01 · 2 legs
Safe
- GAIS to win53%
- Over 1.5 goals81%
Swedish AllsvenskanGamla Ullevi, Göteborg9°23 km/h
Läs på svenska
GAISPossession & high pressvs
AIKPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 1 · GAIS (53%)
GAIS vs AIK · Swedish Allsvenskan
1 · GAIS 53%X 24%23% AIK · 2
53%
24%
23%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for GAIS vs AIK (Swedish Allsvenskan, Monday, 2 November 2026): GAIS win 53%, draw 24%, AIK win 23%. Expected goals (xG): GAIS 1.83, AIK 1.21. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%. Double chance: GAIS or draw 77%, AIK or draw 47%. Prediction updated Monday, 26 October 2026.
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Analysis: GAIS – AIK
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
TEXT: GAIS and AIK have faced off five times since 2023, splitting their encounters evenly with two wins apiece and a draw. While this head-to-head record gives little away, a closer look at the underlying numbers paints a different picture. The model heavily favors the hosts, with a 53% probability of victory, contrasting starkly with AIK's 23%. Such confidence in Gais doesn’t stem from current standings, where the visitors hold a slender points advantage, but from their superior expected performance metrics.
Gais's underlying numbers are compelling. Their expected goals per match (1.6) and a solid expected goals against (1.2) suggest a team that not only creates but also suppresses chances effectively. Meanwhile, AIK’s xGA of 1.8 per game exposes defensive vulnerabilities, a factor that could tilt the balance against a possession and high press style similar to Gais's. It’s this disparity in expected defensive solidity that supports the forecast of a home win.
In terms of the scoreline, the most likely outcomes hover around a tight contest with a slight edge to the hosts, notably 1-1 and 2-1. Such predictions align with the expected goals tally favoring Gais, who are projected to net 1.83 times versus AIK's 1.21. The 58% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and 59% chance of both teams scoring hint at a match where defensive frailties could be exposed despite both teams' strategic setups.
The sharpest angle here is the market underestimating Gais’s potential. The xPoints discrepancy underscores this, suggesting that the hosts, buoyed by their statistical edge, are poised to translate their expected dominance into three points.
GAISForm LWLLD
League ranking xG #4xGA #5xT #2xP/match #5Points #11
Key players
- August WängbergRBxG 0.02 · xT 0.17
- Filip BeckmanCBxG 0.13 · xT 0.08
- Robin FrejCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.19
AIKForm DLLDW
League ranking xG #8xGA #14xT #11xP/match #12Points #8
Key players
- Sotirios PapagiannopoulosCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.06
- Taha AyariFxG 0.30 · xT 0.09
- Linus CarlstrandFxG 0.47 · xT 0.07
Match prediction: GAIS – AIK
Predicted score matrix
AIK →
GAIS →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.1%
0–15.5%
0–23.5%
0–31.4%
0–4+0.5%
1
1–08.5%
1–110.9%
1–26.4%
1–32.6%
1–4+1.0%
2
2–08.0%
2–19.7%
2–25.8%
2–32.3%
2–4+0.9%
3
3–04.9%
3–15.9%
3–23.6%
3–31.4%
3–4+0.6%
4+
4+–03.4%
4+–14.1%
4+–22.5%
4+–31.0%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.2-110%
- 3.1-08%
- 4.2-08%
- 5.1-26%
Expected goals
1,83–1,21
Both teams to score
59%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
114%
222%
322%
417%
5+19%
Under 2,542%
–
Over 2,558%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- GAIS to win53%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic to score31%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score59%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic to score31%
- Yannick Geiger to be booked23%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · GAIS | X | 2 · AIK |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.80 | 3.85 | 4.00 |
Odds updated 26 Oct, 19:36
Statistics
Head-to-head
5 matchesGAIS 2Draw 1AIK 2
Goals: 4–4 (⌀ 1,6)
Head-to-head based on Allsvenskan data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
GAIS
AIK
GAIS (31–26)
AIK (40–43)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
GAIS
AIK
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
GAIS
AIK
The teams in numbers
| Performance | GAIS | AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 31 | 37 |
| xPoints | 39.1 | 27.2 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| xGA per match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.42 | 0.18 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.14 | 0.33 |
| Playing style | GAIS | AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| Field tilt | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| xT per match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| xTA per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 38 | 28 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| Entries into the box per match | 17 | 13 |
| Entries into the box against | 12 | 15 |
| Pass completion % | 0.8 | 0.83 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.76 | 0.78 |
| Passes per match | 417 | 427 |
| Passes against per match | 400 | 356 |
| Switches of play per match | 12.7 | 14.6 |
| Long balls per match | 27 | 35 |
| Set pieces | GAIS | AIK |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Corners per match | 5.3 | 5 |
| Corners against per match | 4.6 | 5.1 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.68 | 0.57 |
| Other | GAIS | AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| The goalkeepers | Mergim Krasniqi (GAIS) | Kristoffer Nordfeldt (AIK) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 58 | 96 |
| Save % | 76% | 71% |
| xG prevented | 49% | 57% |
| Claims | 107 (93%) | 68 (87%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: GAIS spelschemaAIK spelschema
- Djurgården – Degerfors1 November 2026 14:00 CET
- Malmö FF – Hammarby1 November 2026 14:00 CET
- Häcken – IFK Göteborg1 November 2026 16:30 CET
- Elfsborg – Örgryte1 November 2026 16:30 CET
- Västerås SK – Brommapojkarna1 November 2026 16:30 CET
- Mjällby – Kalmar FF2 November 2026 19:00 CET
- Sirius – Halmstad3 November 2026 19:00 CET
Frequently asked questions
Who wins GAIS vs AIK according to our model?
The model gives GAIS a 53% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: GAIS 53%, draw 24%, AIK 23%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 59% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in GAIS vs AIK?
The model expects 1.83 goals (xG) for GAIS and 1.21 for AIK, 3.03 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
GAIS or draw (1X) 77%, AIK or draw (X2) 47% and no draw (12) 76%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Get the bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.