Swedish SuperettanLandskrona IP, Landskrona11°0,4 mm30 km/h

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    Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoISPossession control
    vs
    Örebro SKÖrebro SKPossession control
    The model's lean: 1 · Landskrona BoIS (61%)

    Landskrona BoIS vs Örebro SK · Swedish Superettan

    1 · Landskrona BoIS 61%X 20%19% Örebro SK · 2

    Prediction summary

    BetBuilders AI model prediction for Landskrona BoIS vs Örebro SK (Swedish Superettan, Monday, 2 November 2026): Landskrona BoIS win 61%, draw 20%, Örebro SK win 19%. Expected goals (xG): Landskrona BoIS 2.23, Örebro SK 0.99. Most likely score: 2-0 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 56%. Double chance: Landskrona BoIS or draw 81%, Örebro SK or draw 39%. Prediction updated Monday, 26 October 2026.

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    Analysis: Landskrona BoIS – Örebro SK

    Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

    TEXT: Landskrona BoIS enters this matchup with a tangible edge, backed by a 61% model probability of securing victory. The numbers suggest a comfortable position for the hosts, who have consistently found the net in their last 11 league outings. Örebro SK, on the other hand, remains a distant underdog at 19% to win, underscoring the gulf in current form between the two teams.

    The most likely scorelines, both 2-0 and 2-1, sit at 10%, reflecting the strength of the home side's expected goals of 2.23, significantly outpacing Örebro's 0.99. This disparity is further highlighted by the overall points tally, 43 to 26 in favor of Landskrona, and expected points, 39.6 to 31.1, emphasizing a consistent performance edge throughout the season.

    Despite both teams favoring a possession-based style, the small sample size of their head-to-head record since 2024—just five games—provides limited insight. With an even split of victories, it weighs less than the current form and xG trends favoring Landskrona. The hosts' ability to control possession and capitalise on chances sets the stage for another home triumph.

    With a 62% chance for over 2.5 goals, expect an attacking display. However, the rain forecast suggests a dampened pace, potentially impacting play but already accounted for in the model. The combination of historical scoring patterns and seasonal data leans heavily towards goals, albeit with some natural caution.

    For bettors, the sharpest edge lies in a Landskrona win. While the weather may play its part, expect the hosts to manage the conditions and extend their scoring streak, making a 2-0 or 2-1 victory the likeliest outcome.

    Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS
    Form LWWWL
    League ranking xG #2xGA #4xT #8xP/match #4Points #5
    Key players
    • Gustaf BruzeliusRBxG 0.07 · xT 0.19
    • Constantino CapotondiLWxG 0.24 · xT 0.36
    • Tobias KarlssonCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.10
    Örebro SKÖrebro SK
    Form WDLDD
    League ranking xG #15xGA #9xT #14xP/match #15Points #15
    Key players
    • Christopher RedenstrandLWxG 0.05 · xT 0.41
    • Hampus SöderströmCAMxG 0.06 · xT 0.01
    • John StenbergCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.15

    Match prediction: Landskrona BoIS – Örebro SK

    Predicted score matrix

    Örebro SK →
    Landskrona BoIS →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.3%
    0–13.7%
    0–22.0%
    0–30.6%
    0–4+0.2%
    1
    1–08.7%
    1–19.1%
    1–24.3%
    1–31.4%
    1–4+0.4%
    2
    2–010.0%
    2–19.8%
    2–24.8%
    2–31.6%
    2–4+0.5%
    3
    3–07.4%
    3–17.3%
    3–23.6%
    3–31.2%
    3–4+0.4%
    4+
    4+–07.0%
    4+–16.9%
    4+–23.4%
    4+–31.1%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.2-010%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.1-19%
    4. 4.1-09%
    5. 5.3-07%
    Expected goals
    2,23–0,99
    Both teams to score
    56%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,2
    Under 2,538%
    @2.22
    Over 2,562%
    @1.60

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Landskrona BoIS to win61%
    • Over 1.5 goals83%

    Combined probability

    56%

    Fair odds

    1.77

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Landskrona BoIS to win61%
    • Over 2.5 goals62%
    • Constantino Capotondi to score44%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score56%
    • Over 2.5 goals62%
    • Constantino Capotondi to score44%
    • Edwin Ibrahimbegovic to be booked23%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 1 · Landskrona BoIS61% probability@2.02BetsafeEV+23%reference odds
    • 1 · Landskrona BoIS61% probability@2.02NordicbetEV+23%reference odds
    • 1 · Landskrona BoIS61% probability@1.98LeoVegasEV+21%reference odds
    Bookmaker1 · Landskrona BoISX2 · Örebro SK
    Betsafe
    EV+ 23%
    2.02
    3.703.37
    LeoVegas
    EV+ 21%
    1.98
    3.603.25
    Nordicbet
    EV+ 23%
    2.02
    3.703.37

    Odds updated 27 Oct, 11:37

    Odds movement

    10 %
    49 %44 %

    1.98 → 1.98

    X0 %
    28 %23 %

    3.60 → 3.60

    2+2 %
    31 %26 %

    3.20 → 3.25

    Over 2,5+1 %
    61 %56 %

    1.57 → 1.58

    LeoVegas · 2 recorded price levels · 27/10/2026 → 27/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    5 matches
    Landskrona BoIS 2Draw 1Örebro SK 2
    Goals: 3–3 (⌀ 1,2)

    Head-to-head based on Superettan data since 2024.

