%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Hamarkameratene vs Bodø/Glimt?
The model expects 0.82 goals (xG) for Hamarkameratene and 2.77 for Bodø/Glimt, 3.60 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Hamarkameratene or draw (1X) 22%, Bodø/Glimt or draw (X2) 92% and no draw (12) 87%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Get the bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.