Västerås SK vs Brommapojkarna Prediction: Home win 42% (1 Nov 2026)

Swedish Allsvenskan1 November 2026 16:30 CETIver Arena, Västerås7°2,7 mm24 km/h

Läs på svenska

Västerås SKBalanced & physical

BrommapojkarnaBalanced & physical

The model's lean: 1 · Västerås SK (42%)Best value by the model: 2 · Brommapojkarna @ 3.84 (+27 %)

1 · Västerås SK 42%X 25%33% Brommapojkarna · 2

42%

25%

33%

Prediction summary

BetBuilders AI model prediction for Västerås SK vs Brommapojkarna (Swedish Allsvenskan, Sunday, 1 November 2026): Västerås SK win 42%, draw 25%, Brommapojkarna win 33%. Expected goals (xG): Västerås SK 1.70, Brommapojkarna 1.31. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%. Double chance: Västerås SK or draw 67%, Brommapojkarna or draw 58%. Prediction updated Saturday, 24 October 2026.

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Analysis: Västerås SK – Brommapojkarna

Marcus Johansson · 24 October 2026 · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work

The numbers tip the scales just slightly in favor of Västerås SK, with a 42% model probability of winning against Brommapojkarna's 33%. Despite a small head-to-head sample (three matches since 2023), the record is even with one win, one draw, and one loss. More intriguingly, the most probable outcomes suggest a tight contest, with 1-1 (11%) leading the charge, followed by 2-1 (9%) for Västerås, and 1-0 (8%).

Västerås SK and Brommapojkarna both adopt a balanced and physical style, which could lead to a hard-fought midfield battle. The expected goals highlight a slight advantage for Västerås (1.70 xG) over their visitors (1.31 xG), indicating that the home side might just snatch this by a goal if they convert their chances effectively. Despite Västerås's superior point tally (38 vs. 30), Brommapojkarna's xPoints (32.5) suggest an undercurrent of potential.

The over 2.5 goals market holds a 58% probability, and this is where value appears, reflecting both teams' tendencies to concede, with Västerås allowing 1.5 xGA per match to Brommapojkarna's 1.4. In a match that leans slightly towards Västerås, goals seem probable.

Västerås SK

Form WWLWL

League ranking xG #13xGA #11xT #15xP/match #11Points #6

Key players

Herman MagnussonCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.10
Frederic NsabiyumvaCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.04
Simon GefvertRWxG 0.05 · xT 0.17

Brommapojkarna

Form WLLWL

League ranking xG #11xGA #10xT #16xP/match #9Points #11

Key players

Wilmer OdefalkCAMxG 0.08 · xT 0.06
Alex Timossi AnderssonRBxG 0.05 · xT 0.10
Kaare Brøckner BarslundCMxG 0.05 · xT 0.06

Match prediction: Västerås SK – Brommapojkarna

Predicted score matrix

Brommapojkarna →

Västerås SK →

0–05.3%

0–16.1%

0–24.2%

0–31.8%

0–4+0.8%

1–08.1%

1–111.3%

1–27.2%

1–33.1%

1–4+1.4%

2–07.2%

2–19.3%

2–26.1%

2–32.7%

2–4+1.2%

3–04.1%

3–15.3%

3–23.5%

3–31.5%

3–4+0.7%

4+–02.5%

4+–13.3%

4+–22.1%

4+–30.9%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.2-19%
3.1-08%
4.1-27%
5.2-07%

Expected goals

1,70–1,31

Both teams to score

60%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,0

114%

223%

322%

417%

5+19%

Under 2,542%

@2.25

Over 2,558%

@1.61

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Västerås SK or draw (1X)71%
Over 1.5 goals80%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Double chance Västerås SK or draw (1X)71%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Mikkel Ladefoged to score36%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score60%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Mikkel Ladefoged to score36%
Mattias Hellisdal to be booked20%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Brommapojkarna33% probability@3.84BetsafeEV+27%reference odds
2 · Brommapojkarna33% probability@3.84NordicbetEV+27%reference odds
2 · Brommapojkarna33% probability@3.65LeoVegasEV+21%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Västerås SK	X	2 · Brommapojkarna
Betsafe	1.90	3.77	EV+ 27% 3.84
LeoVegas	1.90	3.85	EV+ 21% 3.65
Nordicbet	1.90	3.77	EV+ 27% 3.84

Odds updated 27 Oct, 13:37

Odds movement

10 %

52 %47 %

1.90 → 1.90

X0 %

27 %22 %

3.85 → 3.85

20 %

28 %23 %

3.65 → 3.65

LeoVegas · 4 recorded price levels · 25/10/2026 → 27/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

3 matches

Västerås SK 1Draw 1Brommapojkarna 1

Goals: 4–4 (⌀ 2,7)

Head-to-head based on Allsvenskan data since 2023.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Västerås SK

Brommapojkarna

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Västerås SK (36–38)

Brommapojkarna (36–43)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Västerås SK

Brommapojkarna

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Västerås SK

Brommapojkarna

The teams in numbers

Performance	Västerås SK	Brommapojkarna
Points	38	30
xPoints	31.7	32.5
xG per match	1.1	1.2
xGA per match	1.5	1.4
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.22	0.19
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.24	0.25

Playing style	Västerås SK	Brommapojkarna
Build-up efficiency	0.32	0.34
Field tilt	0.44	0.41
xT per match	1.1	1.1
xTA per match	1.5	1.7
Won balls, offensive half	30	22
Pressing intensity	0.56	0.5
Pressing efficiency	0.24	0.19
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.25	0.18
Entries into the box per match	11	13
Entries into the box against	15	18
Pass completion %	0.8	0.83
Pass completion % under pressure	0.75	0.78
Passes per match	374	417
Passes against per match	411	497
Switches of play per match	16.3	16.1
Long balls per match	31	28

Set pieces	Västerås SK	Brommapojkarna
xG from free kicks	0.11	0.17
Corners per match	4.5	4.4
Corners against per match	4.9	5.7
xG per corner	0.03	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.03	0.03
First touch, offensive corners %	0.31	0.34
First touch, defensive corners %	0.65	0.59

Other	Västerås SK	Brommapojkarna
Throw-in control	0.58	0.6

The goalkeepers	Elis Jäger (Västerås SK)	Leo Cavallius (Brommapojkarna)
Saves	82	89
Save %	70%	68%
xG prevented	46%	50%
Claims	76 (86%)	130 (84%)

Teams & more matches this round

Västerås SK

Fixtures, form & tips

Brommapojkarna

Fixtures, form & tips

Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Västerås SK spelschema Brommapojkarna spelschema

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Västerås SK vs Brommapojkarna according to our model?

The model gives Västerås SK a 42% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Västerås SK 42%, draw 25%, Brommapojkarna 33%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Västerås SK vs Brommapojkarna?

The model expects 1.70 goals (xG) for Västerås SK and 1.31 for Brommapojkarna, 3.00 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Västerås SK or draw (1X) 67%, Brommapojkarna or draw (X2) 58% and no draw (12) 75%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.