    Key facts

    • Landskrona BoIS have scored in 11 consecutive league matches.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Landskrona BoIS
    Örebro SK
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Landskrona BoIS (45–32)
    Örebro SK (30–42)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Landskrona BoIS
    Tobias Karlsson: 312 passningar, xT 0.16KarlssonGustaf Westström: 283 passningar, xT 0.78WestströmAndreas Murbeck: 234 passningar, xT 0.22MurbeckGustaf Bruzelius: 214 passningar, xT -0.09BruzeliusAdam Egnell: 196 passningar, xT 1.1EgnellConstantino Capotondi: 194 passningar, xT 2.16CapotondiAndré Alvarez Perez: 186 passningar, xT 0.25PerezZakaria Loukili: 174 passningar, xT 0.43LoukiliKota Sakurai: 115 passningar, xT 0.18SakuraiMarcus Pettersson: 97 passningar, xT 0.14PetterssonKevin Jensen: 90 passningar, xT 0.24Jensen
    Örebro SK
    Jetmir Haliti: 359 passningar, xT 0.74HalitiManasse Kusu: 301 passningar, xT 0.08KusuJohn Stenberg: 268 passningar, xT 0.5StenbergErdal Rakip: 227 passningar, xT 1.63RakipChovanie Shakur Amatkarijo: 198 passningar, xT 0.54AmatkarijoAhmed Yasin: 172 passningar, xT 0.89YasinSamuel Wikman: 131 passningar, xT 0.65WikmanKarl Holmberg: 114 passningar, xT 0.15HolmbergJacob Ouro Ortmark: 112 passningar, xT 0.08OrtmarkVictor Sandberg: 106 passningar, xT 0.14SandbergMax Watson: 103 passningar, xT 0.19Watson
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Landskrona BoIS
    Tobias Karlsson: 312 passningar, xT 0.16KarlssonGustaf Westström: 283 passningar, xT 0.78WestströmAndreas Murbeck: 234 passningar, xT 0.22MurbeckGustaf Bruzelius: 214 passningar, xT -0.09BruzeliusAdam Egnell: 196 passningar, xT 1.1EgnellConstantino Capotondi: 194 passningar, xT 2.16CapotondiAndré Alvarez Perez: 186 passningar, xT 0.25PerezZakaria Loukili: 174 passningar, xT 0.43LoukiliKota Sakurai: 115 passningar, xT 0.18SakuraiMarcus Pettersson: 97 passningar, xT 0.14PetterssonKevin Jensen: 90 passningar, xT 0.24Jensen
    Örebro SK
    Jetmir Haliti: 359 passningar, xT 0.74HalitiManasse Kusu: 301 passningar, xT 0.08KusuJohn Stenberg: 268 passningar, xT 0.5StenbergErdal Rakip: 227 passningar, xT 1.63RakipChovanie Shakur Amatkarijo: 198 passningar, xT 0.54AmatkarijoAhmed Yasin: 172 passningar, xT 0.89YasinSamuel Wikman: 131 passningar, xT 0.65WikmanKarl Holmberg: 114 passningar, xT 0.15HolmbergJacob Ouro Ortmark: 112 passningar, xT 0.08OrtmarkVictor Sandberg: 106 passningar, xT 0.14SandbergMax Watson: 103 passningar, xT 0.19Watson

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceLandskrona BoISÖrebro SK
    Points4326
    xPoints39.631.1
    xG per match1.61.1
    xGA per match1.21.4
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.230.18
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.280.22
    Playing styleLandskrona BoISÖrebro SK
    Build-up efficiency0.320.37
    Field tilt0.580.52
    xT per match1.51.4
    xTA per match1.31.4
    Won balls, offensive half3029
    Pressing intensity0.570.56
    Pressing efficiency0.280.26
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.280.29
    Entries into the box per match1712
    Entries into the box against1315
    Pass completion %0.820.81
    Pass completion % under pressure0.770.77
    Passes per match439422
    Passes against per match330379
    Switches of play per match1415.8
    Long balls per match3129
    Set piecesLandskrona BoISÖrebro SK
    xG from free kicks0.20.13
    Corners per match5.55
    Corners against per match4.55
    xG per corner0.030.02
    xGA per corner against0.020.04
    First touch, offensive corners %0.490.44
    First touch, defensive corners %0.530.62
    OtherLandskrona BoISÖrebro SK
    Throw-in control0.560.54
    The goalkeepersAmr Kaddoura (Landskrona BoIS)Jakub Ojrzynski (Örebro SK)
    Saves46108
    Save %73%72%
    xG prevented41%57%
    Claims103 (95%)157 (89%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Landskrona BoIS spelschemaÖrebro SK spelschema

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Landskrona BoIS vs Örebro SK according to our model?

    The model gives Landskrona BoIS a 61% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Landskrona BoIS 61%, draw 20%, Örebro SK 19%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 62% and under at 38%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in Landskrona BoIS vs Örebro SK?

    The model expects 2.23 goals (xG) for Landskrona BoIS and 0.99 for Örebro SK, 3.21 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    Landskrona BoIS or draw (1X) 81%, Örebro SK or draw (X2) 39% and no draw (12) 80%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.